Tampa Bay Rays Picks
1st in American League East
(98 - 63)
Next Game
Sun, Sep 27
14:30 ET
TB @ PHI Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs
Victor Mesa Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+780)
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Victor Mesa Jr. is easily my favorite look to go YA-YA in this matchup. Not only is he one of the hottest hitters in this spot, but he is also making a high volume of quality contact.
In his last 30 at-bats against a right-handed pitcher, Mesa Jr. owns a .796 SLG and .461 ISO while generating a 56% hard-hit rate and a near-16% barrel rate.
Moneyline
TB (+155)
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Phillies may have Zack Wheeler on the mound, but I’m not interested in forcing a bet on Philadelphia at this price. The offense has been lifeless, posting an 87 wRC+, 4.4% barrel rate and .113 ISO over its last six games. Meanwhile, Nick Martinez has been just as impressive for Tampa Bay, posting a 2.08 ERA and 0.75 WHIP while allowing just a 4% barrel rate over his last three starts. The Rays scored 12 runs in their last game, but I’m not worried about regression. This offense has consistently kept its foot on the gas.
Total
u6.5 (-101)
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Runs could be at a premium when the Tampa Bay Rays take on the Philadelphia Phillies this afternoon. After the Rays scored 12 runs against the Phillies last night, regression could be in store in the series finale. Philadelphia’s recent struggles at the plate only add to the case for a lower-scoring matchup. Nick Martinez and Zack Wheeler will take the mound, and both right-handers have pitched well over their last three starts. Martinez and Wheeler each own an ERA slightly above 2.00 during that stretch while sporting sub-1.00 WHIPs, setting the stage for a potential pitching duel.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus
65% picking Philadelphia
Total PicksTB 166, PHI 306
44% picking Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia to go Under
Total PicksTB 163, PHI 128
TB @ PHI · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
TOTAL HITS
J. DeLuca
(RF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.74
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
J. DeLuca
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.74
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
3.92%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
TOTAL HITS
J. DeLuca
(RF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.74
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.13%
EV
TOTAL BASES
J. DeLuca
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.74
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
3.92%
EV
TB @ PHI · Trends
Top User Picks
More Picks
'KCWins' picks Philadelphia at (-147)
KCWins is #1 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (74-66-6) and +15765 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'KCWins' picks Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia to go Over (7.0)
KCWins is #1 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (74-66-6) and +15765 units on the season.
Total
Over
Under
Total
'Hornswoggler' picks Philadelphia at (-170)
Hornswoggler is #10 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +12700 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'Yerin' picks Philadelphia at (-175)
Yerin is #10 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (18-10-2) and +16760 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'stumpmaker' picks Tampa Bay at (134)
stumpmaker is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (54-42-1) and +21395 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'stumpmaker' picks Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia to go Under (7.0)
stumpmaker is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (54-42-1) and +21395 units on the season.
Total
Over
Under
Total
'griz55' picks Philadelphia at (-170)
griz55 is #2 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (87-53-5) and +15210 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'griz55' picks Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia to go Over (6.5)
griz55 is #2 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (87-53-5) and +15210 units on the season.
Total
Over
Under
Total
'CRS' picks Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia to go Under (6.5)
CRS is #3 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (83-57-3) and +21235 units on the season.
Total
Over
Under
Total
'CRS' picks Philadelphia at (-173)
CRS is #3 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (83-57-3) and +21235 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'Bondsman' picks Tampa Bay at (122)
Bondsman is #4 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (10-9-1) and +14512 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'Bondsman' picks Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia to go Over (7.0)
Bondsman is #4 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (10-9-1) and +14512 units on the season.
Total
Over
Under
Total
'simoncald' picks Philadelphia at (-175)
simoncald is #4 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (47-35-0) and +20095 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'simoncald' picks Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia to go Under (6.5)
simoncald is #4 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (47-35-0) and +20095 units on the season.
Total
Over
Under
Total
'hackorama' picks Philadelphia at (-149)
hackorama is #5 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (42-22-2) and +19285 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'forkball' picks Tampa Bay at (140)
forkball is #5 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (55-43-1) and +14180 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'forkball' picks Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia to go Under (6.5)
forkball is #5 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (55-43-1) and +14180 units on the season.
Total
Over
Under
Total
'pappadork1' picks Philadelphia at (-175)
pappadork1 is #6 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (9-7-0) and +14105 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'Queefs4' picks Philadelphia at (-173)
Queefs4 is #6 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (21-8-2) and +18800 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'MTruth' picks Philadelphia at (-175)
MTruth is #7 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +17860 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'MARCOSO' picks Philadelphia at (-131)
MARCOSO is #8 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (19-8-1) and +13070 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'SLEEMO' picks Tampa Bay at (124)
SLEEMO is #9 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (45-35-2) and +16975 units on the season.
Moneyline
TB
PHI
Moneyline
'SLEEMO' picks Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia to go Under (7.0)
SLEEMO is #9 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (45-35-2) and +16975 units on the season.
Total
Over
Under
Total
'WILLIECHIL' picks Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia to go Under (6.5)
WILLIECHIL is #9 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (11-9-1) and +13000 units on the season.
Total
Over
Under
Total