Miami @ Atlanta Picks & Props

In contrast to last year's 21.7% clip, Nikola Jovic's 3-point proficiency has increased this year to 39.8%. As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. the Hawks is a strong one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 3rd-highest FG% in the league this year (54.1%). The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which should lead to more plays for the Miami Heat. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 32.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. Clint Capela is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 1.2 threes per game (3rd percentile). The least up-tempo tempo away team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 3rdworst in in the league as the road team with only 8.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Bam Adebayo ought to see a decline in production across the board due to playing away from home in this contest.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 54.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 5.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 28.3 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which should lead to more plays for the Miami Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 18.1% more than he's put through the net overall this year away from his home court.

Bruno Fernando has made 69.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 9.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA at home this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 2nd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year. Bruno Fernando will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player production across the board.

Terry Rozier has sunk 4.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's sunk overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 33.5 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.6 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, making this a good matchup. The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which should lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.

Relative to last season's 15.6 clip, Jimmy Butler's field goal attempts have fallen this season to 13.5 per game. The least up-tempo tempo away team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 3rdworst in in the league as the road team with only 8.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Jimmy Butler will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance for all stats.

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Atlanta Hawks are at home, the other team's starting SFs have shot for the highest three rate in the league this year (60.1%). The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which should lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson ranks in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Heat, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Dejounte Murray has attempted 25.2 shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.3 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. Dejounte Murray has attempted 10.1 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Dejounte Murray has tallied 35.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 98th percentile. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA at home this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 2nd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Andre Hunter rates in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.2 fouls per game while playing at home this year. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro registers in the 94th percentile for shots from the field, totaling 17.7 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro ranks in the 96th percentile for 3-point attempts while playing away from home, averaging 7.6 per game this year. Tyler Herro has tallied 33.0 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.6 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, making this a good matchup.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA at home this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 2nd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year. Clint Capela has attempted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this year. Clint Capela stands to get a boost in efficiency across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 17.6 shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Compared to last year's 6.6 clip, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shots from behind the three-point arc have jumped this year to 8.1 per game. Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 8.0 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA at home this year.

Kevin Love has gone over 6.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Kobe Bufkin has gone over 3.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Vit Krejci has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Garrison Mathews has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.