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Bears or 49ers? Bloggers debate who will cover

The odds for Monday night’s game between the Chicago Bears and San Francisco 49ers were delayed due to injuries to starting quarterbacks on either side.

Now that the injury news has been updated – Jay Cutler and Alex Smith both out-  and the spread has been set (San Francisco -5), it’s time to size up which team will cover in Week 11.

We enlist the help of each teams’ expert bloggers to get a better handle on this marquee matchup. Adam Oestmann of Bears blog “Chicago Bears Huddle” and David Fucillo of 49ers blog “Niners Nation” strap on the pads and debate who will cover the spread Monday night.

THREE REASONS WHY CHICAGO WILL COVER



Adam Oestmann is the managing editor for Chicago Bears Huddle on ChicagoNow. You can follow them on Facebook and Twitter @BearsHuddle.

Campbell forces offense to improve... by default

As of late, it’s felt like Mike Tice is trying to force the Bears into becoming one of the elite, high-flying showboats in the NFL - and they simply aren’t that. The Chicago offense has looked its best when the plan focused around Matt Forte. Without Cutler, and given Jason Campbell’s skill set, I expect the Bears to force the issue with Forte, spelling him with Michael Bush and using Campbell-to-Marshall on play action.

Alshon Jeffery likely to return

The Bears’ receiver situation was much worse than most fans realized last season. When your team’s RB is also their leading receiver, it might be a hint that you don’t need just a No. 1 wide receiver; you need a No. 2, a No. 3, and a tight end. Rookie receiver Alshon Jeffery looked to be a solid option opposite Brandon Marshall early on but has been sidelined with a broken hand since Week 5. Early indications are that he will go, barring a setback, against the 49ers on Monday night. He should provide Jason Campbell with a second legitimate red-zone threat.

Bears’ defense is scary

What the Bears have done defensively is borderline historic. They are on pace to shatter the NFL’s interception returns for touchdowns record by five. They get after the QB, they stop the run, and their secondary has shut-down potential. San Francisco is no slouch either, but Rod Marinelli’s crew has yet to fail this team and has put them in a position to win every single football game. How can I expect anything less Monday night?

THREE REASONS WHY SAN FRANCISCO WILL COVER



David Fucillo writes for Niners Nation. You can follow them on Facebook or Twitter @NinersNation.

QB situation

The 49ers have reportedly made a surprising late change, as ESPN's Chris Mortensen is reporting Alex Smith is out for Monday Night Football. This leaves us with a matchup of Colin Kaepernick and Jason Campbell. The 49ers' chances of covering could still be solid as it is likely more difficult for the Bears to prepare for the difference between Smith and a more athletic Kaepernick than the 49ers preparing for Campbell over Cutler. Kaepernick is making his first career start, so it really is a guessing game, but I'll remain optimistic.

Bay Area aura

The 49ers have claimed seven straight home games against the Bears in a series that has seen home teams control things. The home atmosphere at Candlestick is electric and a Monday night crowd for a potential playoff preview will be a raucous affair at the Stick. With Jason Campbell making his first start in some time, this should benefit the 49ers.

Ground and pound

Each team rolls out a running back duo that provides different traits, depending on who's carrying the ball. The 49ers have an edge with Frank Gore and Kendall Hunter thoroughly dominating, averaging 1.4 yards per carry more than the Bears. The winner of this game will be the team that establishes the run. I think the 49ers are the team that can do that on Monday.

Join the debate. Who covers - Chicago or San Francisco - Monday night?

 

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Posted by QBoption
1 year ago

Had to sim this a third time for the tie breaker...i am a 49er fan..Game #3 :26-25 49ers...they got lucky, go ahead TD catch by crabtree with 1:20 left in the 4th. Bears TO on the next poss...34 is really too low a number for a Monday nite game...
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Posted by Skubishack
1 year ago

As someone who follows the Raiders I can tell you that Campbell is a good backup in this situation, especially with the Bears having a run game, just like Campbell had in Oakland. The problem is with the Bears O-Line which will get Campbell killed vs this Niners "D". Even "if" Campbell avoids turnovers... the Bears still need to score on offense... which will not be easy unless Forte and Bush have big games, and I don't see that happening with a Niners "D" that will have its ears pinned back. I expect the Nioners to run the ball alot and use Vernon Davis and thier other TE's alot in this game. Kapernick has a better arm than Smith and his running ability and speed makes him dangerous when he decides to run. If the Niners avoid any turnovers... then they should cover the line which is now at SF-3 pts. I think it will be close but I like the under at -34.5 also. ------------ SF-3 and Under 34.5 pts.
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Posted by Skubishack
1 year ago

$110.00 $241.05 Pending 2 Team Parlay Pending 11/19/12 8:40pm NFL Football 436 San Francisco 49ers -3 -135* vs Chicago Bears Pending 11/19/12 8:40pm NFL Football 435 Chicago Bears/San Francisco 49ers Under 35 -120*
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Posted by QBoption
1 year ago

I sim'd this game twice... Game #1: 17-3 49ers (gore got jacked up)... Game #2 10-3 Bears (gore 13 att 31 yds)... how bout another under? who cares who wins...
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Posted by jimz1974
1 year ago

With the news of Alex smith not getting the start will change the dynamic of this game. The line now is -3 1/2 -104 sf and -190 ml for the niners. The total has also dropped to 34. I still feel that sf is the play and should come up with the win. Not to be outdone the bears D will be ready and will give sf a hard time. That being said sf's d will also be up to the task and should make some noise of their own. I still feel sf takes this one and def covers the 3.5. Buying 1 point is also a good bet if you like sf. Than it makes sf a winner with just a field goal. Something to concider. Gl to all!
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Posted by betipickem
1 year ago

I like the Bears +5 in this one!
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Posted by betipickem
1 year ago

With the starting QB's now both ruled out for Monday night game. The line has now dropped to SF -5. Campbell took care of the ball well against one of the leagues best defense, the Texans and should do so again with Matt forte an company. The rookie QB from SF scrambled well against a Stl defense that isnt to bad. A big time game Monday an the crowd from the bay will be ready, but it wont be enough to beat the chicago bears tonight. Look for chicago to shut down gore an hunter in the running game and put the rookie in a situation to beat them which just wont happen. The bears will have a interception or two in this and 2 or more sacks to add which will lead into great field position for Chicago. Final Chicago 16 49ers 6
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Posted by Fsusox23
1 year ago

smith is out. but sf #2 is much better then chicago #2..
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Posted by arcademeus
1 year ago

Both starting qb are out. If u like the Bears, better bet it now while they're plus 7.
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Posted by hangtyme
1 year ago

noway the 49ers put up 27 points on that bear defense iam taking bears +7
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Posted by jimz1974
1 year ago

Niners cover the 7pts at home. Smith over Campbell.. seems like a no brainer, plus sf is home. The crowd will be pumped so will be the niners. Chicago'D will still be huge but don't think they will have enough this time. I can see sf's D putting up some pts in this one, what with Jason Campbell running the offence I think its a good bet that sf's D will be licking their chopss when the Chicago off takes the field. 7 is a good line. I think the right play would be to buy a half point and hammer the niners at -6 1/2. Niners are due despite Alex smith and his concussion issues he's still starting. Jason Campbell is a decent qb and has the ability to win but will be in tough. Sf's D will cause turnovers of both varieties and I think will prove the final result. 27-13 niners. Go luck to all!
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Posted by calcity2
1 year ago

Sounds good until Smith goes down again and we are back at #2 vs #2 QB....
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Top Response

Posted by betipickem
1 year ago

"With the starting QB's now both ruled out for Monday night game. The line has now dropped to SF -5. Campbell took care of the ball well against one of the leagues best defense, the Texans and should do so again with Matt forte an company. The rookie..."