Miami @ Boston Picks & Props

The Heat rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games with respect to 3-point attempts.

Nikola Jovic has made 62.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 14.4% more than he's sunk overall this season when playing away from home. The Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games with respect to 3-point attempts. Nikola Jovic has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 31.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 48.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 6.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from home. Haywood Highsmith has been on the court for 27.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games with respect to 3-point attempts. Haywood Highsmith has sunk a whopping 60.1% of his free throws this year, a significant increase from his 51.8 mark last year.

Al Horford has sunk 62.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 11.2% higher than he's sunk overall this season. The Boston Celtics rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last season's 72.6% clip, Al Horford's free-throw proficiency has increased this season to 86.7%. Al Horford figures to see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league while playing on the road this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA). Tyler Herro will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

Caleb Martin has sunk 53.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 14.7% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. The Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games with respect to 3-point attempts. The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White comes in at the 94th percentile for three-pointers converted, logging 2.7 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.8 minutes per game on his home court this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a positive matchup. The Boston Celtics rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Derrick White has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Celtics will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Heat). As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line of late: worst in the NBA over the last 10 games, averaging a lowly 14.9 foul shots per game.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Celtics will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Heat). As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line of late: worst in the NBA over the last 10 games, averaging a lowly 14.9 foul shots per game.

Kristaps Porzingis has converted 58.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 6.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 55.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 12.0% higher than he's made from three in all games this year while at home. Kristaps Porzingis has played 28.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup against the Heat is a good one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%). The Boston Celtics rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Jrue Holiday has attempted a measly 10.0 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 15.4 mark last year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Celtics will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Heat). As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line of late: worst in the NBA over the last 10 games, averaging a lowly 14.9 foul shots per game.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 66.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 29.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season when playing on the road. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played 28.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 75th percentile. The Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games with respect to 3-point attempts. The matchup against Boston is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Celtics have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8). Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted overall this year.

Bam Adebayo has converted 53.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 24.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year while playing away from home. Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games with respect to 3-point attempts. Bam Adebayo has made 86.1% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 10.4% higher than he's converted in all games this year away from home.

Kevin Love has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Payton Pritchard has gone over 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Delon Wright has not yet played a game this season.

Duncan Robinson has gone over 6.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Sam Hauser has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.