Miami @ Dallas Picks & Props

Spencer Dinwiddie has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this year at home. The 8th-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Heat). The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-most sluggish tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Miami Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court (3rd-least in the league). Kyle Anderson is expected to see a decline in production for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

The 8th-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Heat). The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Miami may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are on the road (4th-least in the NBA).

The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-most sluggish tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Miami Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 5.3 rate, Bam Adebayo's number of free throw attempts has decreased this season to 4.1 free throw attempts per game. The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court (3rd-least in the league).

In regard to threes, the Heat's superb 14.0 sunk threes per game away from their home court places 7th-highest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most shot attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

Among all players in the league, Olivier-Maxence Prosper ranks in the 9th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a measly 0.6 fouls per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 117.5 points per game measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a colossal 43.8% of their shots from downtown (100th percentile). Olivier-Maxence Prosper has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 29.1% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Olivier-Maxence Prosper is expected to see a rise in production across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-most sluggish tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Miami Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA). Tyler Herro will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production for all stats.

The 8th-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Heat). The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-most sluggish tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Miami Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Kel'el Ware should suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats due to being on the road in this contest.

The 8th-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Heat). The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Dallas is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-most sluggish tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Miami Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 2.8 clip, Terry Rozier's foul shots sunk have diminished this year to 1.6 per game.

Naji Marshall has converted 64.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 12.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this year playing at home. Naji Marshall has sunk 45.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 19.5% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season while playing at home. In regard to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 117.5 points per game measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. Naji Marshall will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve stat production for all stats.

Davion Mitchell has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.2 fouls per game last season. The matchup against Dallas is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-most sluggish tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Miami Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic has sunk 55.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 10.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year on the road. Nikola Jovic has made 50.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games on the road, 11.9% higher than he's converted from three overall this year when playing away from home. Nikola Jovic has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. In regard to threes, the Heat's superb 14.0 sunk threes per game away from their home court places 7th-highest in the league this year.

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 16.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Andrew Wiggins has made 2.2 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 30.2 minutes per game this year. In regard to threes, the Heat's superb 14.0 sunk threes per game away from their home court places 7th-highest in the league this year. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 7.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

In regard to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 117.5 points per game measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line. Klay Thompson will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production for all stats.

In regard to threes, the Heat's superb 14.0 sunk threes per game away from their home court places 7th-highest in the league this year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's made overall this year while on the road. Over the last 17 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Jaden Hardy has gone over 10.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Duncan Robinson has gone over 9.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Alec Burks has gone over 9.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.