Cleveland Cavaliers Picks
2nd in Central
(4 - 2)
Next Game
OKC @ CLE Picks
NBA PicksMobley is averaging a career-best 19.7 ppg, and he's scored 17+ in five of six appearances. Facing a Thunder interior defense missing DPOY runner-up Chet Holmgren isn't a daunting matchup, and I'll trade this line up to 18.5.
I’ll trade this scoring line up to 30.5.
With so many of Oklahoma City’s key offensive weapons sidelined, SGA will be leaned on even more heavily for his scoring prowess. The absences of Holmgren, Williams, Caruso and Wallace leave 41.3 ppg up for grabs.
The reigning MVP has found success against Cleveland, scoring 30 or more in five straight matchups with the Cavaliers, including two straight on the road.
Cleveland’s offense is the best in the NBA across the last three games, and it will punish a depleted Thunder roster, leading to a victory of at least seven points. I’ll trade this spread up to 6.5.
With Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace and Chet Holmgren sidelined, Oklahoma City is down multiple key defenders, playmakers, scorers and floor-spacers, leading to major issues on both sides of the ball. The shorthanded Thunder lost each of their last two games by 20+ points, marking the first time that’s happened with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in the lineup since March 8-9, 2022.
Without Caruso and Wallace to defend the perimeter, Cleveland will get open looks from three, and the absence of Chet Holmgren exposes a weakness on the interior as OKC tries to limit the Cavs’ double-big lineup of Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley.
Holmgren’s absence means OKC could start Mara alongside Isaiah Hartenstein, even off the bench, the rookie should see 25-30 minutes. Mara has grabbed 6+ boards in two of his last three games, and Cleveland has allowed the 12th-most rebounds to opponents. I’ll trade this rebounds line up to 6.5.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus61% picking Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Over
Total PicksOKC 245, CLE 156
OKC @ CLE · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Williams
(PF)
o6.5 Points Scored
8.09 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
24.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Mitchell
(SG)
u18.5 Points Scored
15.35 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.1
DIFFERENCE
21.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
OKC
A. Mara
(C)
o7.5 Points Scored
9.35 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
21.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
M. Hezonja
(PF)
u9.5 Points Scored
8.27 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
20.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
I. Hartenstein
(C)
u10.5 Points Scored
9.23 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.3
DIFFERENCE
18.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Harden
(PG)
u18.5 Points Scored
16.99 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
18.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Allen
(C)
o11.5 Points Scored
13.79 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.3
DIFFERENCE
16.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
S. Gilgeous-Alexander
(PG)
u30.5 Points Scored
28.77 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.7
DIFFERENCE
15.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
D. Mitchell
(SG)
u23.5 Points Scored
23.13 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
14.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
S. Merrill
(SG)
u9.5 Points Scored
8.67 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
14.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
K. Williams
(PF)
o7.5 Points Scored
8.28 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
9.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
OKC
B. Stirtz
(PG)
o7.5 Points Scored
7.94 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
8.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
CLE
M. Thomas
(SG)
u10.5 Points Scored
10.11 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
3.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
E. Mobley
(PF)
o17.5 Points Scored
17.65 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-12.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. McCain
(SG)
o13.5 Points Scored
13.83 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Williams
(PF)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
6.87 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
15.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
S. Merrill
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.84 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
15.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
I. Hartenstein
(C)
u9.5 Total Rebounds
9.16 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
14.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Harden
(PG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.25 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
14.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
E. Mobley
(PF)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
9.59 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
13.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander
(PG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.53 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
12.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
K. Williams
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.09 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
10.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Mitchell
(SG)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
3.27 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
8.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
OKC
A. Mara
(C)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
6.58 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
OKC
B. Stirtz
(PG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
2.20 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
4.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Allen
(C)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
8.97 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
4.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
D. Mitchell
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.74 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. McCain
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.13 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Allen
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.90 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
16.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
S. Merrill
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.22 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
15.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
K. Williams
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.91 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
13.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
I. Hartenstein
(C)
u3.5 Total Assists
2.76 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
11.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Williams
(PF)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
D. Mitchell
(SG)
o4.5 Total Assists
5.10 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
10.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
OKC
B. Stirtz
(PG)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
9.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. McCain
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.26 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
8.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
OKC
A. Mara
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
6.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander
(PG)
o5.5 Total Assists
5.87 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
5.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
E. Mobley
(PF)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.40 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
5.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Harden
(PG)
o6.5 Total Assists
6.77 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Mitchell
(SG)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.90 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-8.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Harden
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.48 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
15.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Williams
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.77 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
14.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
D. Mitchell
(SG)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
3.03 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
11.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
M. Hezonja
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.23 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
9.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. McCain
(SG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.37 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
S. Merrill
(SG)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.61 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
7.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
S. Gilgeous-Alexander
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.11 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
3.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
E. Mobley
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.24 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.73%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
A. Mitchell
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.33 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-0.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Allen
(C)
u0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.13 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
K. Williams
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.31 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-3.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
OKC
B. Stirtz
(PG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.45 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
OKC
A. Mara
(C)
u0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.23 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-7.08%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
OKC @ CLE · Trends
Top User Picks
More Picks'alayne25' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Over (228.5)
alayne25 is #10 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'jaw4423' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Under (229.5)
jaw4423 is #10 on picking games that Oklahoma City is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +2850 units on the season.
'Jake0' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Under (227.5)
Jake0 is #2 on picking games that Oklahoma City is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.
'bluorch158' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Under (228.5)
bluorch158 is #3 on picking games that Oklahoma City is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +3450 units on the season.
'AlmightyDragon' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Under (229.5)
AlmightyDragon is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3450 units on the season.
'HookmanHearns' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Over (228.5)
HookmanHearns is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +3450 units on the season.
'AMERSPORTSREPORT' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Under (228.5)
AMERSPORTSREPORT is #5 on picking games that Oklahoma City is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'pureporkchop' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Under (227.5)
pureporkchop is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3400 units on the season.
'ace6' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Over (228.5)
ace6 is #6 on picking games that Oklahoma City is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +2900 units on the season.
'wmg4444' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Under (228.5)
wmg4444 is #7 on picking games that Oklahoma City is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +2900 units on the season.
'CRS' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Under (228.5)
CRS is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3400 units on the season.
'lewman53' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Under (228.5)
lewman53 is #8 on picking games that Oklahoma City is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +2850 units on the season.
'pokersquirrel' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Under (229.5)
pokersquirrel is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3400 units on the season.
'Hoosier' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Under (227.5)
Hoosier is #9 on picking games that Oklahoma City is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +2850 units on the season.
'JL023' picks Oklahoma City vs Cleveland to go Over (228.5)
JL023 is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.