WNBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for July 16

Rob Paul - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rob Paul • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 16, 2026 , 12:32 PM ET • 4 min read

One of the best young guards in the WNBA takes the court tonight, and she's the focus of our favorite WNBA player props.

Sonia Citron Washington Mystics WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Sonia Citron during a game against the Storm.

The Portland Fire and Washington Mystics do battle in today's lone WNBA affair, and after earning the second All-Star honors of her career, Sonia Citron is the focus of my WNBA player props today.

My WNBA picks for Thursday, July 16, also feature a slumping shooter for one of the W's newest teams.

Top WNBA player prop bets for today

Player Pick Odds
Mystics Sonia Citron Over 20.5 points + assists -102
Aces Bridget Carleton Under 12.5 points +100
Mystics Kiki Iriafen Over 10.5 rebounds -101
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Sonia Citron Over 20.5 points + assists (-102)

Sonia Citron has quickly become one of the WNBA's most underrated players. The former No. 3 pick just earned her second All-Star nod, but against one of the league's worst defenses, her combined points and assists line is a head-scratcher.

Getting the Over on her points and assists at -102 is a steal, and I'd play it at anything better than -130 because of this matchup.

The Portland Fire's defense is among the worst in the WNBA. The Fire have the league's second-worst defensive rating (112.6), allow the third-most PPG (91.2), and give up more APG than any team (23.5).

Citron is in the Top 20 in the W in offensive win shares (1.8), and has topped 20.5 points and assists in five of her last eight, including combining for 36 the last time she played the Fire.

  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBA TV

Bridget Carleton Under 12.5 points (+100)

The Fire's top pick in the WNBA expansion draft has been a disappointment in the Rose City.

Bridget Carleton is among the least efficient offensive players in the league this season, as one of just five players in the W averaging double-digit field-goal attempts per game and shooting below 40%.

She's failed to score 13+ points in three straight games, and it won't be any easier against a Washington Mystics defense that's No. 3 in the WNBA in defensive rating (102.1) and allows the second-lowest true shooting percentage in the league (52.9%).

The last time Carleton played Washington, she scored just 16 points in a quadruple-overtime game in which she played 51 minutes, so I'd play this Under at a price as short as -110.

  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBA TV

Kiki Iriafen Over 10.5 rebounds (-101)

Kiki Iriafen has become one of the WNBA’s best rebounders in her second season. The former No. 4 pick is Top 5 in the league in RPG (9.7), rebound rate (20.8%), and offensive rebound rate (12.3%).

That spells trouble for a Fire team that’s one of the worst in the league at cleaning the glass. Portland averages a league-low 29.5 RPG and gives up the third-most offensive rebounds per game (9.9).

Just one player on Portland averages more than five boards per game — Emily Engstler (5.5) —so Iriafen should have every opportunity to pull down 11+ boards for the sixth time in her last eight games.

With Portland’s rebounding woes, the Over on Iriafen is worth considering with odds as short as -120.

  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBA TV

Where to bet on WNBA player props

All major sportsbooks will offer WNBA props throughout the season, but make your bets at our best basketball betting sites. See the most trusted operators that offer the best prices, most diverse markets, enticing promos, and quickest payouts!

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Rob Paul - Contributor at Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Rob Paul has worked in the sports betting industry for several years, primarily covering collegiate sports with a sprinkle of NFL, NBA, WNBA, and CFL. He uses a combination of advanced stats and film to find betting value, and aims to exploit specific matchups with plus-money player props.

A college sports junky, Rob's betting process tends to revolve around which games he plans on watching on a given day/week. He begins the process by looking at the college football/basketball schedule and making a list of what he plans on watching before diving into advanced numbers to help inform how to bet each matchup.

Typically, Rob bets at FanDuel and bet365, as they tend to offer a wider array of collegiate player props. Rob loves the way sports betting can act as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly Group of Six and FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball.

Before joining Covers, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network, building his college football and NFL experience and expertise while working as a full-time local community journalist.

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