This is my favorite prop on the New Year’s Eve board, and with a 3:30 p.m. ET tip, it gives you a perfect afternoon sweat before heading out for your NYE plans. Darius Garland’s points prop is set at 17.5 with the Over priced at +105, and I make this number much closer to -180 — a massive edge. The Suns have physical defenders, but they lack quickness, which creates a tough matchup against Garland, one of the fastest guards in the league. With Dillon Brooks and other defenders keyed in on Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley, Garland should consistently be able to exploit Devin Booker’s average defense.
Jarrett Allen showed his value in Monday’s win over the Spurs, finishing with 27 points and 10 rebounds. While that level of scoring jumps out as an anomaly, his impact on the glass feels more reliable, and I see him hauling in 8+ rebounds here for the fourth time in his last five contests.
Defensively, Phoenix is currently missing Jalen Green and potentially Grayson Allen, leaving its backcourt devoid of two of its best perimeter and on-ball defenders. That’s a situation that Mitchell typically loves to exploit.
Total PicksPHO 227, CLE 138
declin005 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (22-11-0) and +9350 units on the season.
livelywee55 is #10 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (23-10-0) and +5700 units on the season.
ewatson15 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +7150 units on the season.
whosat is #3 on picking games that Phoenix is in with a record of (19-11-1) and +8450 units on the season.
decep96 is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +7050 units on the season.
whosat is #3 on picking games that Phoenix is in with a record of (19-11-1) and +8450 units on the season.
reddog6008 is #4 on picking games that Phoenix is in with a record of (19-10-1) and +8100 units on the season.
reddog6008 is #4 on picking games that Phoenix is in with a record of (19-10-1) and +8100 units on the season.
Hoosier is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (21-13-0) and +6700 units on the season.
fragma8023 is #5 on picking games that Phoenix is in with a record of (20-9-0) and +7800 units on the season.
mjpalli is #7 on picking games that Phoenix is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +7300 units on the season.
mjpalli is #7 on picking games that Phoenix is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +7300 units on the season.
hobo is #8 on picking games that Phoenix is in with a record of (19-11-1) and +6900 units on the season.
hobo is #8 on picking games that Phoenix is in with a record of (19-11-1) and +6900 units on the season.
texvette is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-1-0) and +6000 units on the season.
bigjohn867 is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +5900 units on the season.
Halsey55 is #9 on picking games that Phoenix is in with a record of (1-2-0) and +6600 units on the season.