Green Bay @ Jacksonville props

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Jaguars, who are a huge favorite by 7 points. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 7th-highest frequency among all teams this week. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jaguars are anticipated by the model to call 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume. Evan Engram profiles as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 6.5 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 99th percentile.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Jaguars, who are a huge favorite by 7 points. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 7th-highest frequency among all teams this week. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jaguars are anticipated by the model to call 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume. Tank Bigsby has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (17.0% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (6.0%).

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Jaguars, who are a huge favorite by 7 points. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 7th-highest frequency among all teams this week. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jaguars are anticipated by the model to call 65.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Jaguars grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects the Packers offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.00 seconds per play. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing QBs have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. Tucker Kraft has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (80.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.0%).

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects the Packers offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.00 seconds per play. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing QBs have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. Jayden Reed ranks as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an exceptional 4.2 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects the Packers offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.00 seconds per play. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing QBs have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. Josh Jacobs's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 69.0% to 89.9%.

Gabe Davis has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Dontayvion Wicks has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

D'Ernest Johnson has gone over 2.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Christian Watson has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Christian Kirk has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 8 games.

Emanuel Wilson has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Romeo Doubs has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ben Sims has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.