Sacramento @ Miami Picks & Props

Trey Lyles has sunk 41.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 8.9% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. While on their home court, the Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Heat may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a measly 17.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are playing at home (least in the league).

In comparison to last season's 11.0 rate, Terry Rozier's off-target field goals have dropped this season to 9.6 per game. Terry Rozier has shot and missed 4.7 attempts from downtown per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 5.4 mark last year. Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 31.4 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games as the home team. This year, opposing squads have secured 9.3 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games as the home team. The matchup against the Kings is a good one for scoring; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 25th-highest FG% in the league this year (52.6%). This year, opposing squads have secured 9.3 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense). Haywood Highsmith has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Haywood Highsmith will likely see a rise in productivity in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Among all players in the league, Kevin Love measures in the 75th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, registering 4.6 per game this year. The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games as the home team. This year, opposing squads have secured 9.3 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense). Kevin Love figures to get a boost in output in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Domantas Sabonis has made 100.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 42.2% more than he's converted from three in all games this year while playing away from home. Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 35.0 minutes per game on the road this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. While on their home court, the Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the league, Malik Monk measures in the 76th percentile for field goal attempts on the road, compiling 10.9 per game this year. Malik Monk has attempted 5.8 3-point shots per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. While on their home court, the Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Malik Monk has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Kevin Huerter has converted 6.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's made in all games this year. Kevin Huerter has sunk 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Kevin Huerter has played 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 8.9 more than he's played in all games this year on the road. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Tyler Herro has averaged 34.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games as the home team. The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (18.1). This year, opposing squads have secured 9.3 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense). Tyler Herro has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.6% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Bam Adebayo has attempted 0.2 threes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 13th percentile among all players in the NBA. This matchup is a strong one for field goals; opposing clubs have posted the 10th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (48.4%). The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a hard one; he has allowed a lowly 10.9 points per game while on the road when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. slots into the 78th percentile for shots sunk, registering a whopping 5.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. places in the 75th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 29.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games as the home team. This year, opposing squads have secured 9.3 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense). Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 3.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.4 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on his home court.

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 57.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 8.1% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Jimmy Butler has made 57.2% of his treys over the last 10 games, 15.0% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games as the home team. The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 28th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.3).

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.9 field goals per game this year, a big improvement over his 9.7 mark last year. Keegan Murray has attempted 6.0 3-point shots per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray lands in the 84th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 31.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for threes; when the Heat are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

In contrast to last season's 18.7 clip, De'Aaron Fox's field goal attempts have surged this season to 20.7 per game. Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. While on their home court, the Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Harrison Barnes has averaged 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season. Harrison Barnes has made 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's converted overall this year. Harrison Barnes has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road. This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 12.2 shot attempts per game (24th-highest in the league) against the Heat, resulting in a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Caleb Martin has not yet played a game this season.

Josh Richardson has gone over 6.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Davion Mitchell has gone over 4.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.