Tonight’s three-game WNBA slate is loaded with value, from rookie phenom Olivia Miles dissecting the Los Angeles Sparks to Marina Mabrey looking to bounce back and heat up from deep against the Portland Fire.
However, the spotlight belongs to Gainbridge Fieldhouse for the marquee battle between the Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever.
Kelsey Mitchell headlines our board in that showdown as our experts break down the top WNBA picks and player props for Thursday, Aug. 6.
WNBA player props today
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Kelsey Mitchell |
Under 24.5 points | 51% |
 Olivia Miles |
Over 19.5 points | 50% |
 Marina Mabrey |
Over 2.5 made threes | 51% |
Start trading with Kalshi today!
Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'COVERS' and earn up to $500 in bonuses after you trade $25 on any other event contracts — including this market!
*Eligible U.S. locations only
Aces vs. Fever prop: Kelsey Mitchell Under 24.5 points
While Kelsey Mitchell has been on a scoring tear, this inflated 24.5 line creates prime regression value against a championship-caliber Las Vegas Aces defense.
The Aces feature elite perimeter defenders in Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray, backed by two-way anchor A’ja Wilson clogging the paint. Expect Las Vegas to aggressively blitz Mitchell on pick-and-rolls, forcing the ball out of her hands and making Indiana’s secondary scorers produce.
Facing a motivated squad capable of limiting clean looks, Mitchell will struggle to clear this high bar.
Check out Aisha Quiñones' full Aces vs. Fever predictions.
Prop Confidence Rating: 🟡 The Aces defense has been anchored by 5.1 blocks per game (ranking 1st in the WNBA) alongside a league-leading 5.1% opponent block percentage since the All-Star break which forces opponents into uncomfortable perimeter jumpers and generating easy transition points off deflections.
(Confidence legend: 🟢 = high, 🟡 = medium, ⚪ = low)
Sparks vs. Lynx prop: Olivia Miles Over 19.5 points
Olivia Miles’ assists and rebounds have fallen since Napheesa Collier returned, but her scoring has held up and even increased to 20.3 points from 19.6.
Miles has averaged 20.6 points at home compared to just 18.7 on the road, and she’s scored 20+ in eight of 15 at Target Center.
Facing a lackluster Los Angeles Sparks defense that she torched for 31 and 18 points this season, I expect Miles to crack 20 points again. The price should be closer to -160, making this a value prop.
Check out Zak Hanshew's full Sparks vs. Lynx predictions.
Prop Confidence Rating: 🟢 The Los Angeles Sparks' scoring defense allow a league-worst 94.3 points per game while also surrendering a 48.1% opponent field goal percentage and a 114.6 defensive rating.
Tempo vs. Fire prop: Marina Mabrey Over 2.5 made threes
Marina Mabrey went 0-for-4 from distance against Golden State, but she's still been consistently solid from beyond the arc, hitting at least three 3-pointers in eight of her last 13 starts.
And in the Toronto Tempo's lone meeting this season, Mabrey was 3-for-5 from 3-point range in a loss to the Portland Fire.
Check out Eric Rosales' full Tempo vs. Fire predictions.
Prop Confidence Rating: 🟢 Marina Mabrey leads the WNBA with 3.2 made three-pointers per game while shooting a scorching 38.0% from beyond the arc.
How to bet WNBA player props today
Player props allow WNBA bettors to wager on a player’s total points, assists, rebounds, 3-pointers made, and a number of individual statistics like combo markets.
Just like standard Over/Under odds, prediction markets like Kalshi will set a projected total number for those stats, and bettors can predict whether the player or team will have Over or Under that total.
What is Kalshi?
Kalshi is a federally regulated platform for trading event outcomes on prediction markets. Traders can buy and sell simple, transparent contracts that settle based on the outcome of real-world events. Markets revolve around a yes/no proposition, with prices adjusting dynamically based on traders’ perceived probability that the event will occur. When the event concludes, if you are correct, the contract “honors” at a predetermined price; if you are incorrect, it expires at $0.
WNBA Player Props FAQ
What are the best WNBA player prop bets today?
- Kelsey Mitchell Under 24.5 points
- Olivia Miles Over 19.5 points
- Marina Mabrey Over 2.5 made threes
Where can I trade on WNBA player props?
Kalshi is a regulated prediction market that is federally legal in all 50 states.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
