Miami @ Dallas Picks & Props

Josh Green has converted 52.9% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 8.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks's superb 120.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic has made 53.4% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 11.1% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Nikola Jovic has tallied 21.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's remarkable 37.6% rate of successful threes rates 7th-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Heat will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). The Mavericks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Daniel Gafford has converted just 68.3% of his field goals this year, a significant dropoff from his 75.2 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford measures in the 6th percentile for three-point attempts with the home court advantage, totaling 0.0 per game this year. Daniel Gafford has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. This year, opposing clubs have tallied 36.7 3-point attempts per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a positive matchup. The showdown with Bam Adebayo comes in at the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs totaling just 12.3 points per game this year.

P.J. Washington has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks's superb 120.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on threes (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a good matchup. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson has scored a terrific 13.3 points per game this season, significantly higher than his 7.3 points per game last season. Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.9 three-pointers per game this season, quite a bit more than his 4.7 mark last season. Duncan Robinson has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's remarkable 37.6% rate of successful threes rates 7th-highest in the NBA this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 2.8 three-pointers per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, creating a good matchup.

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier lands in the 92nd percentile for shots from the field, logging 16.6 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier places in the 94th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, compiling 6.8 per game this year. Terry Rozier has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 91st percentile. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's remarkable 37.6% rate of successful threes rates 7th-highest in the NBA this year. The Heat will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Among all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. rates in the 75th percentile for field goals scored away from his home court, tallying a colossal 4.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. places in the 78th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 29.5 minutes per game this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's remarkable 37.6% rate of successful threes rates 7th-highest in the NBA this year. This matchup is a hard one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have put up the 6th-lowest three percentage in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court (32.9%). The Heat will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 2.0 three-pointers per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a challenging matchup. The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). The Mavericks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Luka Doncic has attempted a lowly 9.1 free throws per game this season, significantly less than his 10.5 mark last season. Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Dereck Lively II has sunk 76.1% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 6.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks's superb 120.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). This matchup is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing teams have attempted a measly 19.2 foul shots per game when the Heat are the visiting squad this year (3rd-least in the league).

The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least threes per game in the league this year (0.8). The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games as the away team. The Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). With the home court advantage, the Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls.

Kyrie Irving has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 9 games with the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home. The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). The Mavericks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Miami may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are on the road (10th-least in the league).

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo registers in the 92nd percentile for shots from the field hit, compiling a whopping 7.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo places in the 94th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.6 minutes per game this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's remarkable 37.6% rate of successful threes rates 7th-highest in the NBA this year. When at home and defending fellow starting Cs, Daniel Gafford ranks in the 97th percentile with a colossal 2.3 threes attempted against him per game this year. The Heat will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Caleb Martin has not yet played a game this season.

Tim Hardaway Jr. has gone over 9.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Dante Exum has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Maxi Kleber has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.