BOS -1.0 o211.5
DAL 1.0 u211.5
Dallas 5th Western Conference50-32
Minnesota 3rd Western Conference56-26

Dallas @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.4
Best Odds
Over
-104

Anthony Edwards has successfully made 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year while playing at home. Anthony Edwards has averaged 40.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The matchup against Kyrie Irving is a favorable one for scoring; when defending other starting SGs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 44.1% of their shots from the field (75th percentile).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.4

Anthony Edwards has successfully made 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year while playing at home. Anthony Edwards has averaged 40.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The matchup against Kyrie Irving is a favorable one for scoring; when defending other starting SGs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 44.1% of their shots from the field (75th percentile).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Over
-118

Karl-Anthony Towns has posted 19.4 points per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's best in this category. Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 93rd percentile for foul shots made when playing at home, averaging an enormous 4.1 per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

Karl-Anthony Towns has posted 19.4 points per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's best in this category. Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 93rd percentile for foul shots made when playing at home, averaging an enormous 4.1 per game this year.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has made 2.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while on his home court. Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games playing at home, 4.7 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.4). Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year on his home court.

Mike Conley

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Mike Conley has made 2.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while on his home court. Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games playing at home, 4.7 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.4). Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year on his home court.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-130

The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 2.4 shots from downtown per game (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been remarkably high (3.7 foul shots per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 2.4 shots from downtown per game (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been remarkably high (3.7 foul shots per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-129

Naz Reid has made 2.0 three-pointers per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Naz Reid has converted 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 15.4% more than he's converted in all games this year playing at home. Naz Reid will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raise player production across the board.

Naz Reid

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Naz Reid has made 2.0 three-pointers per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Naz Reid has converted 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 15.4% more than he's converted in all games this year playing at home. Naz Reid will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raise player production across the board.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 98th percentile for shooting efficiency while playing on the road with a very good 68.0% rate this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Dereck Lively II has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 98th percentile for shooting efficiency while playing on the road with a very good 68.0% rate this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Dereck Lively II has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.3
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.3
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has registered 32.9 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile. Compared to last season's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this season to 10.5 per game. Luka Doncic has tallied 37.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.3

Luka Doncic has registered 32.9 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile. Compared to last season's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this season to 10.5 per game. Luka Doncic has tallied 37.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-101
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-101
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 60.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 15.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year on the road. Derrick Jones Jr. has made 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from three in all games this year. Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 60.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 15.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year on the road. Derrick Jones Jr. has made 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from three in all games this year. Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-125

P.J. Washington has converted 7.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's sunk overall this year. P.J. Washington has made 4.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. P.J. Washington has tallied 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

P.J. Washington has converted 7.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's sunk overall this year. P.J. Washington has made 4.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. P.J. Washington has tallied 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-108

Rudy Gobert has converted 65.7% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a strong one; he has given up a massive 15.5 points per game when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Rudy Gobert has converted 65.7% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a strong one; he has given up a massive 15.5 points per game when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kyrie Irving has converted 9.0 shots made from the field per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Kyrie Irving has averaged 34.8 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are at home (6th-most in the NBA).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.4
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.4

Kyrie Irving has converted 9.0 shots made from the field per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Kyrie Irving has averaged 34.8 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are at home (6th-most in the NBA).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jaden McDaniels has converted 62.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 13.9% more than he's converted over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 29.9 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Jaden McDaniels has attempted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jaden McDaniels ought to see a rise in production across the board as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Jaden McDaniels has converted 62.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 13.9% more than he's converted over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 29.9 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Jaden McDaniels has attempted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jaden McDaniels ought to see a rise in production across the board as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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