Los Angeles @ Sacramento Picks & Props
LAL vs SAC Picks
NBA Picks
Luka Doncic's assists prop is set at 8.5 with the Over priced at -104, and that’s a number we’re attacking, as I make it much closer to -150. Sacramento simply doesn’t have a defender who can contain Doncic, and they know it, which should force consistent overhelp and create easy reads. With the Kings’ defense struggling across the board, players like Deandre Ayton and the other secondary options should have no trouble converting the looks Luka sets up for them.
LaVine dropped 32 points on the Lakers at the start of the season and the team is leaning on him to provide more pop in the backcourt, with super sub Dennis Schroder suspended. He’s also stepped up when playing in the second of back-to-back games, with outputs of 26 points (vs. Memphis) and 30 (vs. Chicago) earlier this season. Tonight’s player projections forecast LaVine getting back over the 20-point bar, with models ranging from 18.9 to 21.3. My number comes out to 20.4 points while bet365 is dealing 19.5 O/U and other books sit as high as 20.5.
LAL vs SAC Consensus Picks
45% picking L.A. Lakers vs Sacramento to go Under
Total PicksLAL 242, SAC 197
LAL vs SAC Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
LeBron James
(SF)
u23.5 Points Scored
21.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.7
DIFFERENCE
17.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Precious Achiuwa
(C)
o7.5 Points Scored
8.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
17.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
o9.5 Points Scored
11.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
16.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jarred Vanderbilt
(PF)
o4.5 Points Scored
5.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
8.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Luka Doncic
(PG)
u34.5 Points Scored
33.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
6.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Zach LaVine
(PF)
o20.5 Points Scored
21.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
6.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Marcus Smart
(PG)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
4.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Deandre Ayton
(C)
u14.5 Points Scored
13.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
2.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
DeMar DeRozan
(SF)
o19.5 Points Scored
20.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-0.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Malik Monk
(SG)
u12.5 Points Scored
12.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Russell Westbrook
(PG)
u15.5 Points Scored
15.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Maxime Raynaud
(C)
o11.5 Points Scored
11.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jarred Vanderbilt
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
6.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
23.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Precious Achiuwa
(C)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
10.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Malik Monk
(SG)
u2.5 Total Rebounds
2.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
10.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Zach LaVine
(PF)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
7.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Maxime Raynaud
(C)
u7.5 Total Rebounds
7.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Deandre Ayton
(C)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
8.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Russell Westbrook
(PG)
u6.5 Total Rebounds
6.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Luka Doncic
(PG)
o7.5 Total Rebounds
7.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
DeMar DeRozan
(SF)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Marcus Smart
(PG)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
3.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
LeBron James
(SF)
u6.5 Total Rebounds
6.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Zach LaVine
(PF)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
11.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jarred Vanderbilt
(PF)
u0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Precious Achiuwa
(C)
u0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
9.58%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Luka Doncic
(PG)
o3.5 3-Pointers Made
3.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
DeMar DeRozan
(SF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
1.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-5.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Russell Westbrook
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Malik Monk
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
LeBron James
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-9.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Marcus Smart
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-9.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Deandre Ayton
(C)
o0.5 Total Assists
1.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Zach LaVine
(PF)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
4.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Maxime Raynaud
(C)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Malik Monk
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-0.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Marcus Smart
(PG)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-1.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
DeMar DeRozan
(SF)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-1.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Precious Achiuwa
(C)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Russell Westbrook
(PG)
u7.5 Total Assists
7.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-3.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-3.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Luka Doncic
(PG)
o8.5 Total Assists
8.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jarred Vanderbilt
(PF)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
LeBron James
(SF)
o6.5 Total Assists
6.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.85%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
LAL vs SAC Trends
LAL vs SAC Top User Picks
L.A. Lakers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | sportbug | 7-3-0 | +9500 |
| 2 | shogun2164 | 7-3-0 | +9470 |
| 3 | greengrocer | 7-3-0 | +9300 |
| 4 | klavsgr | 8-2-0 | +9200 |
| 5 | mikeg1827 | 6-4-0 | +9150 |
| 6 | pervertido2704 | 6-4-0 | +8950 |
| 7 | HOTTIE | 7-3-0 | +8650 |
| 8 | mrplus96 | 7-3-0 | +8100 |
| 9 | kaitospapa | 9-1-0 | +8100 |
| 10 | buffalo2007 | 5-5-0 | +7800 |
| All Lakers Money Leaders | |||
Sacramento Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | mollydog | 8-2-0 | +11800 |
| 2 | buffalo2007 | 6-4-0 | +10400 |
| 3 | hobo | 6-4-0 | +10150 |
| 4 | seattle-8 | 5-5-0 | +9250 |
| 5 | johnmartellejr | 6-4-0 | +9150 |
| 6 | bjs129 | 6-4-0 | +9100 |
| 7 | Octavio | 5-5-0 | +9100 |
| 8 | Layne17 | 6-4-0 | +9000 |
| 9 | ceesey | 7-3-0 | +8750 |
| 10 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +8500 |
| All Kings Money Leaders | |||