Denver @ Miami Picks & Props

Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 31.4 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year. Terry Rozier will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player production across the board.

The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-best in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, marking this as a good matchup. Nikola Jovic has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 11 games at home, 35.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season with the home court advantage. Nikola Jovic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise player performance in all facets of the game.

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 8.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Jimmy Butler has successfully made 1.6 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year at home. Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 34.2 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year. Jimmy Butler has attempted 8.1 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 51.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 13.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.8 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets check in as the most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 8.4% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Peyton Watson has made 52.0% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season while on the road. The Denver Nuggets check in as the most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. In contrast to last year's 45.7% rate, Peyton Watson's foul-shot performance has jumped this year to 61.5%.

Caleb Martin has converted 55.1% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 14.9% more than he's made from three over the course of the season. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year. Caleb Martin has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 20.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Caleb Martin ought to see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Duncan Robinson has put up an impressive 13.4 points per game this season, significantly more than his 7.3 points per game last season. Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year. Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. The matchup against the Nuggets is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

Bam Adebayo has attempted 0.3 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a challenging one for shots from the field; when Jokic is on the visiting team and facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a mere 53.6% of their field goals (17th percentile). The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. The Miami Heat will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). The Heat check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray has attempted 21.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. In comparison to last year's 4.1 rate, Jamal Murray's bricked three-point shots have dropped this year to 3.4 per game. Jamal Murray has tallied 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's tallied overall this year. The Denver Nuggets check in as the most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

Nikola Jokic has made 12.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's made overall this year while on the road. Nikola Jokic has successfully made 53.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games on the road, 8.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year without the home court advantage. Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.8 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Denver Nuggets check in as the most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

Aaron Gordon has sunk 68.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Aaron Gordon has averaged 31.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The Denver Nuggets check in as the most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for threes; when the Miami Heat have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.4%).

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 3.4 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year without the home court advantage. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 31.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 84th percentile. The Denver Nuggets check in as the most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup. Michael Porter Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 22.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing on the road.

Christian Braun has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has gone over 9.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Reggie Jackson has not yet played a game this season.