Best WNBA Player Props Today: Picks & Predictions for Wednesday, August 5

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 5, 2026 , 02:49 PM ET • 4 min read

A Kelsey Plum prop has caught the eye of our WNBA experts tonight. See why she should torch the Dream from downtown, and much more.

Kelsey Plum Phoenix Mercury WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Kelsey Plum of the Phoenix Mercury.

It's a big Wednesday night in the WNBA with four games on deck, and some of the league's biggest stars set to shine on the court.

See why our WNBA picks believe Kelsey Plum will drain 2+ threes tonight, and much more, on Aug. 5.

WNBA player props today

Player  Pick Kalshi
Mercury Kelsey Plum Over 1.5 made threes 61%
Liberty Breanna Stewart Double-double  43%
Wings Paige Bueckers Under 1.5 made threes 57%
Sparks Nneka Ogwumike Double-double  51%

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Mercury vs Dream prop: Kelsey Plum Over 1.5 made threes (-160)

Probability: 61%

Plum came off the bench in her Mercury debut and showed range, going 3-for-5 from downtown. She’s hitting at a scorching 39.5% from distance on the year.
 
That’s a generous 3-point make line, considering she’s hit at least two triples in eight of her last nine games against Atlanta.

Check out Eric Rosales' full Mercury vs. Dream predictions.

Storm vs Liberty prop: Breanna Stewart to record a double-double 

Probability: 43%

While Stewart's scoring prop is a good bet on its own, I'm looking for better value by taking the Liberty superstar to put up a double-double tonight. Stewart boasts double-doubles in three of her last six games, doing so twice since the All-Star break.

Stewart is a near lock to hit double-digits in scoring, so this prop comes down to her rebounds. The Storm rebound at a poor 48.5% rate and allow opponents to grab 35.5 boards per game, second-most in the WNBA.

Stewart should dominate the glass, making her a great double-double pick.

Check out Ed Scimia's full Storm vs. Liberty predictions.

Wings vs Mystics prop: Paige Bueckers Under 1.5 made threes

Probability: 57%

Paige Bueckers has scored one triple or fewer in 13 of 28 total games, including eight of 15 on the road, where she’s averaged 1.7.

Bueckers’ 3-point percentage is a robust 42.9% at home, but she’s been far less efficient on the road, converting just 35.2% of her 3-point tries.

The Mystics have allowed opponents to shoot just 32.3% from beyond the arc, and I don’t expect Bueckers to hit multiple treys tonight.

I price this one closer to -150, so this is a value option.

Check out Zak Hanshew's full Wings vs. Mystics predictions.

Sparks vs Sky prop: Nneka Ogwumike to record a double-double

Probability: 51%

Nneka Ogwumike ranks fourth in the W in double-doubles with 13, and she’s reached that milestone in each of her two matchups with Chicago this season.

Ogwumike has posted a double-double in four straight road games, and she gets a tremendous matchup with a Sky team posting the lowest rebound percentage (47.2) and surrendering the most total rebounds (37.4).

Check out Zak Hanshew's full Sparks vs. Sky predictions.

How to bet WNBA player props today

Player props allow WNBA bettors to wager on a player’s total points, assists, rebounds, 3-pointers made, and a number of individual statistics like combo markets.

Just like standard Over/Under odds, prediction markets like Kalshi will set a projected total number for those stats, and bettors can predict whether the player or team will have Over or Under that total.

What is Kalshi?

Kalshi is a federally regulated platform for trading event outcomes on prediction markets. Traders can buy and sell simple, transparent contracts that settle based on the outcome of real-world events. Markets revolve around a yes/no proposition, with prices adjusting dynamically based on traders’ perceived probability that the event will occur. When the event concludes, if you are correct, the contract “honors” at a predetermined price; if you are incorrect, it expires at $0.

WNBA Player Props FAQ

What are the best WNBA player prop bets today?

  • Kelsey Plum Over 1.5 made threes
  • Breanna Stewart to record a double-double 
  • Paige Bueckers Under 1.5 made threes
  • Nneka Ogwumike to record a double-double

Where can I trade on WNBA player props?

Kalshi is a regulated prediction market that is federally legal in all 50 states.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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