Miami @ Brooklyn Picks & Props

Duncan Robinson has made a whopping 3.0 treys per game this season, a big improvement over his 1.7 mark last season. Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 29.3 minutes per game this year. In terms of three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 38.8% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. Duncan Robinson has made 91.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 9.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. The matchup against the Brooklyn Nets is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted just 22.2 free throws per game this year (9th-least in the NBA).

In contrast to last year's 21.7% clip, Nikola Jovic's 3-point proficiency has jumped this year to 42.2%. Nikola Jovic has averaged 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. In terms of three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 38.8% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. Nikola Jovic has converted 97.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 27.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the season away from his home court. The matchup against Brooklyn is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Nets are at home (21st-most in the league).

Caleb Martin has successfully made 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 14.9% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. In terms of three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 38.8% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. Caleb Martin has made 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.7% more than he's converted overall this year. The matchup against the Brooklyn Nets is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted just 22.2 free throws per game this year (9th-least in the NBA).

The Nets check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Nets. The Nets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The matchup vs. Miami may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are the visiting team (12th-least in the league).

Bam Adebayo has sunk 14.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, putting him in the 8th percentile among all players in the league. The clash with Nic Claxton registers in the 7th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs converting a mere 48.5% of their field goal attempts this year when they are playing on the road. The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Nets). The Miami Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Compared to last season's 1.4 clip, Cam Thomas's missed threes have increased this season to 3.5 per game. The Nets check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games. This matchup is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing teams have tallied the 7th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 20 games when the Miami Heat are on the road (36.4). The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Nets. The Nets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

Among all players in the league, Kyle Lowry slots into the 80th percentile for 3-point shots drained, registering 1.9 per game this year. In terms of three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 38.8% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Nets is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 29th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.9).

Nic Claxton has sunk 74.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.3% higher than he's made overall this season. Nic Claxton has sunk an impressive 100.0% of his 3-point shots this season, quite a bit higher than his 0.0 rate last season. The Brooklyn Nets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Nic Claxton has attempted 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Among all players in the league, Dorian Finney-Smith rates in the 87th percentile for threes scored with the home court advantage, tallying 2.4 per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (29th-best in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a positive matchup. The Brooklyn Nets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Dorian Finney-Smith has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 30.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Nets). The Miami Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 0.8 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nets, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 6.1 threes per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Spencer Dinwiddie comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 30.9 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Brooklyn Nets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler has made 70.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 15.3% more than he's made over the course of the year while playing away from home. Jimmy Butler has played 32.5 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. In terms of three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 38.8% rate of sunk threes measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Nets is a good one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (19.5). This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (28th-most in the NBA) against the Nets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Cameron Johnson has attempted 7.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a good matchup. The Brooklyn Nets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Heat may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the league).

Josh Richardson has gone over 7.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Royce O'Neale has not yet played a game this season.

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.