Louisville-Wichita State pointspread a historically big number

Jon Campbell
The pointspread that has Louisville favored by 10.5 points over Wichita State (as of Friday) in this weekend's Final Four matchup isn't the highest Final Four number ever.

But it's close.

The only higher spread in a Final Four matchup going back to 1998 - as far as our data goes - came in 1999 when Duke was -11 against Michigan State. Michigan State covered the number in that one in a 68-62 loss.

Those are the only two double-digit spreads going back the past 16 years. After that the next biggest number was considerably farther behind at 8.5, which Kentucky was favored by twice - once in 1998 and once in 2012.

The Wildcats failed to cover in both those games and for whatever it's worth, the underdog is 4-1 ATS (against the spread) in the five Final Four games with the biggest spreads in that time period.

Rounding out the top 10 biggest Final Four spreads are:

UNC -8 1998 (didn't cover)
Michigan State -8 2000 (covered)
Oklahoma -7 2002 (didn't cover)
UNC -7 2009 (covered)
Florida -6 2006 (covered)

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Posted by RSampsell
3 years ago

Due for the favorite to cover.... after all it is supposed to be a 50/50 shot when playing the spread.

Posted by The Hawk
3 years ago

I just can't see the Shockers covering..........which, statistically, puts me in the minority! Ouch!
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