Value in AFC, Under with Farmer's Almanac predicting snowy Super Bowl?
The famed Farmer’s Almanac isn’t just giving those with a green thumb a look into the future. NFL bettors could benefit from the annual publication that provides long-range weather predictions, specifically as it pertains to wagering on Super Bowl XLVIII.
The 2014 edition of the Farmer’s Almanac is calling for nasty winter weather in New Jersey
this February, which could put a chill on the celebrations at MetLife Stadium – the venue for the Big Game on February 2.
“We are forecasting stormy weather for this, the biggest of sporting venues,” reads the almanac. “But even if we are off by a day or two with the timing of copious wind, rain, and snow, we wish to stress that this particular part of the winter season will be particularly volatile and especially turbulent.”
Some sportsbooks are offering early odds on Super Bowl XLVIII, with the spread bouncing between the NFC and AFC at -1 and the total available between 49.5 and 50.5 points. According to Peter Childs of Sportsbook.com, the early odds are based on which teams are favored to play in the Super Bowl.
“While there could be weather in New York for this year’s Super Bowl, unless there is wind I’m always of the opinion that the public makes too much of a deal with the weather,” Childs told Covers. “These fields have heated coils underneath and they all still play real fast. Again, unless there is wind or big-time snow flurries, I don’t see the weather being that impactful on our total.”
Currently, the top two favorites to face off in the Super Bowl are the Denver Broncos and San Francisco 49ers (+1,400 to meet in Super Bowl). A cold-weather setting and “copious wind, rain, and snow” benefits the Broncos (+700 to win Super Bowl), who are used to playing when the temperatures drop – much more than California sun-soaked San Francisco (+850).
The Farmer’s Almanac, which has been predicting the weather for 197 years, is reportedly correct 80 percent of the time, an outstanding rate when you consider the top handicappers in the sports betting business top out at just under 60 percent.
Perhaps those getting their tulip bulbs planted early may also want to throw down a little green on the AFC and the Under in what is expected to be a snowy Super Bowl.