Cleveland Cavaliers Picks
2nd in Central
(52 - 30)
Next Game
CLE @ DET Picks
NBA Picks
Donovan Mitchell o3.5 Total Assists (+100)
Mitchell has topped his assist prop only once in the playoffs, driving his passing total from 5.5 O/U to its current stand of 3.5 O/U. Mitchell, who averaged almost six assists in the regular season, is projected for five dimes in Game 5 with his models ranging from 4.4 to as high as 5.3. That’s more than enough to get past his dwindling assist total. If the Pistons can tighten those defensive screws, we will see more drive-and-kick and dump downs from Mitchell, prompting more playmaking from the Cavs shooting guard.
DET -3.5 (-115)
Cleveland is 0-5 SU and ATS in playoff road games where its offense has fallen off dramatically, averaging just 100.2 points per game compared to 118 at home. Detroit’s defense has been excellent on its home floor, and after a massive free-throw discrepancy in Game 4, the whistle could be much more balanced tonight.
Jalen Duren Record a Double-Double (Yes: +135)
A return to the Motor City sparks the Pistons’ big body, who averaged 20.3 points and 11.4 boards inside Little Caesars Arena this season. The potential for boards is there for Duren, who’s been in position for 31 rebounding chances the last two contests but has secured only six of those misses. And while he’s not shooting at his normal volume, he is making what he’s taking the past two games: shooting 9 for 16 from the floor. Duren recorded the fifth most double-double efforts in the regular season and the “Yes” option in this market is now paying out at plus-money – something you’d rarely see with Duren’s props.
Evan Mobley o14.5 Points Scored (-125)
If this were just a regular-season game in November and I told you Evan Mobley had a points total of 14.5, you probably wouldn’t hesitate to say the number was too low—even if he were only expected to play around 30 minutes. But this is the Eastern Conference Semifinals, on the road, with the series tied 2-2. Forty minutes is absolutely on the table for Mobley here, and he’s still only trading at 14.5 points. We have to hit the button on that number. As the Detroit Pistons search for answers with different lineups that don’t always include Jalen Duren, the paint starts to open up more for Mobley and Jarrett Allen. I price the Over 14.5 points closer to -235, so this is a very strong edge we can attack.
Donovan Mitchell o27.5 Points Scored (-105)
Mitchell has cleared this prop in three straight games, most notably scoring 39 points in Monday’s second half. Will he stay at that kind of rate? Almost certainly not. But Mitchell is carrying Cleveland’s scoring load no matter what the Detroit Pistons’ defense tries.
Mitchell has cleared this modest assists prop in just one of four games, averaging 2.75 assists per game. Yet, as his scoring got more efficient in the last two games, it helped spur them both Over their totals.
Donovan Mitchell’s long-range shooting has fallen off in the postseason, down to 32.3% from 36.4% in the regular season. Worse yet, he has shot just 12-of-39 from beyond the arc this series, 30.8%. Yet, he is scoring in bunches.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus
64% picking Cleveland vs Detroit to go Over
Total PicksCLE 277, DET 156
Top User Picks
More Picks'manomanomano551' picks Cleveland vs Detroit to go Over (211.5)
manomanomano551 is #1 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (44-24-0) and +13900 units on the season.
'chuluckus' picks Cleveland vs Detroit to go Under (211.5)
chuluckus is #2 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (43-36-0) and +13400 units on the season.
'88FAN' picks Cleveland vs Detroit to go Under (212.5)
88FAN is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (25-14-0) and +12200 units on the season.
'mrmrsbears' picks Cleveland vs Detroit to go Over (212.5)
mrmrsbears is #3 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +12450 units on the season.
'merle1858' picks Cleveland vs Detroit to go Under (212.5)
merle1858 is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (40-38-0) and +9700 units on the season.
'Seawep95' picks Cleveland vs Detroit to go Over (211.5)
Seawep95 is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (40-28-0) and +9700 units on the season.
'kermitfrog' picks Cleveland vs Detroit to go Over (212.5)
kermitfrog is #5 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (49-31-0) and +10700 units on the season.
'PMaeson' picks Cleveland vs Detroit to go Under (211.5)
PMaeson is #6 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (35-24-0) and +10700 units on the season.
'Nittanymac5800' picks Cleveland vs Detroit to go Under (212.5)
Nittanymac5800 is #7 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (47-32-1) and +10200 units on the season.
'sandhog1' picks Cleveland vs Detroit to go Over (212.5)
sandhog1 is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (41-37-1) and +8100 units on the season.
'ThorsHammer' picks Cleveland vs Detroit to go Over (211.5)
ThorsHammer is #8 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (17-15-0) and +9250 units on the season.