UFC 150

I'm going to miss this card. I'll be out of town.... oh well

Okami/Cerrone/Henderson  $80 wins $107

Okami should be miles above Roberts, however Buddy may make a splash in the UFC soon

Cerrone has a good chin, so I don't think Guillard will catch him. If the fight stays on the feet for 3 rounds, it is possible Guillard outpoints him. But I like Cerrone to keep distance. And the fight has to hit the ground at some point, at which point its over

The first fight between bendo/Edgar was close, point wise, but in reality Bendo laid down a beating. I was on Edgar and I thought it was clear cut. I think this is why the odds are so staggered this time around. Bendo by dec

Shields/Herman - Shields should be worth the -180, or whatever it is. Despite his horrible striking, it seems to be improving, and he seems to find a way around it

A lot of tough fights to gauge - prob won't bet much. I have been real impressed with Lentz, even though he's been losing. Looking at him

lentz -350?... didn't see that coming

bermudez same thing

two good parlay partners

tough to argue with the +170 on a guy that has been in several title fights, and long battles at that... Just don't see a dif outcome myself. Sure the upkick changed the tune, but that's pretty typical in most fights. Same could be said for Edgar when he TKO'd Gray. Arlovski was beating Fedor until he got KO'd, etc.... But they did get clocked and they lost

-200 for shields is crazy. you might as well pay the -300 and get cerrone. guillards only chance here is to catch donald early as hes a front-runner. and although i hate jackson im sure that they both know the only opportunity for melvin is for him is the first round as melvin really has no stoppages after the second round.

and taking into consideration that melvin now trains at sea level and cerrone trains at 5000 why would you even think of shields when cerrone is the much better play.

i dont think bendo would lose a bad decision. if anything, edgar would probably be the one on the wrong side of a decision as dana wants him to move down to 145.

i also think that if cerrone fights to win a cautious decision and guillard can keep it close, donald could lose a controversial decision as i believe that dana is sick of these bullshit greg jackson fights, as am i.

jackson has turned once exciting fighters that come to ktfo or get ktfo trying into fighters that are reluctant to close the show or engage, something that the ufc wants to provide for the fans. the condit/diaz, guida/maynard and now the kongo/jordan fight are good examples of greg jackson garbage.

perhaps that is part of the reason that cerrone broke camp and trained primarily in vail for this fight as albuquerque and the pepsi center are the same altitudes.

i think that dana is a very influential person that signs judges paychecks.

and if i was a judge receiving ringside seats, five star hotel accomodations with perks and priveleges all the while getting paid for it i would make damn sure that i would always be giving the benefit of the doubt to danas favorites.

and he would never, ever have to tell me as such.

it would be my job to read between the lines.