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NFL Underdogs: Super Bowl XLVI pointspread pick

Super Bowl weekend is the best time of the year for my people.

For this glorious two-week build up to the big game, every degenerate from Tallahassee to Tacoma is seen as a betting brother, and not some separate scum in society.
 
Look around. ESPN writer John Clayton is leading his Friday column off, asking if Las Vegas got the spread wrong. You’d expect that from Chad Millman, but not the Football Hall of Fame Grim Reaper.
 
Your brother in-law Jim is playing bookie, your best friend Ted is letting his inner oddsmaker boil to the surface and your girlfriend Stacey is a wiseguy, telling you how she’s all over the first half under.
 
Even your minister, Father John, would rather be on the couch next to you Sunday, stuffing his face with cheese-covered nachos and getting some action on the coin flip, than in church preaching to a half-dozen people checking their watches every two minutes.      
 
Yup, everybody’s got an opinion on Sunday’s game and this is the one time of the year when everyone puts their money where their mouths are. It’s the one day when even condemning Connies get off their moralist high horse and realize what the action addicts already know – betting on a game just makes a good thing even better.
 
I’m in Las Vegas now and I’ll be tweeting throughout the game, describing the reaction from the folks inside the book on both sides of the window.
 
Let’s move onto my loser Super Bowl pick (reverse jinx?).
 
New York Giants vs. New England Patriots (-3, 53)
 
Is there anybody, outside of Massachusetts residents, who like the Patriots in this Super Bowl rematch?
 
Sure, New England has the better quarterback and coach – and not by a wide margin – but is there any other area you wouldn’t give the nod to New York?
 
Pass rush and secondary both have to go to NYG, and so does receiving weapons and running backs. 
 
Hell, even Madonna said she’d take Eli Manning over Tom Brady.
 
Abby, don’t worry. Eli’s not leaving you for a 53-year-old woman with bigger arms than Justin Tuck.
 
I’m an underdog bettor but it seems like the dog in this fight is the public favorite. The Giants are rolling and the Patriots seem like the worst 15-3 team in Super Bowl history.
 
So while the warning lights are flashing, I’m not going to fade the public just because they can’t be right. I think the Giants are the better team and they’ll prove it Sunday.
 
I’m on the Giants and the under. A 27-24 final score sounds about right to me.
 
Here are a few other prop bets I like:
 
First score will be a field goal: +180
 
Total touchdowns scored by both teams: Under 6.5
 
Longest touchdown scored will be: Under 47.5 yards
 
Total receiving yards for Mario Manningham: Over 43.
5
 
That’s it guys. Remember – drink, eat and gamble responsibly on Sunday.

--
 
Ashton’s NFL record on the year 35-27-1 ATS.
 
Looking for another way to bash Ashton’s picks? Follow him on Twitter @AshtonGrewal

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Posted by Canucklehead33
2 years ago

30-27 Pats and the OVER
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Posted by YukonTrav
2 years ago

totally agree with Howzuck, no fucking way Vegas gets the line THAT wrong. All the action on the Giants, but the spread doesnt waver?? That doesnt sound right. Pats able to blow out teams if Brady is hot. I say he will be and the Pats win by 7
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Posted by cdh
2 years ago

NYG are the better team. Unbiased opinion. Had the Pats # one time already this year, but that is stating the obvious. And that wasn't the SB. This game will be close, making one hell of a SB rematch. NY's defense gets to Brady, and that gets us the W. Gotta agree with the side and total here. NYG and under. NYG ML. GLA.
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Posted by stats1
2 years ago

GIANTS 31-21
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Posted by bej0101
2 years ago

pats and over it is..
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Posted by howzuck
2 years ago

Sure, why not? Giants are the better team and are on a roll, but whenever I go against Brady I lose. Belichick has two weeks to prepare, is he a genius or not? Vegas isn't stupid, they set the line for Pats to be favored to lure $ on Gmen. I love the Giants here, but I can't bet too much on them
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Posted by bilsfn15
2 years ago

you Sir are correct. this would be Billy's 3rd loss in a row to the giants...no team does that, God can't beat Billy 3 times in a row. this line is SOOOOOOOOOO fishy especially with the comparison of plays. i just know the Pats were looking ahead ot the giants in the championship game and almost lost it. Brady is one of the most determined individuals i've ever seen and he's been biting his lip since they lost in 08...Billy and Brady win this today 31-24
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Top Response

Posted by stats1
2 years ago

"GIANTS 31-21"