Oklahoma City 1st Western Conference57-25
New Orleans 8th Western Conference49-33
BSN, NBALP

Oklahoma City @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jalen Williams has successfully made 9.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Relative to last year's 33.7% mark, Jalen Williams's three-point prowess has risen this year to 44.4%. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game this year. When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 118.6 points per game when playing away from home rates 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Jalen Williams has successfully made 9.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Relative to last year's 33.7% mark, Jalen Williams's three-point prowess has risen this year to 44.4%. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game this year. When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 118.6 points per game when playing away from home rates 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
+100

Herbert Jones has made 50.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games at home, 11.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while on his home court. Herbert Jones has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. In terms of three-pointers, the Pelicans's terrific 37.6% rate of successful threes comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Relative to last season's 73.1% mark, Herbert Jones's free-throw efficiency has spiked this season to 86.2%.

Herbert Jones

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Herbert Jones has made 50.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games at home, 11.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while on his home court. Herbert Jones has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. In terms of three-pointers, the Pelicans's terrific 37.6% rate of successful threes comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Relative to last season's 73.1% mark, Herbert Jones's free-throw efficiency has spiked this season to 86.2%.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.1
Best Odds
Under
-115

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made just 7.6 free throws per game this year, significantly lower than his 9.8 rate last year. The matchup against New Orleans is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 foul shots per game this year when the Pelicans are at home (least in the NBA).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.1
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.1

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made just 7.6 free throws per game this year, significantly lower than his 9.8 rate last year. The matchup against New Orleans is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 foul shots per game this year when the Pelicans are at home (least in the NBA).

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • New Orleans

N. Marshall
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
+100

Naji Marshall has made a terrific 44.2% of his attempts from downtown this year, significantly higher than his 25.6 mark last year. In terms of three-pointers, the Pelicans's terrific 37.6% rate of successful threes comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Naji Marshall has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 19.2% higher than he's made in all games this season. Naji Marshall will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally boosts player production across the board.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Naji Marshall has made a terrific 44.2% of his attempts from downtown this year, significantly higher than his 25.6 mark last year. In terms of three-pointers, the Pelicans's terrific 37.6% rate of successful threes comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Naji Marshall has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 19.2% higher than he's made in all games this season. Naji Marshall will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally boosts player production across the board.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
-120

Compared to last season's 2.8 mark, CJ McCollum's three-point shots converted have risen this season to 3.4 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 31.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In terms of three-pointers, the Pelicans's terrific 37.6% rate of successful threes comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). CJ McCollum has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 20.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this season on his home court.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Compared to last season's 2.8 mark, CJ McCollum's three-point shots converted have risen this season to 3.4 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 31.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In terms of three-pointers, the Pelicans's terrific 37.6% rate of successful threes comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). CJ McCollum has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 20.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this season on his home court.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-108

Zion Williamson has converted 100.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 37.5% more than he's made over the course of the season while at home. Zion Williamson has averaged 30.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. In terms of three-pointers, the Pelicans's terrific 37.6% rate of successful threes comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). In contrast to last season's 2.5 mark, Zion Williamson's off-target foul shot attempts have diminished this season to 2.0 per game.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Zion Williamson has converted 100.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 37.5% more than he's made over the course of the season while at home. Zion Williamson has averaged 30.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. In terms of three-pointers, the Pelicans's terrific 37.6% rate of successful threes comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). In contrast to last season's 2.5 mark, Zion Williamson's off-target foul shot attempts have diminished this season to 2.0 per game.

Gordon Hayward Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

G. Hayward
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Gordon Hayward has attempted a lowly 1.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.2 rate last year. The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Gordon Hayward stands to suffer a reduction in production for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.

Gordon Hayward

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.4

Gordon Hayward has attempted a lowly 1.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.2 rate last year. The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Gordon Hayward stands to suffer a reduction in production for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.6 fouls per game while playing at home this year. The Pelicans have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.6 fouls per game while playing at home this year. The Pelicans have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-110

Trey Murphy III has missed 7.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's missed overall this year. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a challenging one for three-point shots; the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (25.5%). The Pelicans have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Oklahoma may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are away from home (2nd-least in the NBA).

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Trey Murphy III has missed 7.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's missed overall this year. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a challenging one for three-point shots; the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (25.5%). The Pelicans have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Oklahoma may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are away from home (2nd-least in the NBA).

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
+100

When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 118.6 points per game when playing away from home rates 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Luguentz Dort has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.1% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 118.6 points per game when playing away from home rates 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Luguentz Dort has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.1% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-108

Chet Holmgren has sunk 6.4 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the league. Chet Holmgren has played 29.9 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 118.6 points per game when playing away from home rates 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The showdown with Jonas Valanciunas comes in at just the 97th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs sinking a colossal 62.3% of their field goals this year. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Chet Holmgren has sunk 6.4 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the league. Chet Holmgren has played 29.9 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 118.6 points per game when playing away from home rates 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The showdown with Jonas Valanciunas comes in at just the 97th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs sinking a colossal 62.3% of their field goals this year. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-118

When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 118.6 points per game when playing away from home rates 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup against New Orleans is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the New Orleans Pelicans have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.5). The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Josh Giddey has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.9% more than he's converted in all games this season. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.1 free throws per game this year (8th-most in the NBA).

Josh Giddey

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 118.6 points per game when playing away from home rates 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup against New Orleans is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the New Orleans Pelicans have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.5). The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Josh Giddey has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.9% more than he's converted in all games this season. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.1 free throws per game this year (8th-most in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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