NFL Power Rankings: Week 12

By Teddy Covers - Covers Expert

The Patriots manage to hold on to the top spot in our latest NFL Power Rankings, but the other top teams have definitely closed the gap as we head into Week 12. Meanwhile we can't understate of Tony Romo's value to the Cowboys.

NFL Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 same 10-0-0
-7 New England
The Patriots remain at the No. 1 spot in my Power Rankings, but their power rating number has been trending downwards due to the barrage of injuries on the offensive side of the ball.
2 3 up 1 10-0-0
-6 Carolina
Despite their 10-0 SU mark and their 8-2 ATS record, the betting markets indicated their lack of respect for the Panthers once again, when Carolina opened as underdogs at 3-7 Dallas.
3 4 up 1 8-2-0
-5.5 Arizona
On a yards per play basis, the Cardinals are the best team in the NFL, gaining a whopping 1.3 more yards per snap on offense than they allow on defense.
4 2 down 2 8-2-0
-5.5 Cincinnati
Did Andy Dalton ‘fail’ in another big national TV game? Not by my metrics: 315 passing yards and two TD’s while leading three scoring drives with the game on the line in the 4th quarter.
5 6 up 1 7-3-0
-4 Green Bay
Yes, the Packers snapped an ugly three game skid by beating the Vikes. But Aaron Rodgers still didn’t complete half of his passes and only James Jones had more than 40 receiving yards.
6 5 down 1 6-4-0
-4 Pittsburgh
The Steelers have a tough stretch run, playing four of their last six on the road -- including trips to Seattle and Cinci -- along with home games against the Broncos and Colts.
7 11 up 4 3-7-0
-3.5 Dallas
I upgraded the Cowboys by four points when Tony Romo returned, replacing Matt Cassel at quarterback. That upgrade was not enough – I gave Dallas another two point boost this week.
8 9 up 1 8-2-0
-3 Denver
It took one drive for Twitter to blow up, calling Brock Osweiler the better QB compared to Peyton Manning. He finished 20-27 for 250 yards and no INT’s in a hostile road environment.
9 7 down 2 7-3-0
-2.5 Minnesota
Cornerback Captain Munnerlyn following another high profile loss in a big game: “We've got to fix this. You've got to be able to win when the whole world is watching.”
10 12 up 2 5-5-0
-2.5 Seattle
RB Thomas Rawls just became the first rookie in NFL history with 250 yards from scrimmage, a rushing TD and a TD reception in the same game. There’s no downgrade here if Lynch is hurt!
11 14 up 3 5-5-0
-2 Kansas City
If the season ended today, Kansas City would be the AFC’s last Wild Card team, a truly impressive turnaround for Andy Reid’s squad following an ugly five game early season skid.
12 8 down 4 5-5-0
-1 Buffalo
Since his month long injury absence, QB Tyrod Taylor has thrown only two TD passes in three starts, and his two lowest rushing totals of the season have come in the last two weeks.
13 10 down 3 5-5-0
-0.5 N.Y. Jets
Darrelle Revis can’t stay healthy and neither can Nick Mangold. Weakness on both the offensive line and in the secondary has been a primary cause of the Jets recent slump.
14 13 down 1 4-6-0
-0.5 Philadelphia
Led by Marc Sanchez at quarterback, Philly played one of their best games of the season on Thanksgiving last year, beating Dallas by 23 in Cowboys Stadium.
15 18 up 3 5-5-0
0 N.Y. Giants
The first place Giants have last place stats, allowing 0.6 yards per play more than they gain. That’s dead last in the NFC East in that key statistical category.
16 15 down 1 4-6-0
0.5 Oakland
Oakland’s high octane passing game has been shut down in back–to-back weeks. Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper combined for a season low 54 receiving yards in Detroit.
17 25 up 8 5-5-0
0.5 Tampa Bay
The Bucs make a big jump in the power rankings this week. With Vincent Jackson healthy again and Austin Sefarian-Jenkins expected back this week, this offense is loaded!
18 16 down 2 6-4-0
1 Atlanta
QB Matt Ryan is clearly regressing. His current 89.6 QB rating is his lowest in any season since 2009 and his 15 TD passes are on pace for his lowest total since ’09 as well.
19 21 up 2 5-5-0
1 Indianapolis
Since their 0-4 ATS start to the season, the Colts have been an undervalued commodity. Indy has now gone 5-1 against the spread in their last six contests, making $$ for their backers.
20 17 down 3 4-6-0
1 Miami
The Dolphins underachieving offense has been the cause of their recent woes, held to 20 points or less in every game during their current 1-3 skid.
21 23 up 2 5-5-0
1.5 Houston
Since their truly ugly first half in a blowout loss at Miami, the Texans defense has keyed their turnaround, allowing only two offensive touchdowns in their last 14 quarters of play.
22 20 down 2 4-6-0
1.5 New Orleans
New defensive coordinator Dennis Allen takes over for the fired Rob Ryan following the bye week. Allen has one previous season as a coordinator, with Denver back in 2011.
23 24 up 1 4-6-0
2.5 Chicago
The Bears skill position injury woes haven’t killed them. Ka’Deem Carey, Jeremy Langford, Marquess Wilson, Josh Bellamy and Zack Miller are all ’no-names’ who have stepped up.
24 19 down 5 4-6-0
2.5 St. Louis
The Rams have been called the ‘dirtiest team in football’ by more than one opposing head coach this year, and they knocked three more Ravens out with serious injuries last week.
25 22 down 3 4-6-0
2.5 Washington
The Redskins have been the ultimate ‘zig-zag’ team this year: 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS off a loss, but 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS off a win; unable to generate any multi-game positive momentum.
26 26 same 4-6-0
3.5 Jacksonville
Here’s a fun stat for you! Blake Bortles leads the NFL in fourth quarter ‘come-from-behind’ drives this year, with all four Jaguars victories coming via late Bortles-led drives.
27 31 up 4 3-7-0
4.5 Detroit
The Lions did something they haven’t been able to do all year in their win over Oakland. They got the ball back with more than 7:30 left in the 4th quarter and ran out the clock!
28 30 up 2 2-8-0
5 Cleveland
QB Johnny Manziel got named as the starter for the rest of the year, then was videoed at a club violating the terms of his probation during the Browns bye week.
29 28 down 1 2-8-0
5 Tennessee
The Titans offense seems to be declining every week. Tennessee has been held to 13 points or less six times in their last seven games, going 1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS in the process.
30 27 down 3 3-7-0
6.5 Baltimore
How bad are the injuries in Baltimore, now that Joe Flacco and Justin Forsett have been sidelined? 17 different Ravens are now on season ending injured reserve!
31 29 down 2 2-8-0
6.5 San Diego
The betting markets here in Vegas have San Diego installed as four point underdogs at Jacksonville this week. The Jags haven’t been favored by more than four points since 2010!
32 32 same 3-7-0
7 San Francisco
It’s pretty clear at this stage of the campaign that the 49ers deserve a ‘dead last’ power rating; outscored by an NFL worst 113 points and outgained by an NFL worst 1.2 yards per play.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.