The 2025 season wraps with LIV Golf Indianapolis at The Club at Chatham Hills from August 15-17.
Jon Rahm is the betting favorite in the golf odds even though he's yet to win an event in 2025.
We break down the field and bring some free golf picks ahead of the tournament.
Best LIV Golf Indianapolis picks
- Rahm to win outright (+460)
- Ballester Top 20 (-105)
- Casey Over Watson (-125)
Picks made on 8-13
Odds to win LIV Golf Indianapolis
| Player |  |
|---|---|
| Jon Rahm | +425 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +550 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +800 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +1200 |
| Talor Gooch | +1600 |
| Sebastian Munoz | +1600 |
| David Puig | +2000 |
| Patrick Reed | +2000 |
| Paul Casey | +2500 |
| Dean Burmester | +2800 |
| Abraham Ancer | +2800 |
| Carlos Ortiz | +3000 |
| Cameron Smith | +3500 |
| Marc Leishman | +3500 |
Odds as of 8-12
LIV Golf Indianapolis picks and predictions
Outright pick: Jon Rahm
+460 at bet365
While a disappointing playoff loss kept Jon Rahm from his first 2025 LIV Golf win, he continues to knock on victory’s door, and I expect him to burst through with the season-long points championship within his grasp.
Rahm’s worst finish this year has been a T11 at LIV Dallas, and he’s been an absolute machine while racking up six Top 5s across the event schedule.
His statistical profile checks out, too.
Rahm ranks second in both true strokes gained off-the-tee and tee-to-green while also ranking ninth in putting. It’s also translated into the second-highest birdie average and tour-high greens-in-regulation percentage.
Finishing position pick: Jose Luis Ballester Top 20
-105 at DraftKings
The emerging star lost in a playoff to finish T2 at LIV Chicago, and Jose Luis Ballester carded a cool T7 in the LIV UK event, so he heads to The Club at Chatham Hills in high-end form.
Ballester is also pacing the tour in true strokes gained off the tee while also checking in 10th in tee-to-green play and seventh in putting through the two-event surge.
Matchup pick: Paul Casey Over Bubba Watson
-125 at bet365
Paul Casey topped Bubba Watson in LIV Chicago with an impressive T5 finish, and he gained true strokes across the board.
The Englishman has the better statistical profile over the past four LIV events, too.
Casey ranks eighth in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green, second on approaches, and ninth in putting, while Watson checks in with respective ranks of 11th, 17th, and 38th.
LIV Golf Indianapolis field and favorites
Jon Rahm hasn't found his way to the winner's circle in 2025, but he's come close, including a T2 in Chicago last time out.
At +425 to +460, he's the betting favorite this week at LIV Golf Indianapolis. It's the first time the city has hosted.
Bryson DeChambeau has won a LIV event in 2025 (Korea) but has had a more up-and-down season overall, finishing outside the Top 15 three times, though he did rattle off six straight Top 10s, he's finished no better than T11 over his last three.
The other golfer drawing odds shorter than 10/1 is Joaquin Niemann at +800. The Chilean leads all LIV golfers with five tournament victories under his belt in 2025. However, of the seven tournaments where he hasn't won, Niemann has finished no better than T12 and has been T20 or worse five times.
LIV Golf recent winners and odds history
Here are the recent LIV Golf winners and their closing odds to win:
| Event | Golfer | Closing odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago (August 2025) | Dean Burmester | +4000 |
| United Kingdom (July 2025) | Joaquin Niemann | +1000 |
| Andalucia (July 2025) | Talor Gooch | +4000 |
| Dallas (June 2025) | Patrick Reed | +2000 |
| Virginia (June 2025) | Joaquin Niemann | +800 |
| Korea (May 2025) | Bryson DeChambeau | +600 |
| Mexico City (May 2025) | Joaquin Niemann | +1000 |
| Miami (April 2025) | Marc Leishman | +5000 |
| Singapore (March 2025) | Joaquin Niemann | +800 |
| Hong Kong (March 2025) | Sergio Garcia | +2000 |
| Adelaide (February 2025) | Joaquin Niemann | +1000 |
| Riyadh (February 2025) | Adrian Meronk | +10000 |
Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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