Three potential upsets for Week 1 of college football

Aug 29, 2012 |
Zach Line could have his way with an inexperienced Baylor defensive line.
Zach Line could have his way with an inexperienced Baylor defensive line.
It seems every college football season opens with at least one shocking upset.

The popular pick among upset hunters this year is Vanderbilt to knock off South Carolina as a home underdog Thursday night. That line recently dropped from a touchdown to Vandy +6.5 as the kickoff to college ball draws closer.

Here’s a look at three other potential outright upsets, with some help from our live odds trackers and Covers Consensus:

Washington State Cougars at BYU Cougars (-12.5, 65)

Cougar-on-Cougar action sounds like a promo for a porno flick, but this Week 1 matchup is oozing with upset potential. New WSU head coach Mike Leach is bringing his high-flying offense to Spokane and books expect some fireworks with a 65-point total. Expect stud WR Marquess Wilson to become a household name by the time this one is over. The spread has dropped from 13.5 and 47 percent of Covers Consensus players are taking Wazzu to at least cover.

Toledo Rockets at Arizona Wildcats (-10, 60.5)

History is against Arizona and new head coach Rich Rodriguez. In his West Virginia debut, RichRod’s Mountaineers were spanked 34-10 by Boston College as 5.5-point underdogs back in 2001. His first showing in Michigan was a 25-23 flop versus Utah as a 3-point fave in 2008. And now, Rodriguez makes his desert debut versus a dangerous Toledo squad that upset the Wolverines under RichRod’s watch in 2008. This line climbed as high as 11 but has come back to the key number. Thirty-one percent of Covers Consensus bettors are picking the Rockets to cover.

SMU Mustangs at Baylor Bears (-10, 58)

Baylor not only has to fill the Texas-sized hole left by Robert Griffin III but was also dealt a loss to the defensive line with Kaeron Johnson being ruled out for the season following back surgery. The Bears are weak in the trenches and face a very good SMU offense led by Texas-transfer QB Garrett Gilbert and FB Zach Line, who led the C-USA with 122.4 yards per game before suffering a foot injury in November. The spread has plummeted from as high as 12.5 and 37 percent of Covers Consensus players are backing SMU to at least stay within the 10 points.
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