Miami @ Boston props

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum places in the 98th percentile, putting up a whopping 26.6 points per game at home this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum registers in the 98th percentile for three-point attempts, compiling 8.2 per game this year. Jayson Tatum has tallied 35.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, creating a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Al Horford has sunk 55.2% of his treys over the last 10 games at home, 10.6% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year playing at home. The number of treys attempted against Bam Adebayo has been very high (2.2 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (89th percentile). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. In comparison to last year's 72.6% mark, Al Horford's foul-shot efficiency has increased this year to 84.4%. Al Horford ought to see an increase in production for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Nikola Jovic has made 62.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.6% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season away from his home court. Nikola Jovic has played 24.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 higher than he's played overall this season. The Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court when it comes to 3-point attempts. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 30.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while playing on the road. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Bam Adebayo has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this year on the road. The number of threes scored against Al Horford has been remarkably low (0.5 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (11th percentile). The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Boston Celtics. In terms of getting to the foul line, the Boston Celtics's poor 16.3 free throws per game rates worst in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. Miami may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are on the road (4th-least in the NBA).

Tyler Herro has attempted 10.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Tyler Herro has tallied 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. The Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court when it comes to 3-point attempts. The matchup against Boston is a good one for three-point attempts; when the Boston Celtics are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.8). Tyler Herro has made 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Caleb Martin has successfully made 56.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 18.6% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season while on the road. Caleb Martin has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court when it comes to 3-point attempts. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). Caleb Martin has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Haywood Highsmith has played 26.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.7 more than he's played over the course of the year. The Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court when it comes to 3-point attempts. Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 37.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Jrue Holiday has averaged 31.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Jrue Holiday has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it easy to draw fouls.

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Boston Celtics. In terms of getting to the foul line, the Boston Celtics's poor 16.3 free throws per game rates worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Payton Pritchard has made 2.9 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing at home. Payton Pritchard has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games at home, 7.0 more than he's played overall this year at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Payton Pritchard has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.1% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Payton Pritchard figures to get a boost in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Delon Wright has successfully made 70.0% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 28.1% higher than he's sunk overall this year when playing away from home. Delon Wright has tallied 24.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's tallied overall this season. Delon Wright has averaged 0.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the league (13th percentile). The Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court when it comes to 3-point attempts. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a positive one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (3.0).

Duncan Robinson has gone over 3.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Sam Hauser has gone over 6.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Patty Mills has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Luke Kornet has gone over 3.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.