HOU 5.0 o207.5
GS -5.0 u207.5
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
LA 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE51-31
TNT, TRUTV, Altitude Sports

Denver @ LA props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

P.J. Tucker Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

P. Tucker
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Under
-111
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Under
-111
Projection Rating

The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Clippers. The LA Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). The LA Clippers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

P.J. Tucker

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 2.8
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
2.8

The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Clippers. The LA Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). The LA Clippers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Under
+100

Reggie Jackson has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this year. The Nuggets rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one for field goals; when the Clippers have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 8th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (42.1%). The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games on the road. The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Clippers).

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Reggie Jackson has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this year. The Nuggets rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one for field goals; when the Clippers have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 8th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (42.1%). The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games on the road. The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Clippers).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.4 fouls per game when playing away from home this year. The Nuggets rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The showdown with Ivica Zubac registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs sinking just 4.8 field goals per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games on the road. The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Clippers).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.3
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.3

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.4 fouls per game when playing away from home this year. The Nuggets rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The showdown with Ivica Zubac registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs sinking just 4.8 field goals per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games on the road. The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Clippers).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 31.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 7.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season when playing away from home. The matchup vs. the LA Clippers may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the NBA).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 31.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 7.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season when playing away from home. The matchup vs. the LA Clippers may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the NBA).

Terance Mann Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

T. Mann
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-110

Terance Mann has converted 54.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 7.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year while on his home court. Terance Mann has converted 51.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 13.9% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. In regard to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 3rd-most in the league this year. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.7 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the league). Terance Mann will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Terance Mann

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Terance Mann has converted 54.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 7.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year while on his home court. Terance Mann has converted 51.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 13.9% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. In regard to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 3rd-most in the league this year. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.7 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the league). Terance Mann will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-105

In regard to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 3rd-most in the league this year. Russell Westbrook has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Russell Westbrook figures to see a spike in performance for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

In regard to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 3rd-most in the league this year. Russell Westbrook has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Russell Westbrook figures to see a spike in performance for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Ivica Zubac Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

I. Zubac
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-130

Among all players in the NBA, Ivica Zubac comes in at the 97th percentile for scoring performance with a very good 66.1% rate this year. In regard to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 3rd-most in the league this year. The number of shot attempts from the field against Nikola Jokic has been quite high (11.9 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (90th percentile). Ivica Zubac has attempted 2.5 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA. Ivica Zubac will likely see a rise in output across the board considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Ivica Zubac

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Among all players in the NBA, Ivica Zubac comes in at the 97th percentile for scoring performance with a very good 66.1% rate this year. In regard to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 3rd-most in the league this year. The number of shot attempts from the field against Nikola Jokic has been quite high (11.9 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (90th percentile). Ivica Zubac has attempted 2.5 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA. Ivica Zubac will likely see a rise in output across the board considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The Nuggets rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games on the road. The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Clippers). Christian Braun is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency across the board on account of being on the road in this matchup.

Christian Braun

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

The Nuggets rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games on the road. The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Clippers). Christian Braun is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency across the board on account of being on the road in this matchup.

Paul George Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

P. George
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Under
-115

The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.1). The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Clippers. The LA Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). The LA Clippers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Paul George has attempted a lowly 3.7 foul shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 5.3 mark last season.

Paul George

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.1). The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Clippers. The LA Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). The LA Clippers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Paul George has attempted a lowly 3.7 foul shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 5.3 mark last season.

Norman Powell Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

N. Powell
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-104

Norman Powell has attempted 7.0 threes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. In regard to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 3rd-most in the league this year. Norman Powell has successfully made 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's made overall this season playing at home. The matchup against Denver is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are away from home (10th-most in the league). Norman Powell will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production in all facets of the game.

Norman Powell

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Norman Powell has attempted 7.0 threes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. In regard to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 3rd-most in the league this year. Norman Powell has successfully made 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's made overall this season playing at home. The matchup against Denver is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are away from home (10th-most in the league). Norman Powell will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production in all facets of the game.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has compiled 20.2 points per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 4.4 higher than he's compiled in all games this season on the road. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 3.3 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season while playing on the road. Michael Porter Jr. has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 85th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.1 foul shots per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Michael Porter Jr. has compiled 20.2 points per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 4.4 higher than he's compiled in all games this season on the road. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 3.3 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season while playing on the road. Michael Porter Jr. has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 85th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.1 foul shots per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-124

Jamal Murray has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 85th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Jamal Murray has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.1% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Jamal Murray has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 85th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Jamal Murray has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.1% higher than he's made in all games this year.

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

J. Harden
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-130

Out of all players in the league, James Harden lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.6 minutes per game on his home court this year. In regard to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 3rd-most in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA). James Harden ought to see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

James Harden

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Out of all players in the league, James Harden lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.6 minutes per game on his home court this year. In regard to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 3rd-most in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA). James Harden ought to see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-122

Aaron Gordon has attempted 12.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this season. Aaron Gordon has sunk 1.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made over the course of the season. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile. This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.3 3-point attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Clippers, resulting in a good matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Aaron Gordon has attempted 12.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this season. Aaron Gordon has sunk 1.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made over the course of the season. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile. This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.3 3-point attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Clippers, resulting in a good matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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