Buffalo 1st AFC East11-6
New York 3rd AFC East7-10
ABC/ESPN

Buffalo @ New York props

MetLife Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Garrett Wilson Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Jets

Garrett Wilson
G. Wilson
wide receiver WR • N.Y. Jets
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.5
Best Odds

The New York Jets will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.8% pass rate. The New York Jets have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense effectiveness when facing better conditions in this week's contest. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to total 9.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.

Garrett Wilson

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.5

The New York Jets will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.8% pass rate. The New York Jets have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense effectiveness when facing better conditions in this week's contest. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to total 9.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.

Dalton Kincaid Receptions Made Props • Buffalo

Dalton Kincaid
D. Kincaid
tight end TE • Buffalo
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Dalton Kincaid to earn 4.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among TEs.

Dalton Kincaid

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Dalton Kincaid to earn 4.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among TEs.

Dalvin Cook Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Jets

Dalvin Cook
D. Cook
running back RB • N.Y. Jets
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The New York Jets will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.8% pass rate. The New York Jets have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense effectiveness when facing better conditions in this week's contest. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Dalvin Cook has run a route on 53.0% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.

Dalvin Cook

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.2
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.2

The New York Jets will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.8% pass rate. The New York Jets have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense effectiveness when facing better conditions in this week's contest. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Dalvin Cook has run a route on 53.0% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.

Tyler Conklin Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Jets

Tyler Conklin
T. Conklin
tight end TE • N.Y. Jets
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3
Best Odds
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The New York Jets will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.8% pass rate. The New York Jets have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense effectiveness when facing better conditions in this week's contest. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Tyler Conklin has been among the leading pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.

Tyler Conklin

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3

The New York Jets will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.8% pass rate. The New York Jets have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense effectiveness when facing better conditions in this week's contest. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Tyler Conklin has been among the leading pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.

Stefon Diggs Receptions Made Props • Buffalo

Stefon Diggs
S. Diggs
wide receiver WR • Buffalo
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Prop
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Stefon Diggs to total 10.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among WRs. Stefon Diggs has been a key part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 28.0% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers. Stefon Diggs has been among the top WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.8 receptions per game while checking in at the 96th percentile. Stefon Diggs has been among the best possession receivers in the league, catching a terrific 72.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile among wide receivers.

Stefon Diggs

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.4

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Stefon Diggs to total 10.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among WRs. Stefon Diggs has been a key part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 28.0% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers. Stefon Diggs has been among the top WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.8 receptions per game while checking in at the 96th percentile. Stefon Diggs has been among the best possession receivers in the league, catching a terrific 72.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile among wide receivers.

James Cook Receptions Made Props • Buffalo

James Cook
J. Cook
running back RB • Buffalo
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects James Cook to total 3.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among RBs.

James Cook

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.6

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects James Cook to total 3.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among RBs.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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