In comparison to last year's 39.1% rate, Blake Wesley's 3-point effectiveness has decreased this year to 19.2%. The Spurs have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 54.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 14.0% more than he's made in all games this year on the road. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 2.5 threes per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 84th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 37.5% on threes (8th-best in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Spurs).
Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.6 3-point shots per game on the road this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. Michael Porter Jr. has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 85th percentile. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.4 offensive boards per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 93.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 13.4% more than he's made over the course of the season away from home.
Sandro Mamukelashvili Points Scored Props • San Antonio
Out of all players in the league, Sandro Mamukelashvili measures in the 21st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a measly 0.9 fouls per game when playing at home this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a positive matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year. The Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Sandro Mamukelashvili will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts stat production for all stats.
Christian Braun has sunk 51.1% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 8.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Christian Braun has successfully made 47.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 13.0% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Christian Braun has averaged 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Tre Jones has attempted 12.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Tre Jones has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year. The Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Tre Jones has converted 90.9% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 10.2% higher than he's converted in all games this year on his home court.
Julian Champagnie Points Scored Props • San Antonio
Julian Champagnie has converted 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 6 games at home, 1.3 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year with the home court advantage. Julian Champagnie has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 14.2 more than he's averaged overall this season. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year. The Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Julian Champagnie has made 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted in all games this season.
Aaron Gordon has converted 60.4% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 6.3% more than he's made in all games this season while on the road. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.4 offensive boards per game this year. Aaron Gordon has attempted 6.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. The matchup against San Antonio is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the San Antonio Spurs are playing at home (6th-most in the league).
Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray slots into the 93rd percentile for field goal attempts, registering 16.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray lands in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 31.7 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 50.2% on field goal attempts (best in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, making this a positive matchup. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.4 offensive boards per game this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year. The Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Zach Collins should see a rise in productivity across the board in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.
Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio
Victor Wembanyama has scored 29.8 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.4 higher than he's scored over the course of the season at home. Victor Wembanyama has attempted 8.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Victor Wembanyama has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. The number of field goals sunk against Nikola Jokic has been very high (6.3 per game) when he is away from his home court and defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
Nikola Jokic has put up 33.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 higher than he's put up in all games this season. Nikola Jokic has sunk 64.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 22.5% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year. Nikola Jokic has played 34.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup vs. Victor Wembanyama is a good one for scoring; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 7.0 buckets per game (100th percentile). The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Spurs).
