Saturday's WNBA slate gives us three intriguing moneyline matchups: the New York Liberty are 77% favorites over the Connecticut Sun, the Washington Mystics are 68% favorites over the Los Angeles Sparks, and the Minnesota Lynx are slightly favored over the Las Vegas Aces at 55%.
The Lynx have been one of the league's best teams over their recent stretch, and their moneyline against the Aces highlights our best WNBA picks & moneyline plays for Saturday, Aug. 15.
WNBA moneyline picks for Aug. 15
| Matchup | Pick (Probability) |
|---|---|
 Libertyvs  Sun |
77% |
 Sparksvs  Mystics |
68% |
 Lynxvs  Aces |
55% |
| 💰 All moneylines parlayed | 2.88x |
Prices courtesy of Kalshi as of Aug. 14.
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Expert WNBA moneyline picks for Aug. 15
Liberty vs Sun: Liberty (77% probability)
The New York Liberty are the clear favorite for a reason, and their recent numbers reinforce the market.
New York owns a 117.4 offensive rating and a +7.7 net rating over its last five games, while the Connecticut Sun has managed only a 95.7 offensive rating with a minus-21.2 net rating over the past five games.
The Liberty are also averaging 46.9 points in the paint and 11.7 fast-break points during this stretch. Meanwhile, the Sun are allowing 45.0 paint points per game.
New York has a massive statistical edge and should roll in Uncasville on Saturday afternoon.
Play the Liberty to 85%.
Sparks vs Mystics: Mystics (68% probability)
The Washington Mystics have quietly been one of the better teams during their last five games, and the matchup with Los Angeles Sparks favors the Mystics.
Washington owns a +4.3 net rating over its last five games, compared with -2.6 for the Sparks. The Mystics are allowing only 29.4 points in the paint, while Los Angeles allows 39.1, and the Sparks could be without Cameron Brink today.
Washington also holds advantages in opponent field-goal percentage, opponent assists, and opponent turnovers.
The Sparks have struggled defensively, allowing opponents to shoot 48.2% from the field. Washington is the better moneyline option in this matchup.
Play the Mystics to 75%.
Lynx vs Aces: Lynx (55% probability)
The Minnesota Lynx offer the most appealing value on Saturday's board. The Lynx are 5-1 over their last six games with a plus-12.6 net rating, while the Las Vegas Aces are 4-3 with a -1.4 net rating.
Minnesota also owns major advantages in offensive efficiency, including a 119.3 offensive rating, 57.9% effective field-goal percentage, and 60.2% true shooting.
The Lynx are averaging 20.8 points off turnovers and 13.2 second-chance points. At a 55% market probability, Minnesota looks undervalued against an Aces team that has been playing well below its typical championship level recently.
Play the Lynx to 60%.
Today's WNBA moneyline parlay
Liberty moneyline
Mystics moneyline
Lynx moneyline
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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