Bronx bombs: Books adjust to homer-friendly Yankee Stadium

The Yankees are in the midst of a six-game road trip.

Those of you waiting anxiously to pound the overs upon their return to homer-happy Yankee Stadium are wasting your time.

Oddsmakers and sportsbooks have already adjusted.

The first six games at the new Yankee Stadium produced a record 26 home runs and an average of 13.8.

The Indians scored 14 runs in one inning in a 22-4 rout of the Yankees on April 18.

Soon after, AccuWeather came out with a report that suggested the stadium’s design combined with a west wind creates a wind tunnel out to right field.

Sixteen of the first 20 home runs hit at Yankee Stadium were to right field, with the wind blowing from the West.

The slew of media attention that focuses on the Yankees has kept the story alive. And the betting public is naturally gravitating to the over.

Oddsmakers, like Pete Korner of the Las Vegas Sports Club, have noticed.

“The cat’s out of the bag,” said Korner. “No doubt, we have jacked up the totals in the small amount of time. You won’t see low totals there by oddsmakers and bookmakers alike.”

Randy Scott, sportsbook manager at betED.com, saw a bump in over action after the Indian pummeling and responded with inflated totals.

“Since then, the over/under has gone 2-1 under,” said Scott. “Yankee games usually attract over wagers to begin with, and now that numbers like that have been obtained at Yankee Stadium, the players will continue to bet the over and our numbers will react to the action.”

Still, after only six games, oddsmakers and professional handicappers agree that it’s way too early to start banking on regular 13-run outbursts.

“Remember, the thin air in Colorado produced 14 totals,” Korner added. “Well, it turned out to be the balls and not the air. Let's keep an eye on the runs and revisit the stats after at least 20 games.”

Covers Experts’ David Malinsky has even gone to the extent of erasing the first four Yankee home games from his database.

Malinsky notes that surplus of runs not only affects game totals, but also prices on pitchers like C.C. Sabathia and Chien-Ming Wang, who surrendered big numbers in early starts at Yankee Stadium.

While it’s too early to be considered a season-long trend, everyone will be paying close attention when the Yankees return home Thursday, including GM Brian Cashman.

"It's something we're going to have to keep our eye on because clearly the numbers don't lie," Cashman recently told an audience at Southern Connecticut State University.

Cashman also mentioned that home runs are traveling about eight feet father this year compared to last.

"It's possible that the ballpark is a home run-type park," he told the Associated Press. "We'll see. The ball is going farther in every park, not just ours."

 

If you have any feedback or suggestions for our Editorial Team, please contact us at Editorial

            share   SHARE   rss   RSS FEED   email   EMAIL   print   PRINT

There haven't been any comments posted on this article. Be the first to respond!

You are currently not logged in.
Login | Signup | Help
You must be logged in to post a comment.

Top Response

There have been no comments on this article. Be the first to respond!