After taking Monday night off, the WNBA returns tonight with three games.
I'm focusing on one rookie, one rookie's absence, and the encouraging return of a veteran, which can provide some value in WNBA picks for Tuesday, June 3.
WNBA player prop bets for June 3
Sonia Citron 15+ Points (+124 at FanDuel)
Kayla McBride Over 15.5 Points (+105 at DraftKings)
Arike Ogunbowale First Point (+1,100 at FanDuel)
Today's best WNBA player props bets
Sonia Citron 15+ Points (+124 at FanDuel)
Sonia Citron was probably the third-best player on her college team last season, a statement that further criticizes Notre Dame’s Sweet Sixteen exit in March. She was the third overall draft pick a few weeks later.
And she might be the best rookie in the WNBA.
Citron has been playing winning basketball, averaging 14.3 points on 47.2% shooting while hitting 40% of her 3-pointers. The Washington Mystics are only 3-4, but they would be worse off if not for Citron.
The Indiana Fever held Citron to just 13 points last week, but chalk that up to 3-point variance. She went 0-of-4 from deep, compared to 12-of-26 (46.2%) on 4.3 attempts per game in her other six games. Perhaps the Fever deserves some credit for that, ranking fourth in the WNBA in opponent 3-point percentage at 31.3%, but Citron should not go oh-fer again tonight.
And that should be enough to believe in Citron exceeding this milestone. She has reached or cleared it three times in seven games this season, making this price rather reasonable. Remove a game against the best defense in the WNBA and that becomes three out of six.
Furthermore, Citron’s points prop is priced at 13.5 with the Over at -106. Asking for one more point with a return of +124 is an undeniable value. Just make one or two threes, please, Sonia.
Kayla McBride Over 15.5 Points (+105 at DraftKings)
Logic says the Minnesota Lynx will lose at some point. But going 4-0 before Kayla McBride even joined the team this season may mean that loss does not come for a long, long while. (Note: The 7-0 Lynx and the 7-0 New York Liberty do not meet until July 30.)
McBride rejoining Minnesota’s offense means the Lynx no longer have a weak spot. Her shooting emboldens that offense beyond reproach.
In three games, McBride has hit 8-of-16 threes. Go ahead, do the math. Yep, that is 50%. She has cleared this rising prop in two of the three games, and one of those was scoring 20 points against tonight’s opponent, the Phoenix Mercury.
Phoenix enjoys the second-best defense in the WNBA. It also ranks No. 2 in opposing 3-point percentage.
McBride will not care. She went 3-of-7 from deep against the Mercury last week, though just 4-of-11 from the field. She should find more efficiency tonight with Napheesa Collier demanding defensive attention — Collier missed that game on Friday — and McBride hits those open looks.
Arike Ogunbowale First Point (+1,100 at FanDuel)
Paige Bueckers did not travel to Seattle, part of her concussion protocol following a blow last week. She has taken nearly 12 shots per game this season, shots that do not simply disappear without her.
Enter Arike Ogunbowale.
Ogunbowale’s usage has understandably dipped this season. She averaged 18.8 shots per game in 2023 and 19.2 last year. So far this season, that has fallen to 15.9. That was expected with the addition of a quality backcourt mate in Bueckers.
Ogunbowale did not go wild in Saturday’s loss to the Sky, taking just 16 shots, but she was back to her best inefficient self, hitting only five of those looks.
These are the pros and cons of Ogunbowale. She can shoot the Dallas Wings into or out of any game.
What is assured is that she will shoot.
Ogunbowale should not be as lofty as +1,100 to score the first point tonight against the Seattle Storm. She simply shoots too often and too quickly for such long odds. Perhaps restrict this bet to a quarter unit. But do not skip it. The value is too distinct.
Today’s WNBA games
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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