Cleveland Cavaliers Picks
2nd in Central
(6 - 6)
Next Game
CLE @ MIA Picks
NBA PicksI price the Heat closer to 61% favorites. Evan Mobley's absence is a major factor, especially against Miami's frontcourt duo of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo. His absence creates a significant matchup advantage and is the primary driver behind my edge.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will be without Evan Mobley (toe), an elite defender who would have been tasked with locking down the Miami Heat's top two scorers, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo, who combine to average 28.2 points in the paint per contest.
The Heat get to the charity stripe 26.9 times (6th), with Cleveland sitting 24th in transition points allowed. If Miami pushes the tempo (6th in transition points), it will be able to attack the basket even more effectively, not seeing Mobley at the rim.
I'd cap the price at roughly 53%.
Play up to 60%.
The whiteboard in Cleveland's locker room will have the words "shoot, shoot, and shoot some more" circled numerous times.
That's music to the ears of backup guard Maleek Thomas, as he's converted a staggering 48% from distance (24-of-50) to begin his rookie year. He's toppled 11.5 points in three of the last four games, and six of nine overall.
Play up to 52%.
Getting a steals prop at plus money for an Adebayo steals prop is outstanding value.
Offensive shortcomings this season aside, the three-time All-Star has at least maintained the status quo defensively as one of the Association's top interior presences. His 2.2 steals are a career-best number through 11 outings, having totalled multiple steals eight times.
Tonight marks the fourth instance of the season in which a Cavaliers game has a total listed of at least 235.5 points. Across the three prior matchups, not one registered an Over, with two combined scores falling below 225 points. Playing Miami won't help on that front, as it's just 4-7 overall in this market, while scoring just 109.7 points over its last three games.
Davion Mitchell is averaging 19.3 points over his last three appearances for the Heat, shooting 48.8% from the field and better than 40% from behind the arc. He's only fallen below a 14.5-point prop three times, and just once in his last six outings.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus55% picking Cleveland vs Miami to go Under
Total PicksCLE 101, MIA 123
CLE @ MIA · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
D. Mitchell
(SG)
u26.5 Points Scored
22.90 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.6
DIFFERENCE
23.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
D. Mitchell
(PG)
u14.5 Points Scored
12.31 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.2
DIFFERENCE
22.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Tyson
(SG)
u11.5 Points Scored
10.02 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
18.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Allen
(C)
u14.5 Points Scored
12.79 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.7
DIFFERENCE
18.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Wiggins
(SF)
u11.5 Points Scored
10.19 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.3
DIFFERENCE
17.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
M. Hezonja
(PF)
o7.5 Points Scored
7.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
17.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
G. Antetokounmpo
(PF)
u29.5 Points Scored
27.42 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.1
DIFFERENCE
16.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
K. Thompson
(SF)
o13.5 Points Scored
14.96 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
15.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
B. Adebayo
(C)
u18.5 Points Scored
17.88 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
15.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
CLE
M. Thomas
(SG)
u11.5 Points Scored
10.74 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
13.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
P. Larsson
(SG)
u11.5 Points Scored
11.44 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
T. Proctor
(PG)
o7.5 Points Scored
7.86 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
5.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
P. Watson
(SF)
u13.5 Points Scored
13.21 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-0.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Harden
(PG)
u17.5 Points Scored
17.26 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
M. Hezonja
(PF)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
3.87 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
18.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
D. Mitchell
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.96 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
16.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Harden
(PG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.22 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
15.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Allen
(C)
u9.5 Total Rebounds
8.66 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
G. Antetokounmpo
(PF)
u12.5 Total Rebounds
11.51 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
13.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Wiggins
(SF)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
3.32 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
13.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
CLE
M. Thomas
(SG)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
2.95 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
11.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
D. Mitchell
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.94 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
6.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
P. Watson
(SF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.01 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.58%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
B. Adebayo
(C)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
9.23 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-5.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Tyson
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.66 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-10.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Harden
(PG)
o6.5 Total Assists
7.50 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
21.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
D. Mitchell
(PG)
u8.5 Total Assists
7.35 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
15.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
B. Adebayo
(C)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.26 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
14.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
T. Proctor
(PG)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.21 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
10.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Allen
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.02 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
9.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
G. Antetokounmpo
(PF)
o5.5 Total Assists
6.18 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
9.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Tyson
(SG)
u2.5 Total Assists
1.96 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
7.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
CLE
M. Thomas
(SG)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.33 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
3.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
D. Mitchell
(SG)
u5.5 Total Assists
5.29 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
K. Thompson
(SF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.16 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-0.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
P. Watson
(SF)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.41 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
T. Proctor
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.59 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
17.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
CLE
M. Thomas
(SG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
1.61 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
16.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
D. Mitchell
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
1.69 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
14.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Harden
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.38 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
K. Thompson
(SF)
u3.5 3-Pointers Made
3.27 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
M. Hezonja
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.21 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
B. Adebayo
(C)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.33 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-0.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
D. Mitchell
(SG)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.67 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-10.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
P. Watson
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.49 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-10.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
A. Wiggins
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.53 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Tyson
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.52 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
G. Antetokounmpo
(PF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.52 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
CLE @ MIA · Trends
Top User Picks
More Picks'PlayLink' picks Cleveland vs Miami to go Under (235.5)
PlayLink is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +5200 units on the season.
'bmonte13' picks Cleveland vs Miami to go Under (236.5)
bmonte13 is #10 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3250 units on the season.
'RedskinsWoman' picks Cleveland vs Miami to go Over (236.5)
RedskinsWoman is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (4-4-0) and +4300 units on the season.
'kowalabear' picks Cleveland vs Miami to go Under (235.5)
kowalabear is #5 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.
'Gunner28' picks Cleveland vs Miami to go Under (236.5)
Gunner28 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4150 units on the season.
'Jerrybook' picks Cleveland vs Miami to go Over (235.5)
Jerrybook is #6 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +3700 units on the season.
'biggestgm' picks Cleveland vs Miami to go Over (236.5)
biggestgm is #7 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (7-4-0) and +3650 units on the season.
'FOZZIEBEAR1' picks Cleveland vs Miami to go Over (235.5)
FOZZIEBEAR1 is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +3700 units on the season.