MONEYLINE
PIT
-120 moneyline
PIT
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
9.97%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
PIT
-120 moneyline
Close Modal
PIT
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
9.97%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
-120
TOTAL
9.27
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
7.69%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
9.27
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
7.69%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
o8.0
-125
SPREAD
PIT
-1.5 spread
-1.11
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.7%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
PIT
-1.5 spread
Close Modal
-1.11
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.7%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
-1.5
+165
TOTAL HITS
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
4.32%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
4.32%
EV
This year, Jake Fraley has been pulled from the game early in 28% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Fraley in today's matchup.. Ranked in the 15th percentile, Jake Fraley's average exit velocity of 85.6 mph ranks among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.
u0.5
+125
TOTAL HITS
0.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.51%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.51%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Richie Palacios is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Richie Palacios in today's matchup.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.301) implies that Richie Palacios has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .366 actual wOBA.
u0.5
-109
TOTAL HITS
0.90
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
3.31%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.90
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
3.31%
EV
PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonathan Aranda today.. In the last 7 days, Jonathan Aranda's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.6% down to 0%.. Over the last week, Jonathan Aranda's 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.2%.
u0.5
+166
TOTAL HITS
0.85
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.31%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.85
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.31%
EV
Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. Spencer Horwitz has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. In today's matchup, Spencer Horwitz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.5% rate (95th percentile).. Spencer Horwitz has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 8.4% rate last year has fallen off to 0% this season.. Spencer Horwitz's average exit velocity has declined this year; his 87.3-mph mark last season has decreased to 83.9-mph.
u0.5
+140
TOTAL HITS
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.11%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.11%
EV
Cedric Mullins's BABIP talent is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Cedric Mullins will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. Cedric Mullins's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.3-mph figure last year has fallen to 88.8-mph.
u0.5
+119
TOTAL HITS
0.98
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
1.49%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.98
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
1.49%
EV
PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Nick Martinez will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Yorke in today's matchup.. Nick Yorke has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly recently, posting a 1.6° angle on such balls over the past 14 days.. Nick Yorke has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 6.3° figure is among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season (16th percentile).
u0.5
+182
TOTAL HITS
0.99
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.63%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
0.99
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.63%
EV
Hitting from the same side that Bubba Chandler throws from, Junior Caminero encounters a tough challenge today.. In today's matchup, Junior Caminero is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.8% rate (95th percentile).. Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 89.4-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 83.4-mph over the past 7 days.. Junior Caminero's launch angle lately (2° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 17.2° seasonal angle.
u0.5
+185
TOTAL HITS
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.52%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.52%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Nick Fortes is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.. Nick Fortes has been pulled from the game early 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season.. Bubba Chandler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Fortes in today's game.. Nick Fortes pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.
u0.5
+115
TOTAL HITS
1.06
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-0.42%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.06
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-0.42%
EV
PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Hitting from the same side that Bubba Chandler throws from, Yandy Diaz will be in a tough position today.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yandy Diaz today.. Yandy Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 93.2-mph average last season has fallen to 90-mph.. Yandy Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 46.8% to 31.6%.
u0.5
+199
TOTAL HITS
1.06
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-3.12%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.06
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-3.12%
EV
Bryan Reynolds has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.
u0.5
+190
TOTAL HITS
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-3.18%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-3.18%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 11th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Taylor Walls is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will bat from his weak side (0) today against Bubba Chandler. Taylor Walls has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Taylor Walls will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
u0.5
-104
TOTAL HITS
1.02
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.18%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.02
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.18%
EV
PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Brandon Lowe's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 91-mph EV last season has decreased to 84.5-mph.. From last year to this one, Brandon Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 43% to 28.9%.. Brandon Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 28.9% on the season to 14.3% in the last week's worth of games.. Brandon Lowe has been lucky this year, notching a .417 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .090 disparity.
u0.5
+170
TOTAL HITS
0.78
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.67%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.78
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.67%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Henry Davis is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Henry Davis will have a disadvantage today.. Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Over the last week, Henry Davis's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.
u0.5
+115
TOTAL HITS
1.05
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.85%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.05
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.85%
EV
Ryan O'Hearn has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Despite posting a .401 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan O'Hearn has had positive variance on his side given the .070 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Ryan O'Hearn has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph (an advanced standard to study power), grading out in the 21st percentile.
u0.5
+181
TOTAL HITS
0.94
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.38%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.94
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.38%
EV
PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Marcell Ozuna meets a tough challenge today.. Marcell Ozuna has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11.4% rate last year has dropped off to 2.7% this season.. Marcell Ozuna's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 89.9-mph EV last season has fallen to 87.4-mph.. Sporting a .232 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Marcell Ozuna has performed in the 25th percentile.
u0.5
+150
TOTAL HITS
1.10
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-6.27%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.10
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-6.27%
EV
PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Despite posting a .401 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Oneil Cruz has been very fortunate given the .057 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .344.. In notching a .224 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Oneil Cruz is ranked in the 18th percentile.. With a .216 batting average since the start of last season, Oneil Cruz has performed in the 12th percentile.
u0.5
+178
TOTAL HITS
1.18
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-7.26%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
1.18
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-7.26%
EV
Chandler Simpson has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will be challenged by the game's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Chandler Simpson today.. Over the last week, Chandler Simpson's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 87.4 mph to 83.3 mph.. Despite posting a .342 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Chandler Simpson has been lucky given the .045 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.
u0.5
+210
TOTAL BASES
2.08
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
15.25%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
2.08
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
15.25%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 11th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand today.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
o1.5
+120
TOTAL BASES
1.85
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
12.56%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
1.85
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
12.56%
EV
As it relates to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
o1.5
+135
TOTAL BASES
1.58
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.24%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.58
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.24%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.. Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
o1.5
+155
TOTAL BASES
1.68
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
9.3%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
1.68
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
9.3%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Nick Martinez.
o1.5
+140
TOTAL BASES
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
9.08%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
9.08%
EV
Cedric Mullins's BABIP talent is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game.. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.
u1.5
-250
TOTAL BASES
0.85
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
8.82%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.85
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
8.82%
EV
Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. Spencer Horwitz has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. In today's matchup, Spencer Horwitz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.5% rate (95th percentile).
u1.5
-210
TOTAL BASES
1.65
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.09%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
1.65
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.09%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge today.
o1.5
+127
TOTAL BASES
1.70
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
7.28%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.70
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
7.28%
EV
When assessing his home run skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.
o1.5
+120
TOTAL BASES
0.57
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
6.73%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.57
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
6.73%
EV
As it relates to his home run ability, Richie Palacios ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Richie Palacios is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Richie Palacios has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 52% of the time.. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.
u1.5
-365
TOTAL BASES
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
5.76%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
5.76%
EV
This year, Jake Fraley has been pulled from the game early in 28% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Fraley in today's matchup.
u1.5
-300
TOTAL BASES
1.56
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
5.28%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
1.56
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
5.28%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 6th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Yandy Diaz has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.2-mph average.
o1.5
+135
TOTAL BASES
1.50
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
5.04%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
1.50
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
5.04%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.
o1.5
+150
TOTAL BASES
0.67
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
3.14%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.67
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
3.14%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 11th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Taylor Walls is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will bat from his weak side (0) today against Bubba Chandler
u1.5
-380
TOTAL BASES
1.26
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.96%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
1.26
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.96%
EV
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.. Henry Davis will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .237 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297.
o1.5
+200
TOTAL BASES
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
2.16%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
2.16%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Nick Fortes is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.. Nick Fortes has been pulled from the game early 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the worst stadium in the majors for RHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.
u1.5
-365
TOTAL BASES
1.43
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.83%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.43
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.83%
EV
Chandler Simpson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Chandler Simpson will have an advantage in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.
o1.5
+130
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.13
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
11.37%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.13
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
11.37%
EV
When it comes to his home run talent, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Cedric Mullins will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bubba Chandler in today's matchup.. Cedric Mullins has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.4-mph average.. There has been a significant improvement in Cedric Mullins's launch angle from last year's 23.3° to 27.9° this year.
o0.5
+1000
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.15
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
0.37%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.15
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
0.37%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Marcell Ozuna's launch angle this year (26.2°) is considerably better than his 14.6° angle last season.
o0.5
+625
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.23
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.2%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.23
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.2%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 11th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand today.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
o0.5
+400
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.21%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.21%
EV
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yandy Diaz ranks as the 17th-best batter in baseball.. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Yandy Diaz has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.9-mph average.. Compared to his seasonal average of 5.7°, Yandy Diaz has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 14.4° mark in the last week.
o0.5
+875
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.17
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.73%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.17
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.73%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the worst stadium in the majors for RHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Hitting from the same side that Bubba Chandler throws from, Junior Caminero encounters a tough challenge today.. In today's matchup, Junior Caminero is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.4% rate (95th percentile).. Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
u0.5
-549
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.01
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.91%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.01
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.91%
EV
When assessing his home run ability, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Chandler Simpson has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will be challenged by the game's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Chandler Simpson today.
u0.5
-20000
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.98%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.98%
EV
Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. Spencer Horwitz has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. In today's matchup, Spencer Horwitz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.5% rate (95th percentile).
u0.5
-1408
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.22%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.22%
EV
As it relates to his home run ability, Richie Palacios ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Richie Palacios is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Richie Palacios has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 52% of the time.. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.
u0.5
-2778
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.41%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.41%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 19th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the worst stadium in the majors for RHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Nick Martinez will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Yorke in today's matchup.
u0.5
-2000
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.13
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.49%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.13
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.49%
EV
The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonathan Aranda today.. In the last 7 days, Jonathan Aranda's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.6% down to 0%.
u0.5
-847
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.10
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.55%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.10
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.55%
EV
Henry Davis is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the worst stadium in the majors for RHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Henry Davis will have a disadvantage today.. Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.
u0.5
-1205
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.56%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.56%
EV
The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Fraley in today's matchup.
u0.5
-2222
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.68%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.68%
EV
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Nick Fortes ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Nick Fortes is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.. Nick Fortes has been pulled from the game early 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the worst stadium in the majors for RHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.
u0.5
-2778
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.19
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.83%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.19
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.83%
EV
The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for home runs.. Brandon Lowe's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 91-mph EV last season has decreased to 84.5-mph.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (29.3) suggests that Brandon Lowe has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his 36.2 actual HR/600.
u0.5
-549
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.97%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.97%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 13th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Walls is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will bat from his weak side (0) today against Bubba Chandler
u0.5
-3448
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.12
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-6.09%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.12
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-6.09%
EV
The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Bryan Reynolds has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Despite posting a .370 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bryan Reynolds has been lucky given the .042 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.. Bryan Reynolds's 7.5° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in Major League Baseball: 9th percentile.
u0.5
-800
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.12
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-14.27%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.12
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-14.27%
EV
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ryan O'Hearn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge today.
o0.5
+680
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
4.91
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.25%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
4.91
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.25%
EV
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Bubba Chandler will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Among all SPs, Bubba Chandler's fastball velocity of 98.4 mph ranks in the 100th percentile this year.. Bubba Chandler's 2441-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 82nd percentile out of all starting pitchers.. Bubba Chandler has posted a 13.3% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile.. Bubba Chandler has posted a 29.8% strikeout rate since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile.
o4.5
+110
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
3.96
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-10.67%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
3.96
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-10.67%
EV
Nick Martinez's change-up rate has increased by 12.8% from last season to this one (19.6% to 32.4%) .
o3.5
-160
TOTAL RBIS
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
17.69%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
17.69%
EV
As it relates to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
o0.5
+189
TOTAL RBIS
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
16.56%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
16.56%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 11th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand today.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
o0.5
+182
TOTAL RBIS
0.62
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
15.78%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.62
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
15.78%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Nick Martinez.
o0.5
+180
TOTAL RBIS
0.61
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
15.3%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.61
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
15.3%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge today.
o0.5
+190
TOTAL RBIS
0.59
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
13.62%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.59
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
13.62%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.. Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
o0.5
+186
TOTAL RBIS
0.54
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
13.54%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.54
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
13.54%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 6th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Yandy Diaz has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.2-mph average.
o0.5
+202
TOTAL RBIS
0.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
13.07%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
13.07%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.
o0.5
+180
TOTAL RBIS
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.19%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.19%
EV
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Martinez in today's matchup.. Spencer Horwitz will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.
o0.5
+261
TOTAL RBIS
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
9.66%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
9.66%
EV
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.. Henry Davis will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .237 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297.
o0.5
+245
TOTAL RBIS
0.36
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
9.45%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.36
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
9.45%
EV
Jake Fraley is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Bubba Chandler in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Jake Fraley has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.9-mph average to last year's 85.3-mph mark.
o0.5
+290
TOTAL RBIS
0.46
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
9.3%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.46
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
9.3%
EV
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Cedric Mullins will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bubba Chandler in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Cedric Mullins is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Pittsburgh (#2-worst on the slate).. There has been a significant improvement in Cedric Mullins's launch angle from last year's 23.3° to 27.9° this year.
o0.5
+219
TOTAL RBIS
0.59
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
7.06%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.59
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
7.06%
EV
When assessing his home run skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.
o0.5
+149
TOTAL RBIS
0.31
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.7%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.31
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.7%
EV
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.
o0.5
+298
TOTAL RBIS
0.39
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.07%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.39
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.07%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Nick Yorke is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Yorke will hold that advantage in today's game.
o0.5
+215
TOTAL RBIS
0.26
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.8%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.26
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.8%
EV
As it relates to his home run ability, Richie Palacios ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Richie Palacios is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Richie Palacios has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 52% of the time.. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.
u0.5
-375
TOTAL RBIS
0.29
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.27%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
0.29
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.27%
EV
When assessing his home run ability, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.. Chandler Simpson has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will be challenged by the game's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Chandler Simpson today.
u0.5
-319
TOTAL RBIS
0.32
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.19%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
0.32
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.19%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Nick Fortes is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.. Nick Fortes has been pulled from the game early 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the worst stadium in the majors for RHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.
u0.5
-319