Utah @ Miami Picks & Props

Compared to last season's 6.1 mark, Duncan Robinson's shots taken have risen this season to 10.1 per game. Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a big improvement over his 4.7 mark last season. Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.0 three attempts per game (23rd-most in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz, making this a strong matchup.

Taylor Hendricks has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's been called for in all games this season. The Utah Jazz check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the league this year (the Heat). The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (14th-least in the league). Taylor Hendricks will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 11th percentile for three-point attempts, averaging 0.2 per game this year. The matchup vs. John Collins is a tough one for three-point shots; when Collins is on the visiting team and facing other starting Cs this year, they have made a lowly 24.0% of their three-point shots (17th percentile). The 3rd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have brought down 11.9 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Jazz (saving possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro slots into the 83rd percentile for technical fouls, logging an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have brought down 11.9 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Jazz (saving possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense). Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 0.7 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Jazz, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Nikola Jovic has made 57.5% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 15.4% higher than he's made from three overall this year. The Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing at home this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 2.4 three-pointers per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Jazz, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Jazz have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost plays for the Heat. Nikola Jovic has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 11 games at home, 41.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year when playing at home.

Keyonte George has sunk 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Keyonte George has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has collected 8.8 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

Terry Rozier has averaged 30.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing at home this year. The Jazz have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost plays for the Heat. Terry Rozier has sunk 96.3% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 8.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Terry Rozier should see a rise in production for all stats considering having the home court advantage in this contest.

Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Clarkson rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 28.9 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has collected 8.8 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense). This year, the other team has attempted 19.9 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Out of all players in the NBA, John Collins lands in the 82nd percentile for field goals scored, averaging an enormous 5.6 per game this year. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has collected 8.8 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense). John Collins has converted 93.8% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Collin Sexton has tallied 21.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. Collin Sexton has successfully made 44.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 8.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Collin Sexton has tallied 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, creating a strong matchup. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Utah Jazz.

Kris Dunn has converted 57.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 11.7% more than he's converted overall this season while on the road. Kris Dunn has made 52.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 11 games on the road, 12.5% higher than he's made overall this year while playing on the road. Kris Dunn has played 25.4 minutes per game over the last 11 games while on the road, 5.9 more than he's played in all games this year on the road. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler has made 56.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 5.9% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Jimmy Butler has made 59.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 13.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing at home this year. The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

Lauri Markkanen has sunk 3.2 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA. Lauri Markkanen has been on the court for 32.5 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 24th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2). The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing at home this year. The Jazz have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost plays for the Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 3.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while at home. This matchup is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted just 19.8 free throws per game when the Jazz are on the road this year (4th-least in the league). Jaime Jaquez Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually increases stat production for all stats.

Brice Sensabaugh has gone over 4.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Caleb Martin has not yet played a game this season.