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3* play on Sharapova to advance!
We're backing Sharapova to advance. Sharapova perhaps isn't at her absolute best right now, but our model rates her to much lower odds, which are likely being held in check by Bouchard's popularity. Sharapova is an amazing 87-16 (12.2% ROI) as a favorite down to 1.2/-500 (48-9 on hard courts). Meanwhile Bouchard hasn't quite made the leap of beating top 10 players, just 9-16 all-time. She is an up and comer for sure, but we see Maria's power and experience as a major asset in this match still and don't view Bouchard as being in the form to make this leap. She may take a set, but Sharapova should ultimately prevail.
3* play ; Sharapova to win
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