Chicago @ Washington props

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This week, Zach Ertz is projected by the model to secure a spot in the 88th percentile among tight ends with 5.3 targets. Zach Ertz has been in the 91st percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 40.1 mark this year. Zach Ertz is positioned as one of the best pass-game TEs this year, averaging a terrific 3.6 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 85th percentile. This year, the weak Chicago Bears pass defense has been torched for a whopping 81.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This week, Terry McLaurin is expected by the projections to finish in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.8 targets. Terry McLaurin's 73.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 57.1. The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board. Terry McLaurin comes in as one of the leading WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 4.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Brian Robinson has played on 54.1% of his team's snaps this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile among running backs. The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.

With a 61.9% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Bears. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a massive 59.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. This week, Cole Kmet is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 85th percentile among tight ends with 5.2 targets. With a fantastic 4.4 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet places as one of the best pass-game TEs in football.

With a 61.9% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Bears. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a massive 59.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this week's contest, D.J. Moore is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.9 targets. The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

With a 61.9% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Bears. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a massive 59.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. D'Andre Swift has run a route on 56.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among RBs. D'Andre Swift has been one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 3.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.

Rome Odunze has gone over 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Austin Ekeler has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Noah Brown has gone over 2.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Gerald Everett has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Olamide Zaccheaus has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Keenan Allen has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Luke McCaffrey has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.