The WNBA offers a robust four-game slate, featuring a heavyweight battle as the Atlanta Dream host the recently acquired Kelsey Plum and the Phoenix Mercury.
Atlanta suffered a brutal blowout home loss to the Las Vegas Aces, and I expect the Dream to be a nightmare for the Mercury as the top act for our four moneyline picks.
Here are the best WNBA picks and moneyline plays for Wednesday, Aug. 5.
WNBA moneyline picks for August 5
| Matchup | Pick (Probability) |
|---|---|
 Stormvs  Liberty |
76% |
 Mercuryvs  Dream |
66% |
 Wingsvs  Mystics |
58% |
 Sparksvs  Sky |
56% |
| 💰 All moneylines parlayed | 5.2x |
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Expert WNBA moneyline picks for August 5
Storm vs Liberty: Liberty (77% probability)
The New York Liberty are humming across their last five games, posting a slate-leading 119.5 offensive rating alongside a blistering 63.5% True Shooting percentage.
Meanwhile, the Seattle Storm enter on a five-game slide with a defensive rating of 119.0 and a high turnover rate of 16.3%.
Fresh off a 95-83 win over the Storm on Monday night, the Liberty’s 80.3% defensive rebounding rate will limit the Storm’s second-chance looks and control the pace from tip to finish.
Mercury vs Dream: Dream (66% probability)
We shift to the Atlanta Dream at home on the moneyline to get past the Phoenix Mercury.
Atlanta is set for a major bounce-back effort at Gateway Center following Monday night's 109-87 loss to the Las Vegas Aces.
While the Mercury picked up a tight 106-101 road win over Chicago on Monday, the Dream are the superior force on the glass, with a Wednesday slate-best 38.8% offensive rebound rate over their last five games.
Look for Atlanta to wear down the Mercury and grab a much-needed win tonight.
Wings vs Mystics: Wings (59% probability)
We pivot to the Dallas Wings on the moneyline as road favorites against the Washington Mystics in D.C.
Dallas enters with strong momentum following a dominant 83-63 home victory over the Connecticut Sun on Sunday evening.
Over their last five games, the Wings have posted a solid +4.0 net rating alongside a tidy 14.9% turnover rate.
While Washington presents a challenge on the glass, Dallas holds the decisive edge in offensive efficiency and execution down the stretch to win this series finale.
Sparks vs Sky: Sky (56% probability)
We close out the card with the Chicago Sky beating the visiting Los Angeles Sparks.
Both squads play at a blistering pace over 101 possessions per game, but Chicago takes better care of the rock.
The Sky have a strong 2.00 assist-to-turnover ratio and turn the ball over on just 13.6% of possessions across their last five, while the Sparks surrendered 115.2 points per 100 possessions over their last five games at an 18.5% rate.
Chicago’s the better side and should get the home win.
Today's WNBA moneyline parlay
Liberty moneyline
Dream moneyline
Wings moneyline
Sky moneyline
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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