NFL Prop Shop: Week 12's best prop plays
Our record inside the 'Prop Shop' stands at 24-20 on the season entering Week 12. Take a look at Sean's four best prop bets on Sunday:
Most passing yards
Carson Palmer vs. Andy Dalton
The Raiders have taken to airing it out on offense in recent weeks, with Carson Palmer throwing for over 300 yards in three consecutive games. That trend should continue on Sunday, as this is still a team that lacks a reliable ground game in the absence of Darren McFadden.
Oakland gave up 38 points in last week's loss to the Saints, but did hold Drew Brees to just 219 passing yards. I expect to see the Raiders 'D' play it safe for much of this one, dropping back in coverage and not allowing Andy Dalton to bomb away to A.J. Green. It's their only chance of staying close in this contest.
Jake Locker vs. Chad Henne
Chad Henne absolutely lit up a quality Texans defense last week, so the knee-jerk reaction is to back him in this matchup on Sunday. I don't think it's the correct decision, though, as the veteran QB has been bounced around the league for a reason.
The Titans are coming off their bye week, meaning oft-injured sophomore QB Jake Locker has had some extra time to get re-acclimated with his receiving corps. Note that Locker does have a 378-yard passing day to his credit this season, and should shine against a banged-up Jaguars secondary.
Most rushing yards
C.J. Spiller vs. Vick Ballard
Fred Jackson is expected to return from injury on Sunday, but that doesn't mean C.J. Spiller will be eliminated from the Bills game plan. I expect Spiller to shine in this favorable matchup against the Colts. Gaining 6.6 yards per rush on the season, there's no question,Spiller is the Bills biggest home run threat out of the backfield right now.
Vick Ballard has been getting the bulk of the carries in the Colts RB platoon, but I won't be surprised if veteran Donald Brown earns a few extra looks against a physical Bills front line on Sunday.
Most pass receptions
Sidney Rice vs. Brian Hartline
I really like the way Seahawks QB Russell Wilson has evolved in his rookie season. He's looking down the field a lot more often recently, and Sidney Rice has benefited from Wilson's growth with 12 catches in the last three games. With the Dolphins secondary struggling, we can expect Rice to find plenty of operating room on Sunday.
It's been feast-or-famine for Brian Hartline this season. Off back-to-back eight-catch games, he hauled in only four last Thursday in Buffalo. That was the fourth time in the last six games he's been held to four catches or less.