Cleveland Cavaliers Picks
2nd in Central
(3 - 1)
Next Game
CLE @ ATL Picks
NBA PicksPlay up to 48%. Mobley has been lights out from downtown, draining nine of his last 11 attempts and clearing this line in three straight games. Atlanta is also allowing 2.4 triples per contest to opposing power forwards. Some shooting regression is inevitable, but the volume makes this Over appealing.
Play up to 52%. Johnson has dished out 30 assists across his last three games, including 11 against Miami. His 37.4% assist percentage highlights his importance as Atlanta's primary facilitator, while Cleveland is allowing 26.8 dimes per contest. I'll back Johnson to keep creating opportunities for his teammates.
Play up to 55%. Atlanta allowed 70 points in the paint and was outrebounded 64-45 by Miami, setting up a favorable matchup for Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. The Hawks' positive scoring margin is also inflated by their blowout of Charlotte. I'll back Cleveland to exploit Atlanta's interior and win outright.
At 50%, I'll back the Cavaliers, pricing them closer to 54% favorites against the Hawks. Atlanta has perimeter defenders to challenge James Harden and Donovan Mitchell, but Cleveland's size creates matchup problems. The Cavaliers can exploit switches by attacking Onyeka Okongwu off the dribble or feeding Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen against smaller defenders. Cleveland's jumbo lineup gives it a unique advantage the Hawks may struggle to counter.
Cleveland should find opportunities inside against Atlanta, with Mobley averaging 9.3 rebounds and reaching double figures in three straight games. Both offenses are producing around 120 PPG, so I'm backing a Cavaliers victory, another strong rebounding performance from Mobley, and Over 237.5 points.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus53% picking Cleveland vs Atlanta to go Under
Total PicksCLE 158, ATL 181
CLE @ ATL · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Harden
(PG)
u18.5 Points Scored
16.45 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.1
DIFFERENCE
22.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
E. Mobley
(PF)
u17.5 Points Scored
15.97 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
21.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
P. Watson
(SF)
u13.5 Points Scored
12.30 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
20.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
L. Dort
(SF)
o7.5 Points Scored
8.93 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
20.32%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
O. Okongwu
(C)
o11.5 Points Scored
12.76 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
14.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Allen
(C)
o12.5 Points Scored
14.00 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
14.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Tyson
(SG)
o8.5 Points Scored
8.54 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
10.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
S. Merrill
(SG)
o8.5 Points Scored
8.50 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
9.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
C. McCollum
(PG)
o16.5 Points Scored
17.45 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
8.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Wiggins
(SG)
u12.5 Points Scored
11.61 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
8.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Landale
(C)
u7.5 Points Scored
7.29 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
8.06%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Johnson
(SF)
u22.5 Points Scored
20.94 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
6.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
N. Alexander-Walker
(SG)
o17.5 Points Scored
17.87 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
D. Mitchell
(SG)
o24.5 Points Scored
24.87 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
D. Daniels
(SG)
o10.5 Points Scored
10.60 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Landale
(C)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.03 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
17.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
C. McCollum
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.08 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
13.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
O. Okongwu
(C)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
7.30 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
13.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Harden
(PG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.96 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
13.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Johnson
(SF)
u9.5 Total Rebounds
9.34 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
10.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
D. Mitchell
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.03 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
4.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Allen
(C)
u8.5 Total Rebounds
8.49 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
4.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Wiggins
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.67 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
4.06%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
N. Alexander-Walker
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.53 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-0.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
E. Mobley
(PF)
u9.5 Total Rebounds
9.38 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
P. Watson
(SF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.72 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Tyson
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.88 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-7.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
L. Dort
(SF)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
3.44 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-8.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
D. Daniels
(SG)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.77 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-10.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
C. McCollum
(PG)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.36 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
10.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Wiggins
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.02 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
8.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Johnson
(SF)
u7.5 Total Assists
6.96 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
8.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
P. Watson
(SF)
u2.5 Total Assists
1.91 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
6.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
N. Alexander-Walker
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.48 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
6.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
E. Mobley
(PF)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.41 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
S. Merrill
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.97 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Harden
(PG)
o6.5 Total Assists
7.06 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Allen
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.75 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-2.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
O. Okongwu
(C)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.62 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
L. Dort
(SF)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.34 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
D. Daniels
(SG)
o4.5 Total Assists
4.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Tyson
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.83 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-9.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Landale
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.60 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-10.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
D. Mitchell
(SG)
u5.5 Total Assists
5.36 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-11.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
L. Dort
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.74 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
16.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
D. Daniels
(SG)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.60 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
A. Wiggins
(SG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
1.81 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
12.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
D. Mitchell
(SG)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.81 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
5.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
C. McCollum
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.20 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
4.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
P. Watson
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.34 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Tyson
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.35 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Johnson
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-0.58%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
E. Mobley
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.08 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Harden
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.37 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
O. Okongwu
(C)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.42 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
N. Alexander-Walker
(SG)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.74 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-11.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
S. Merrill
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.93 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
CLE @ ATL · Trends
Top User Picks
More Picks'Fyourself' picks Cleveland vs Atlanta to go Under (237.5)
Fyourself is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.
'Chrismano' picks Cleveland vs Atlanta to go Over (237.5)
Chrismano is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.
'HookmanHearns' picks Cleveland vs Atlanta to go Under (239.5)
HookmanHearns is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.
'serega810' picks Cleveland vs Atlanta to go Under (239.5)
serega810 is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.
'jakringle' picks Cleveland vs Atlanta to go Over (237.5)
jakringle is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2450 units on the season.
'norronpatron' picks Cleveland vs Atlanta to go Under (239.5)
norronpatron is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2450 units on the season.