Indiana @ Miami Picks & Props

Aaron Nesmith has converted a whopping 47.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, a big improvement over his 32.8 rate last season. The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year. While at home, the Heat have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted 19.6 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

As it relates to treys, the Miami Heat's remarkable 38.5% rate of converted threes places 4th-strongest in the league this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have averaged 25.3 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, labeling this as a tough matchup. The Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat. In contrast to last season's 82.5% mark, Caleb Martin's free-throw prowess has increased this season to 100.0%. Caleb Martin stands to see an increase in efficiency for all stats due to having the home court advantage in this game.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year. While at home, the Heat have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Myles Turner has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Kyle Lowry has converted a terrific 45.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, a significant increase from his 35.4 rate last season. As it relates to treys, the Miami Heat's remarkable 38.5% rate of converted threes places 4th-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Indiana is a strong one; when the Indiana Pacers are on their home court, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (32.8). The Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat. Kyle Lowry has converted a terrific 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, a significant increase from his 94.9 mark last year.

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, creating a tough matchup. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with only 9.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season. While on their home court, the Pacers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last year's 19.6 rate, Bam Adebayo's points per game have risen this year to 23.3. Relative to last season's 0.0% clip, Bam Adebayo's three-point effectiveness has surged this season to 100.0%. Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. As it relates to treys, the Miami Heat's remarkable 38.5% rate of converted threes places 4th-strongest in the league this year. The matchup against Indiana is a strong one; when the Indiana Pacers are on their home court, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (17.8).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 7.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.5 higher than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 2.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year at home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 31.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 6.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. As it relates to treys, the Miami Heat's remarkable 38.5% rate of converted threes places 4th-strongest in the league this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have averaged 25.3 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, labeling this as a tough matchup.

In comparison to last season's 20.4 clip, Tyrese Haliburton's points per game have risen this season to 29.0. Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 10.0 three-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.4 mark last year. Tyrese Haliburton has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Tyrese Haliburton comes in at the 20th percentile for personal fouls, registering a measly 0.8 fouls per game away from home this year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year. While at home, the Heat have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 75.7% rate, Bruce Brown's free-throw prowess has jumped this season to 83.9%.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year. While at home, the Heat have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted 19.6 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

This matchup is a positive one for threes; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, opposing squads have compiled the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA against them this year (38.1%). The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Pacers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 5thworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against Miami is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad (9th-least in the league). Obi Toppin will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

The matchup against the Pacers is a challenging one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (9.0). The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with only 9.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season. While on their home court, the Pacers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jimmy Butler has attempted a lowly 7.6 foul shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 8.7 rate last season.

In contrast to last season's 41.8% rate, Haywood Highsmith's field goal prowess has increased this season to 52.1%. Haywood Highsmith has averaged an impressive 23.8 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 15.2 minutes per game last year. As it relates to treys, the Miami Heat's remarkable 38.5% rate of converted threes places 4th-strongest in the league this year. The Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat. In comparison to last season's 55.0% rate, Haywood Highsmith's foul-shot proficiency has spiked this season to 100.0%.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 24th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.2). The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year. While at home, the Heat have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Buddy Hield has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Josh Richardson has gone over 9.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Andrew Nembhard has gone over 6.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Love has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.