Orlando @ Miami Picks & Props

Haywood Highsmith has attempted 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.7 rate last year. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games playing at home. Haywood Highsmith figures to see an increase in efficiency in all facets of the game considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Suggs registers in the 83rd percentile for threes made, totaling 2.0 per game this year. Jalen Suggs has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). While playing at home, the Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jonathan Isaac has made 51.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 7.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Jonathan Isaac comes in at the 25th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a lowly 1.2 fouls per game this year. The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). While playing at home, the Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have attempted 20.5 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have totaled 15.1 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Miami Heat will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Magic). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the league with a mere 9.7 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Magic, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 58.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 7.6% more than he's made overall this season when playing away from home. Wendell Carter Jr. has played 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.1 higher than he's played over the course of the year on the road. The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). While playing at home, the Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler has notched 26.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's notched over the course of the year. Jimmy Butler has made 64.6% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 19.5% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Jimmy Butler has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 91st percentile. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games playing at home. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up 18.9 points per game (28th-most in the league) vs. the Magic, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive productivity.

Paolo Banchero has attempted 21.3 shots per game over the last 15 games while on the road, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Paolo Banchero has made 56.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 23.7% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.9 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.4% on three-pointers (30th-best in the league) against the Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 90th percentile for field goals converted, totaling a whopping 7.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 34.2 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games playing at home. The showdown with Wendell Carter Jr. rates in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs draining an enormous 66.4% of their field goals this year. The Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro has successfully made 3.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Tyler Herro has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games playing at home. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have put up 20.2 points per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Magic, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity. The Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 29.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games playing at home. The Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 9.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season at home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. stands to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). While playing at home, the Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the NBA).

Terry Rozier has failed to make 4.7 treys per game this season, quite a bit less than his 5.4 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 32.1 minutes per game at home this year. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games playing at home. The Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Terry Rozier will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player performance in all stat categories.

Franz Wagner has sunk 9.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's sunk over the course of the season without the home court advantage. Franz Wagner has successfully made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year while playing away from home. Franz Wagner has averaged 33.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 89th percentile. This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 field goal attempts per game (24th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Gary Harris has gone over 5.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.