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Rockhold VS Belfort

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Rookie
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Posted: #1

In May, Rockhold -130 Vitor -110

Am I missing something here?  Vitor is overrated (still great) & Rockhold is underrated, I get that before anyone gets cute. 

Im gonna have to go back & watch Lukes fights against Jacare & Kennedy (yes by FAR his best wins, controversial in the Jacare fight at the least) and figure out how he is favored.  He's very well rounded & tricky and mixes his strikes up well but is way overmatched in terms of fight ending ability.  Vitor is strong at 185 with + TDD & jitz.  Vitor is by no means the picture of health by fighting standards but Rockhold has been dealing with injuring on and off for the last 3 years. 

I am aware of the Vitor hype & that Rockhold is probably a legit top 10 middleweight, but I dont think Vitor is a square play in this one.

Where do u guys see the line going?  I don't see how Vitor doesnt close at over -200.  Hate locking in fights 2 months ahead of time but i am seriously considering locking Vitor in for a 10 unit play.  Someone talk me off the ledge.

 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #2
No ledge to talk you off bro, I mean that's where he and the bisbing line bounced around from.  Rockhold is supposed to be a top 6 MW.  Looking back on his past fights, I didn't think he did enough to beat Jacare... and tbh he didn't really impress me that much vs Kennedy.  That being said he trains at a very good camp, his grappling isn't terrible, and he mixes in his hands and feet well.  All in all I don't think the line is too crazy altho I thought it would be reversed.
 
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Posted: #3
What I do find odd... is the same thing I got a little worried w/in the Bisbing fight after I took Vitor... is that this fight is not a 5rd fight.  Therefore one of Luke's better traits in conditioning won't be nearly the factor it would if this fight was the main event and it was a five rounder.  Idk I like Vitor here tbh.  Not 10u play but I like him a lil.
 
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Posted: #4
I stand corrected thought they were fighting on Fox 7 in april.  The line is def slanted like that due to the fact that they are the main event of FX8 in May and that it is a 5 rd fight.  They are expecting Rockhold's cardio to come into play.
 
Captain
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Posted: #5
I just read kizer will likely not grant victor TRT permission for next fight. That could b huge. I also heard last week that reems test levels were harmfully low for his last fight ( I assume he's off T, as well)
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by sawman:

I just read kizer will likely not grant victor TRT permission for next fight. That could b huge. I also heard last week that reems test levels were harmfully low for his last fight ( I assume he's off T, as well)


It's in Brazil, far from Nevada jurisdiction.

As for the fight itself, both guys are flawed, but I can only see Rockhold winning a decision where I can see Vitor TKO'ing him at any point. I'll probably have a very small play on Vitor at -110 or better.
 
Captain
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Posted: #7
Again... My mistake.
I guess in just meant any time in the future. So vitor wint fight in Vegas I guess!
 
Captain
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Posted: #8
However that Vegas contingent of judges, and weigh in officials like rantnor seen to travel the world with the UFC
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by sawman:

Again... My mistake.
I guess in just meant any time in the future. So vitor wint fight in Vegas I guess!


Yeah, I'd be surprised if he fought in America again. He's a big enough star that even if he tested positive for elevated testosterone in Brazil, the UFC wouldn't make it public. Whereas for someone like Riddle, they couldn't give two sh.its about him and easily throw guys like that under the bus for sh.it like weed. 
 
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Posted: #10
Ya besides cardio maybe being a factor I don't see Rockhold taking this one
 
 
Captain
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Posted: #11
Rockhold conditional should help him score the victory over Belfort. as always Belfort is most dangerous in the first couple rounds.
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