Dallas 5th Western Conference50-32
Minnesota 3rd Western Conference56-26

Dallas @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 53.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 53.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-156

Jaden McDaniels has converted 63.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 12.1% more than he's sunk overall this year on his home court. Jaden McDaniels has made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Jaden McDaniels has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. In terms of 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Mavericks, branding this as a positive matchup.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Jaden McDaniels has converted 63.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 12.1% more than he's sunk overall this year on his home court. Jaden McDaniels has made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Jaden McDaniels has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. In terms of 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Mavericks, branding this as a positive matchup.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.4
Best Odds
Over
-145

Anthony Edwards has converted 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's sunk overall this season. Anthony Edwards has tallied 40.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. In terms of 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. The rate of shots converted against Kyrie Irving has been remarkably high (44.0%) when guarding fellow starting SGs this year (75th percentile).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.4

Anthony Edwards has converted 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's sunk overall this season. Anthony Edwards has tallied 40.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. In terms of 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. The rate of shots converted against Kyrie Irving has been remarkably high (44.0%) when guarding fellow starting SGs this year (75th percentile).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 34.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Kyrie Irving has successfully made 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing on the road. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 34.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Kyrie Irving has successfully made 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing on the road. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
28
Best Odds
Under
-104

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a difficult matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 8.4 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 10.5 rate last season. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line as the visting team: 9th-worst in the league this year, averaging just 20.6 foul shots per game.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a difficult matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 8.4 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 10.5 rate last season. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line as the visting team: 9th-worst in the league this year, averaging just 20.6 foul shots per game.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
+114

P.J. Washington has attempted 13.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. P.J. Washington has attempted 8.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. P.J. Washington has averaged 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's averaged overall this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

P.J. Washington has attempted 13.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. P.J. Washington has attempted 8.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. P.J. Washington has averaged 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's averaged overall this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-148

Karl-Anthony Towns has logged 19.3 points per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Mavericks, branding this as a positive matchup. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns registers in the 93rd percentile for foul shots drained, compiling a monstrous 4.0 per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Karl-Anthony Towns has logged 19.3 points per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Mavericks, branding this as a positive matchup. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns registers in the 93rd percentile for foul shots drained, compiling a monstrous 4.0 per game this year.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 88th percentile for three-point efficiency while on his home court with a remarkable 42.9% rate this year. Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 4.6 more than he's averaged overall this year at home. In terms of 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). Mike Conley has successfully made 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 14 games at home, 1.8 higher than he's made in all games this year when playing at home.

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 88th percentile for three-point efficiency while on his home court with a remarkable 42.9% rate this year. Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 4.6 more than he's averaged overall this year at home. In terms of 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). Mike Conley has successfully made 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 14 games at home, 1.8 higher than he's made in all games this year when playing at home.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

When guarding fellow starting Cs, Rudy Gobert has been in the 100th percentile with an enormous 2.4 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.7 free throws per game (75th percentile).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

When guarding fellow starting Cs, Rudy Gobert has been in the 100th percentile with an enormous 2.4 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.7 free throws per game (75th percentile).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-145

Naz Reid has successfully made 53.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 5.8% higher than he's converted overall this season. In terms of 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. Naz Reid has made 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 10.1% more than he's made over the course of the year on his home court. Naz Reid is expected to see a spike in efficiency for all stats considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Naz Reid

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Naz Reid has successfully made 53.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 5.8% higher than he's converted overall this season. In terms of 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. Naz Reid has made 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 10.1% more than he's made over the course of the year on his home court. Naz Reid is expected to see a spike in efficiency for all stats considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-150

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 96th percentile for scoring performance with a stellar 65.5% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has tallied 34.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile. In terms of 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a favorable one; he has given up a colossal 15.4 points per game when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 96th percentile for scoring performance with a stellar 65.5% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has tallied 34.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile. In terms of 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a favorable one; he has given up a colossal 15.4 points per game when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 98th percentile for field goal performance away from home with an impressive 68.9% rate this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Dereck Lively II has attempted 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 98th percentile for field goal performance away from home with an impressive 68.9% rate this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Dereck Lively II has attempted 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted overall this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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