WNBA Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Wednesday, August 12

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 12, 2026 , 04:50 AM ET • 4 min read

Napheesa Collier and the Lynx beating the Fire as 87% favorites highlights our Wednesday WNBA moneyline predictions!

Napheesa Collier of the Minnesota Lynx WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Napheesa Collier of the Minnesota Lynx WNBA

The WNBA is offering a three-game slate with three massive moneyline favorites on tonight's card.

The Kalshi combo is the way to attack tonight's card, and we'll be laying massive juice tonight on all three favorites for our best WNBA moneyline predictions and WNBA picks for Wednesday, Aug. 12.

WNBA moneyline picks for August 12

Matchup Pick (Probability)
Aces Tempo
vs
Wings Wings
Wings 80%
Sky Sky
vs
Valkyries Valkyries
Valkyries 80%
Lynx Lynx
vs
Aces Fire
Lynx 87%
💰 All moneylines parlayed 1.80x

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Expert WNBA moneyline picks for August 12

Tempo vs Wings:  Wings (80% probability)

The Toronto Tempo defense overhelps and is slow at closing out on the perimeter, and it won't survive Paige Bueckers' drive-and-kick tonight. 

Over their last five, Tempo opponents have hit 13 triples per game and scored nearly 40 in the paint; snipers like Arike Ogunbowale and Azzi Fudd will feast off that same collapse. 

The Dallas Wings haven't been sharp lately, but their point-of-attack defensive pressure has held foes to just 87 ppg and 10 made threes a night, enough to slow Marina Mabrey and close this victory out. 

Play Dallas to 85%. 

Sky vs Valkyries: Valkyries (80% probability)

The Golden State Valkyries are playing locked-in defense. In their last five, they've held teams to 81 points on 43.8% shooting and under 32% from three. 

The Valkyries' length and opportunistic defenders on the perimeter wear teams down, resulting in 18.8 ppg off nearly 13 forced turnovers per night, which is too much for the Chicago Sky ballhandlers. 

The Sky compete hard, but they cough up 16 points off turnovers and yield over 40 points in the paint. It’s why they are 4-12 on the road this season, and why they will lose tonight. 

I'd play it to 85%.

Lynx vs Fire: Lynx (88% probability)

In their last five games, the Minnesota Lynx's switch-heavy defense has allowed only 87.6 points per game and forced nearly 17 turnovers per game

The Portland Fire are giving up 98.4 points per night and allow opponents to shoot almost 50% from the field and 39% from downtown.

Napheesa Collier, Kayla McBride, and Olivia Miles are a trio averaging a combined 57 points per game, and they will expose the Fire’s late closeouts enough times to win this game. 

Play this one to 90%.

Today's WNBA moneyline parlay

Wings moneyline

Valkyries moneyline

Lynx

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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