College four-play: Week 10 predictions

Are you confused yet? If not, you just aren’t paying attention.

 

It seems there are more options for the BCS title game this season than Graham Harrell has on second-and-five on the 50-yard line.

 

“It makes for a very cautious approach to setting the BCS title game odds each week,” says Randy Scott, sportsbook manager for betEd.com “This season definitely stands out as having more potential scenarios than past seasons.”

 

He’s not kidding. There’s a logjam at the top of the favorites list to win the national championship and BCS rankings don’t seem to have a heck of a lot to do with it. Texas (No. 1 in BCS) and Penn State (No. 3) lead the way at just +200. Sniffing right behind is USC at +300, Bama (No. 2) at +450 and Florida (No. 8) at +500.

 

Wait a second. Why is one-loss, crap-schedule, whoops-I-did-it-again USC the third favorite at +300?

 

The Trojans are ranked No. 5 in the BCS standings and don’t deserve to get in ahead of a one-loss SEC team or a one-loss Big 12 team in my books.

 

“Our USC odds reflect both action and public perception. It's still anyone's guess who's even going to be in the BCS game this year -- which makes things much tighter on our odds to win the BCS board,” says Scott.

 

“Out of the top five favorites to win the BCS, Texas, Penn St, Alabama, USC and Florida, the most popular pick&nb

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Posted by doobiebrother
5 years ago

1-0 this week (+2.4), CFB 48-34-1 (+36.6). S. Carolina (-5.5) - Getting some nice value due to strong history for visitor in series (10-0-1 ATS), but SC defense over Vols offense a serious mismatch. Gamecocks coming off a bye, while Tennessee plays 7th straight week. Missouri/Baylor Under (66.5) – Baylor will have some success keeping Tigers’ offense of field with rush attack, and Bears defense is improving. Under 6-2 in Baylor’s Big 12 home games. Bears rank #8 in net punting, and #118 in punt returns. Arkansas (+7) – Tulsa hasn’t just played an easy schedule, they’ve played THE easiest schedule (#119), while Hogs have played one of the toughest (#9). Arkansas RB Smith is SEC’s leading rusher going for 91 vs. Bama, 133 vs. Florida, 176 vs. Auburn, and 129 vs. Ole Miss. He will go through Tulsa “D” like a hot knife through butter, and Hogs project for 290 passing yards as well. Tulsa has lost 17 straight vs. schools from BCS conferences, and today will be no different. Notre Dame (-5) – Pitt QB Stull out and backup Bostick was a nightmare LY. This will allow Irish to load the box vs. McCoy. Claussen should do damage vs. Pitt pass “D” that gave up 371 yards passing to Rutgers LW. SU winner 10-0 ATS in series. Texas Tech (+140) – Love playing against teams overrated due to weak schedule, but in this case Tech is actually underrated for that reason. Raiders 44-10 SU at H under Leach and have by far the best team under his command, especially on “D”, and they are legitimate national title contenders. Horns playing great, but face 4th straight top 10 team in only 2nd true road game TY. Upset in order. Kentucky/Miss.St. Under (38) – Two excellent defenses, two poor offenses, and kickers are combined 9-18 inside the 40. Typical home SEC game for MSU. Arkansas St. (+23.5) – Bama notorious for not showing up in these type matchups (0-11 ATS HF 35< vs. .500<) and with LSU on deck this a prime spot to fade them. 4 units on Texas Tech, all other plays 3.
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Posted by CashMoneyMaker
5 years ago

georgia has offensive weapons as well...they have a GREAT QB have knowshon and king, great receivers. this game is going to come down to turnovers.
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Posted by zOrO-GZA
5 years ago

I love this covers predictions... Tulane +25 Northwestern +6.5 Georgia +6.5 Georgia Tech -2.5 GLA!
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Posted by KasperNV
5 years ago

Minny Florida Navy Oregon
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Posted by onceago
5 years ago

Aloha everybody, Indrep, I like those picks especially Minnesota and Navy on the teasers and the Oregon/Cal under 61. I would even pick Oregon to cover. I also like Florida to cover Georgia.
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Posted by QMICH
5 years ago

HOW ABOUT SOME BIG 10 BEAUTIES: MSU -5 MIN -7 MICH +3 BOL TO ALL!
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Posted by indrep
5 years ago

Here are my PODs ***Texas A&M - 3 1/2 - Don't worry about the hook. This will be a slaughter. ***Kansas State / Kansas under 69.5. This number inflated because of previous results. *** 6pt tease Minnesota -1 1/2 and Navy -1 -> Cha Ching **Oregon/Cal under 61 --> bad weather antipated Best of luck my friends
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Posted by theparappa
5 years ago

I am a huge Florida fan (and un-biased lol) but I think Florida covers and the game goes over as well. Florida has WAY too many weapons and that infamous 'Gator Stomp' will play on their minds and be up for the game. Remember what they did to LSU after LSU came back from a 24-14 deficit last year and beat Florida. It's redemption time and Georgia is up next. Unless Georgia plays a ball-controlling game, with Knowshawn Moreno and keeps it away from the Florida offense, Georgia will be playing into Florida's Game and they won't be able to keep up. This game will have too much at stake, notwithstanding, egos on the line, and Georgia can't simply win that way. Florida has good talent at the defenive backs position and have been creating turnovers like crazy. Georgia has the great frosh receiver Green that could give Florida trouble. But then again, this will be his toughest task (behind Alabama) verus a defense with speed and hard hitters. prediction: UF 41 UGA 31
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Posted by DyHardBillsFan
5 years ago

LOVE Florida and MINNY!!
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Posted by DyHardBillsFan
5 years ago

"LOVE Florida and MINNY!!"