Cleveland Cavaliers Picks
3rd in Central
(1 - 1)
Next Game
MIN @ CLE Picks
NBA PicksIf all Jarrett Allen needs is eight or more rebounds on Monday, then give me that number all the way up to 60%, with 53% feeling like a steal.
Allen has been a certified double-double machine against Minnesota, registering five in the last six encounters to the tune of 17.2 points and 11.5 boards.
That should be difficult to pull off standing opposite a four-time Defensive Player of the Year in Rudy Gobert, yet Allen consistently and effectively continues to find ways to get his numbers.
The 6-foot-9 center is bringing in 7.5 in a small sample size, but his rebounding chances are nearly double that at 14. If the Timberwolves get sloppy offensively, then expect to see Allen clean up their mess.
I'll be more than happy to trade this points line for Jaden McDaniels up to 55%, as he's demonstrated himself to be the clear-cut No. 3 option behind Anthony Edwards and LaMelo Ball.
McDaniels is contributing 15.3 points on 57.1% shooting through three games, all while attempting the third-most shots on the roster at 11.7. His efficiency is far greater than his backcourt teammates, and with no time to catch their breath after suiting up on Sunday, this two-way sensation could be asked to pick up some offensive slack in Cleveland.
He's averaging 15.2 points in five career looks at the Cavaliers, bolstered by a 26-point effort last season. This is a true value play at 51%, and one with even higher upside, knowing McDaniels went Over this number three of the last four times he was on no rest in 2025-26.
I'll be trading the Cleveland Cavaliers at -4.5 up to 55%, even with the Minnesota Timberwolves being one of the talks of the Association at 3-0.
Along with the Portland Trail Blazers, they're one of only two teams to currently possess a top-five offense (119 points per 100 possessions, fifth) and defense (96.1 points allowed per 100 possessions).
Minnesota, unfortunately, was just 1-3 straight up and against the spread in its final four games of the season on no rest, and when listed as an underdog, those marks looked even worse at 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS overall.
I'll back the Cleveland Cavaliers at 59% at home against the Minnesota Timberwolves, who are playing the second night of a back-to-back. Donovan Mitchell and James Harden have the skill and basketball IQ to exploit Rudy Gobert's drop coverage through two-man actions. On the other end, Cleveland's jumbo frontcourt of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen should protect the paint and limit Anthony Edwards' driving lanes.
Predicting the Cleveland Cavaliers on the spread essentially means taking the moneyline along with it, especially with the spread being as tight as it is.
Minnesota and Cleveland have achieved an Over in four-straight meetings, five of their last six, and eight of their last 10 dating back to the 2021-22 season.
Donovan Mitchell is averaging 7.5 rebounds through two games, which includes a double-digit effort versus the Philadelphia 76ers on Oct. 22. The Minnesota Timberwolves sit first in opponents' boards at 37 per contest, yet tired legs and the All-Star guard recording an Over at 4.5 five of the last eight times he's stood across from them gives me hope at plus money for this leg.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus52% picking Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Under
Total PicksMIN 134, CLE 147
MIN @ CLE · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
J. McDaniels
(PF)
u15.5 Points Scored
13.54 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.0
DIFFERENCE
21.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Kuminga
(PF)
o12.5 Points Scored
14.08 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
20.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
L. Ball
(PG)
u19.5 Points Scored
17.65 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.8
DIFFERENCE
18.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
M. Hezonja
(PF)
o6.5 Points Scored
7.82 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
18.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Tyson
(SG)
o8.5 Points Scored
9.93 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
16.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
MIN
T. Shannon Jr.
(SG)
u9.5 Points Scored
8.60 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
14.05%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
S. Merrill
(SG)
o7.5 Points Scored
8.66 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
11.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
D. Mitchell
(SG)
o25.5 Points Scored
26.53 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
6.58%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Edwards
(SG)
u27.5 Points Scored
26.93 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
5.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
E. Mobley
(PF)
u17.5 Points Scored
17.14 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
4.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Harden
(PG)
o16.5 Points Scored
17.58 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
3.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
R. Gobert
(C)
o9.5 Points Scored
9.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
2.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Allen
(C)
o12.5 Points Scored
13.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
1.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Dosunmu
(SG)
o12.5 Points Scored
12.82 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-13.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
P. Watson
(SF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.82 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
16.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Harden
(PG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.00 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
15.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
M. Hezonja
(PF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.78 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
15.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
E. Mobley
(PF)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
9.56 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
12.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Allen
(C)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
8.58 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
R. Gobert
(C)
u11.5 Total Rebounds
11.07 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
D. Mitchell
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
8.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Tyson
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.43 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
6.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Edwards
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.14 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
2.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
MIN
T. Shannon Jr.
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.62 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. McDaniels
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.06 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-4.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Dosunmu
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.56 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
L. Ball
(PG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.67 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Kuminga
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.75 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Allen
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.75 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
22.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
D. Mitchell
(SG)
o4.5 Total Assists
5.43 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
15.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Harden
(PG)
o6.5 Total Assists
7.35 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
13.73%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Edwards
(SG)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.60 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
13.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
L. Ball
(PG)
u7.5 Total Assists
6.68 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
12.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. McDaniels
(PF)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.33 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
5.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
E. Mobley
(PF)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Dosunmu
(SG)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.72 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
M. Hezonja
(PF)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.48 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-4.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Kuminga
(PF)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.34 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.34%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
A. Dosunmu
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
17.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
S. Merrill
(SG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.05 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
6.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
L. Ball
(PG)
u3.5 3-Pointers Made
3.04 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
5.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Kuminga
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.17 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
5.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
D. Mitchell
(SG)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.74 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
5.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
A. Edwards
(SG)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
3.31 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
2.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
E. Mobley
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.10 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
1.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
M. Hezonja
(PF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.96 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-0.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
P. Watson
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.30 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-3.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. McDaniels
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.38 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
MIN
T. Shannon Jr.
(SG)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
1.25 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-6.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Harden
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.36 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Tyson
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.45 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-8.94%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
MIN @ CLE · Trends
Top User Picks
More Picks'Gunner28' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Under (232.5)
Gunner28 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'mickthequick' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Under (233.5)
mickthequick is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'Noonball' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Under (232.5)
Noonball is #10 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'norronpatron' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Under (232.5)
norronpatron is #10 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'dispnum1' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Over (233.5)
dispnum1 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'alfimar10045' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Under (232.5)
alfimar10045 is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'CygXanadu' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Over (232.5)
CygXanadu is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'JayAcosta20' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Over (231.5)
JayAcosta20 is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'BillyJack' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Under (232.5)
BillyJack is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'Haybob' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Under (231.5)
Haybob is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'sportsdool1123' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Under (233.5)
sportsdool1123 is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'mrhogs' picks Minnesota vs Cleveland to go Under (231.5)
mrhogs is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.