Denver Nuggets

2nd in NBA Northwest (57 - 25)

Next Game

Sat, May 4 19:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
35.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Under
-114

The 6th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Anthony Edwards will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 35.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.3
Prop:
35.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.3

The 6th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Anthony Edwards will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
+110

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's stellar 115.1 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 15 games. Jaden McDaniels has sunk 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's made overall this season.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's stellar 115.1 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 15 games. Jaden McDaniels has sunk 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's made overall this season.

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Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-118

Mike Conley has converted 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Mike Conley has played 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 77th percentile. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's stellar 115.1 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 15 games. Mike Conley has successfully made 91.9% of his free throw attempts on the road this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Mike Conley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Mike Conley has converted 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Mike Conley has played 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 77th percentile. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's stellar 115.1 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 15 games. Mike Conley has successfully made 91.9% of his free throw attempts on the road this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

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Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Over
-111

Jamal Murray has attempted 24.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jamal Murray has played 40.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's played overall this year. With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 115.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. Jamal Murray has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 16.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year while playing at home. Jamal Murray figures to see a rise in productivity across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

Jamal Murray has attempted 24.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jamal Murray has played 40.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's played overall this year. With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 115.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. Jamal Murray has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 16.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year while playing at home. Jamal Murray figures to see a rise in productivity across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

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Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 0.6 mark, Peyton Watson's shot attempts from downtown have jumped this year to 1.9 per game. With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 115.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. Peyton Watson has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 38.2% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Peyton Watson figures to see an increase in efficiency for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.2
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.2

Compared to last year's 0.6 mark, Peyton Watson's shot attempts from downtown have jumped this year to 1.9 per game. With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 115.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. Peyton Watson has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 38.2% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Peyton Watson figures to see an increase in efficiency for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-136

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 6.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 31.9 minutes per game playing at home this year. With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 115.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for three-point shots; when the Timberwolves are away from home, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.6). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 6.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 31.9 minutes per game playing at home this year. With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 115.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for three-point shots; when the Timberwolves are away from home, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.6). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

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Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-125

Aaron Gordon has converted 57.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Aaron Gordon has averaged 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year. With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 115.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. In contrast to last season's 1.7 rate, Aaron Gordon's missed free throws have been reduced this season to 1.2 per game. Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Aaron Gordon has converted 57.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Aaron Gordon has averaged 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year. With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 115.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. In contrast to last season's 1.7 rate, Aaron Gordon's missed free throws have been reduced this season to 1.2 per game. Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

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Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-118

Rudy Gobert has converted 61.5% of his shot attempts from the field while on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has averaged 33.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's stellar 115.1 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 15 games. The number of points put up against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high (16.4 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Rudy Gobert has sunk 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's sunk overall this season.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Rudy Gobert has converted 61.5% of his shot attempts from the field while on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has averaged 33.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's stellar 115.1 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 15 games. The number of points put up against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high (16.4 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Rudy Gobert has sunk 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's sunk overall this season.

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Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
+100

Naz Reid has attempted 12.8 field goals per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid comes in at the 86th percentile for 3-point shots drained, tallying 2.1 per game this year. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's stellar 115.1 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 15 games. Naz Reid has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Naz Reid

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Naz Reid has attempted 12.8 field goals per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid comes in at the 86th percentile for 3-point shots drained, tallying 2.1 per game this year. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's stellar 115.1 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 15 games. Naz Reid has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

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Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Nikola Jokic has attempted 20.1 field goals per game over the last 15 games while playing at home, 2.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. Nikola Jokic has converted 51.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 10.3% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 35.0 minutes per game this year. With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 115.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup with Rudy Gobert when it comes to getting to the foul line lands in just the 78th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a massive 4.0 foul shots per game this year when they have the home court advantage.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.3

Nikola Jokic has attempted 20.1 field goals per game over the last 15 games while playing at home, 2.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. Nikola Jokic has converted 51.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 10.3% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 35.0 minutes per game this year. With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 115.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup with Rudy Gobert when it comes to getting to the foul line lands in just the 78th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a massive 4.0 foul shots per game this year when they have the home court advantage.

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Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
+100

Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 2.9 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted overall this season away from his home court. Karl-Anthony Towns has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 87th percentile. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's stellar 115.1 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 15 games. Karl-Anthony Towns has converted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's put through the net overall this year while on the road.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 2.9 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted overall this season away from his home court. Karl-Anthony Towns has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 87th percentile. When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves's stellar 115.1 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 15 games. Karl-Anthony Towns has converted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's put through the net overall this year while on the road.

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Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has registered 22.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's registered over the course of the year. Michael Porter Jr. has converted 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 115.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Michael Porter Jr. has registered 22.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's registered over the course of the year. Michael Porter Jr. has converted 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 115.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

All Matchup props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.19
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+110
Under
-105

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has gone over 7.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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