Michigan Wolverines Picks
5th in Big Ten
(3 - 0)
Next Game
IOWA @ MICH Picks
NCAAF PicksThe Wolverines are slow starters, averaging just 4.7 first-quarter points per game (tied for 76th nationally), while the Hawkeyes score 10.0 first-quarter points per game (10th). Iowa's defense is elite vs. the run and Michigan's ground game is meh. This should help the Hawkeyes get good field position early and often.
The Hawkeyes have the best scoring defense in the country and are 2-11 Ove/Under as a road underdog since 2021. These are two Under teams that like to win in the trenches, and both quarterbacks have below-average passer ratings in the Big Ten.
The bottom line: I trust Iowa's offense more, and the defensive matchup is a draw. Also, Ferentz and Whittingham like to "establish the run," and Iowa has a better ground game on both sides of the ball.
Iowa’s defense should keep Michigan from creating separation, while its early scoring edge supports my first-half moneyline leg. If Iowa hangs around early and both teams lean on the run, possessions should stay limited and points scarce.
Consensus Picks
More ConsensusIOWA @ MICH · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
IOWA
H. Brown
(QB)
o149.5 Passing Yards
159.82 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.3
DIFFERENCE
20.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
MICH
B. Underwood
(QB)
o168.5 Passing Yards
173.03 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.5
DIFFERENCE
13.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
MICH
J. Marshall
(RB)
o45.5 Rushing Yards
51.84 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.3
DIFFERENCE
23.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
MICH
B. Underwood
(QB)
u39.5 Rushing Yards
37.85 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
9.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MICH
A. Marsh
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
62.48 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.0
DIFFERENCE
26.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MICH
J. Buchanan
(WR)
o59.5 Receiving Yards
75.41 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.9
DIFFERENCE
25.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MICH
J. Marshall
(RB)
o3.5 Receiving Yards
7.33 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.8
DIFFERENCE
25.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
IOWA
T. Diaz
(WR)
o53.5 Receiving Yards
60.52 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.0
DIFFERENCE
22.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
IOWA
R. Vander Zee
(WR)
o19.5 Receiving Yards
22.16 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.7
DIFFERENCE
20.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
IOWA
T. Diaz
(WR)
u5.5 Receptions
5.13 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
16.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MICH
J. Buchanan
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
4.82 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
14.58%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MICH
S. Hiter
(RB)
o0.5 Receptions
1.17 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
3.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MICH
A. Marsh
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
4.53 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-0.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MICH
J. Marshall
(RB)
o0.5 Receptions
0.88 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-10.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
MICH
J. Marshall
(RB)
o11.5 Carries
11.76 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
4.38%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
IOWA
H. Brown
(QB)
u16.5 Completions
15.54 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
13.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
MICH
B. Underwood
(QB)
o14.5 Completions
14.61 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-11.58%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
IOWA @ MICH · Trends
Check back shortly to see trends for each team.