Messages

Forum Index : NBA Betting : Messages
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Let's chat about Tuesday's card
kaponofor3 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
kaponofor3
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 35291
Location: California
#1
Posted: 4/10/2012 10:58:31 AM
General thoughts on the various games tonight:

1. Hard to find a side to like in the ORL/WAS game, would feel much more comfortable with evaluating this game if we knew Nene and D-12 status or if D-12 gave a flying ****. Really tough to back ORL given the turmoil going on with that team -- then again, ORL just pasted DET at home without D-12. Washington has been playing better recently but still is a side lacking in quality. The UNDER 195.5 may be the best play on this game.

2. Boston has been absolutely rolling and the +7 looks like a gift. Then again, we know how these things usually happen when lines look too good. Miami does have "revenge" here but I just don't know if they really give a crap or are just on cruise control until the playoffs. It'd be nice to see this MIA team play up to its potential every once in a while, was very disappointed to see them get stomped by BOS on the road like two weekends ago. Has MIA changed anything since that game? BOS might be rejuvenated right now.

3. Bobcats/Cavs zzzzz

4. 76ers laying wood on the road despite having a 40% straight up winning percentage on the road? No thank you. On the other hand, New Jersey is so frustrating for me, they roll over when I expect them to show up (i.e. against the Jazz at home a few weeks ago) and then they play like gangbusters when I think they should be faded. Them and the LAC have killed me this year. Sixers are coming off of a really bad stretch of basketball losing 5 of their last 6 SU, including games to mighty TOR and WAS. I'm not running to get in line to back PHI laying points on the road right now.

5. This CHI/NYK line is really interesting, clearly set up to entice bettors to believe that CHI blows out NYK tonight. I wonder though that if NYK hasn't figured the Bulls out. I'm really surprised more teams haven't done this, but it should be obvious by now -- take a long/fast wing defender, stick him on Rose, and watch the Bulls die. Shumpert did it, LeBron did it (and will do it against in the ECF) -- every team has one long wing defender who they should bring in to fluster Rose. I think I lean catching the points here in what should be another close game.

Anyone else have thoughts about today's card?
quote
Jake2458 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Jake2458
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 195
Location: New Jersey
#2
Posted: 4/10/2012 11:09:39 AM
Someone said that Rose MIGHT not play tonight. Not sure if that is true or not and if it is true, it really doesn't matter. They have a better PG on the bench .

I hate how the Knicks are not home tonight, I think that hurts them a little bit. But I don't see the Celtics AND Knicks both getting blown out. If it happens, I only see one of them loosing like that. In all honestly, both of them should play HARD tonight. They had some rest, they are battling for a playoff spots.

The 76ers have been going DOWNNNNN. Do they FINALLY wake up tonight? I honestly have no idea. The Nets didn't play that well last game against a very beat us Cavs team. The 76ers NEED a win. I would go with the 76ers here. 4 teams battling for 2 playoff spots, the 76ers being one of them.

I've been telling my friends that I think the 76ers will drop out of playoff contention, and the Bucks will make it along with the Knicks. Lets see if the Sixers can change that up, starting tonight. 
quote
adz1922 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
adz1922
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 165
Location: Philippines
#3
Posted: 4/10/2012 12:07:03 PM
quote
kimoinsd808 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
kimoinsd808
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Apr 2008
Posts: 4263
Location: United States
#4
Posted: 4/10/2012 12:15:06 PM
Boston is a 4 seed right now, but they still need to win if they want homecourt advantage in the playoffs.  Their defense is rolling right now.  Their rotation seems to be set and everyone knows and is comfortable with their role.  Even Ray Allen.

Not sure what Miami has to play for or why they should get up for this game.  I think the "revenge angle" is something the media and gamblers hype up WAY more than the actual players do.
quote
mrmississippi send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetUS.com |
mrmississippi
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 27
Location: Mississippi
#5
Posted: 4/10/2012 12:15:14 PM
Yes i have a thought or two i do think the best game on tonite will be the CHI/NY but... and you must understand that Rose was back for the first time the other nite and they had that game won. Now there is no way you can defend a great shot just impossible... I am willing to bet you that Carmelo has no more that 20pts tonight against the Bulls and it will be a blow out!!!
quote
blocksnbooze send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
blocksnbooze
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 742
Location:
#6
Posted: 4/10/2012 12:19:25 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

General thoughts on the various games tonight:

1. Hard to find a side to like in the ORL/WAS game, would feel much more comfortable with evaluating this game if we knew Nene and D-12 status or if D-12 gave a flying ****. Really tough to back ORL given the turmoil going on with that team -- then again, ORL just pasted DET at home without D-12. Washington has been playing better recently but still is a side lacking in quality. The UNDER 195.5 may be the best play on this game.

Actually, a big fan of the OVER here if D-12 ends up not playing. The Magic play at a much faster pace without him and Washington is a team that pushes pushes pushes.

quote
kaponofor3 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
kaponofor3
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 35291
Location: California
#7
Posted: 4/10/2012 12:32:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by blocksnbooze:

Actually, a big fan of the OVER here if D-12 ends up not playing. The Magic play at a much faster pace without him and Washington is a team that pushes pushes pushes.



Since the March 15 Nene trade, Washington has had 11 straight unders and 5 straight overs. They may have picked up the pace recently but they have trouble breaking 100 -- in fact, they only have done it twice offensively since March 15, and that was last night against CHA, not exactly defensive stalwarts, and on the road against NJ. With D-12 playing, ORL is one of the better defensive teams in the league.
quote
MIKECOUU78 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
MIKECOUU78
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 7930
Location: France
#8
Posted: 4/10/2012 12:32:57 PM
good stuff  like NY today Melo play like a beast right now 
quote
andreagassi6969 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
andreagassi6969
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 20269
Location: Nevada
#9
Posted: 4/10/2012 1:29:28 PM
quote
winner005 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Sportsbook.ag |
winner005
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 5238
Location: New York
#10
Posted: 4/10/2012 6:03:48 PM
quote
kaponofor3 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
kaponofor3
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 35291
Location: California
#11
Posted: 4/10/2012 6:34:30 PM
Did You Know:

Dallas has is 6-27-2 against a hypothetical -9 line since February 1, 2012?


quote
JEG53 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
JEG53
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 20867
Location: California
#12
Posted: 4/10/2012 6:48:58 PM
nice stuff Kap.
quote
Gordon Gekko
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
Gordon Gekko
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 5990
Location: Massachusetts
#13
Posted: 4/10/2012 7:05:31 PM
quote
SCROG send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
SCROG
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jul 2009
Posts: 3256
Location: California
#14
Posted: 4/10/2012 7:20:40 PM
quote
2Team_Parlay send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
2Team_Parlay
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 8561
Location: California
#15
Posted: 4/10/2012 7:26:19 PM

it took a rusty Rose, and an unstoppable Melo, in NY to beat Chicago by 1 point on a last second 3 pointer....

Now that its in Chicago i expect the Bulls to roll here...

quote
kaponofor3 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
kaponofor3
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 35291
Location: California
#16
Posted: 4/10/2012 7:32:55 PM
The thing that makes me go "hmmmm" now about NYK is that they can throw out a really pretty solid defensive unit now: Chandler, Jeffries, Melo (only bad defender), Fields, and Shumpert. Let Melo handle the ball on offense and run/initiate the offense and surround him by four hustle guys who are long and play hard on defense. That's an interesting nut to try to crack if you ask me and might be a recipe for success for NYK.
quote
schmyga send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
schmyga
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 271
Location:
#17
Posted: 4/10/2012 9:02:25 PM
kapono for mvp
quote
JEG53 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
JEG53
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 20867
Location: California
#18
Posted: 4/10/2012 9:06:55 PM
ESPN just announced Rose is out,
so what you say Kap,NYKs +7 ?
quote
Forum Index : NBA Betting : Messages
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.