Final Apr 30
GS 116 4.0 o203.0
HOU 131 -4.0 u203.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 103 6.0 o210.5
LAL 96 -6.0 u210.5
Memphis 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-34
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43

Memphis @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dwight Powell Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Powell
center C • Dallas
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-108

Out of all players in the league, Dwight Powell slots into the 100th percentile for field goal ability with an outstanding 77.6% rate this year. Dwight Powell has made a whopping 100.0% of his 3-pointers this year, quite a bit more than his 33.3 rate last year. The Mavericks check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The number of three-pointers attempted against Zach Edey has been very high (2.6 per game) when playing on the road and facing opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Dwight Powell

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Out of all players in the league, Dwight Powell slots into the 100th percentile for field goal ability with an outstanding 77.6% rate this year. Dwight Powell has made a whopping 100.0% of his 3-pointers this year, quite a bit more than his 33.3 rate last year. The Mavericks check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The number of three-pointers attempted against Zach Edey has been very high (2.6 per game) when playing on the road and facing opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Under
-120

Ja Morant has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's been called for overall this season. The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, struggling to get to the foul line. Ja Morant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Ja Morant

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

Ja Morant has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's been called for overall this season. The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, struggling to get to the foul line. Ja Morant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-115

Spencer Dinwiddie has sunk 49.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 8.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 5.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. The Mavericks check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.1 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Spencer Dinwiddie has sunk 49.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 8.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 5.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. The Mavericks check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.1 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

Vince Williams Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 39.0% more than he's made in all games this season.

Vince Williams

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 39.0% more than he's made in all games this season.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-122

Naji Marshall has attempted 8.8 field goals per game this year, a big improvement over his 5.7 mark last year. Naji Marshall has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.8 more than he's played over the course of the year at home. The Mavericks check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against Memphis is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5). The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Naji Marshall has attempted 8.8 field goals per game this year, a big improvement over his 5.7 mark last year. Naji Marshall has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.8 more than he's played over the course of the year at home. The Mavericks check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against Memphis is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5). The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Jaylen Wells Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Wells
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jaylen Wells has made 48.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 7.0% more than he's sunk overall this season while on the road. Jaylen Wells has attempted 6.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Jaylen Wells has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Wells

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Jaylen Wells has made 48.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 7.0% more than he's sunk overall this season while on the road. Jaylen Wells has attempted 6.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Jaylen Wells has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

Klay Thompson has attempted 14.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Klay Thompson has made 4.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. The Mavericks check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Klay Thompson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player production across the board.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Klay Thompson has attempted 14.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Klay Thompson has made 4.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. The Mavericks check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Klay Thompson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player production across the board.

Zach Edey Points Scored Props • Memphis

Z. Edey
center C • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-200

Zach Edey has made 73.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 13.4% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Zach Edey has made 100.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 64.0% more than he's made in all games this season. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Zach Edey

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Zach Edey has made 73.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 13.4% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Zach Edey has made 100.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 64.0% more than he's made in all games this season. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Santi Aldama has sunk 5.0 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. Santi Aldama has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing on the road. Santi Aldama has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's played overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama registers in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, logging only 1.0 fouls per game this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a good one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).

Santi Aldama

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Santi Aldama has sunk 5.0 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. Santi Aldama has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing on the road. Santi Aldama has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's played overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama registers in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, logging only 1.0 fouls per game this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a good one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).

Max Christie Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Christie
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-110

The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies is a challenging one for field goals; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the least baskets per game in the NBA this year (4.3). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Max Christie

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies is a challenging one for field goals; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the least baskets per game in the NBA this year (4.3). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

In comparison to last year's 4.6 mark, Dante Exum's field goal attempts have spiked this year to 7.1 per game. The Mavericks check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Dante Exum has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 27.5% more than he's converted in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.1 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

Dante Exum

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

In comparison to last year's 4.6 mark, Dante Exum's field goal attempts have spiked this year to 7.1 per game. The Mavericks check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Dante Exum has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 27.5% more than he's converted in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.1 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
-115

Desmond Bane has attempted 14.0 shots per game this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league. Desmond Bane has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's averaged in all games this season. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have totaled 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a favorable matchup. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Desmond Bane

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Desmond Bane has attempted 14.0 shots per game this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league. Desmond Bane has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's averaged in all games this season. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have totaled 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a favorable matchup. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Olivier-Maxence Prosper Points Scored Props • Dallas

O. Prosper
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.87
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-132
Under
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
3.87
Best Odds
Over
-132
Under
+100

Olivier-Maxence Prosper has gone over 6.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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