Liberty vs Fever Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 11, 2026 , 01:31 PM ET • 4 min read

Caitlin Clark, Breanna Stewart, and the rest of the offensive talent for Indiana and New York will put up buckets tonight, which has our expert backing the Over in his Liberty vs. Fever predictions.

WNBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
NY
37 %
IND
63 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
NY @ IND o192.5 (-110)
Bet Now
Caitlin Clark WNBA Indiana Fever
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Caitlin Clark of the Indiana Fever.

The New York Liberty will look to extend their four-game winning streak as they visit Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever on Tuesday night.

New York and Indiana have two of the league's best offenses, and I'm picking them to hit the Over in my Liberty vs. Fever predictions below.

Read on to get my free WNBA picks — including a Caitlin Clark prop pick — for Tuesday, August 11.

Liberty vs Fever prediction

Liberty vs Fever best bet: Over 192.5 (-110)

The Indiana Fever have the highest-scoring offense in the WNBA, averaging 95.9 ppg for the season. They also play quickly, ranking first in the league's pace metrics, while posting the WNBA's best offensive rating (114.6). 

When you have the most efficient offense playing at the fastest pace, that adds up to a lot of points.

The New York Liberty aren't much different, playing to an average total of 177.7 ppg and hitting the Over in eight of their last 10 games.

This will be a shootout, and I'm happy to take the Over at a total as high as 194.5. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Indiana leads the WNBA in points per scoring attempt (1.22), with New York right behind in second (1.19), meaning we can expect consistent scoring on both sides tonight.

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Liberty vs Fever same-game parlay

Along with the Over, I'm also taking the Liberty to win this game outright.

New York has won seven of eight, and has played just enough defense in recent games to make me think it can outscore Indiana tonight. This game is close to a toss-up, but with the Liberty available at plus money, they represent a great value.

To finish off our SGP, I'm taking Breanna Stewart (21.3 ppg) to score Over 21.5 points tonight.

Stewart has hit this total in four of her last five games, and in what I'm expecting to be a high-scoring contest, she'll have plenty of opportunities to put the ball in the basket, particularly in the post. 

Liberty vs Fever SGP

  • Over 192.5
  • Liberty moneyline
  • Breanna Stewart Over 21.5 points

Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!

Liberty vs Fever player prop pick

Caitlin Clark double-double (+115)

Indiana's emergence as a potential title contender has been directly tied to Caitlin Clark's outstanding play over the past month. Clark is averaging 21.6 points and 8.1 assists per game, and has put up double-doubles in three of her last four outings.

The Liberty don't do well against productive point guards. New York has created the fewest turnovers per game (11.9) and allowed opponents to generate a 1.81 assist-to-turnover rate, the highest number in the league.

Clark should be able to distribute the ball and get her share of points, making a double-double likely tonight.

Ed Scimia's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bet: 18-24, -7.34 units
  • SGP: 6-36, -1.97 units
  • Player prop: 16-6, +8.99 units

Liberty vs Fever odds

  • Spread: Liberty +2.5 (-110) | Fever -2.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Liberty +120 | Fever -140
  • Over/Under: Over 192.5 (-110) | Under 192.5 (-110)

Liberty vs Fever trend

The Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between the Liberty and Fever. Find more WNBA betting trends.

How to watch Liberty vs Fever

Location Gainbridge FieldHouse, Indianapolis, IN
Date Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Tip-off 7:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Liberty vs Fever latest injuries

Liberty: Leonie Fiebich (Out), Satou Sabally (Out).
Fever: Caitlin Clark (Probable), Grace VanSlooten (Questionable).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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