Tampa Bay Rays

1st in American League East (62 - 44)

Next Game

Wed, Jul 29 18:40 ET

TEX @ TB Picks

MLB Picks
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (-137)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

The Rays are in a great spot at home, where they've racked up an MLB-best 38 wins this season.  MacKenzie Gore has struggled badly on the road, posting a 6.02 ERA away from home while allowing five earned runs in each of his road starts this month. Even if Gore survives early, he's backed by a bullpen that ranks 27th in ERA in July, while Tampa Bay's relief corps, who ranks among the month's best in both ERA and FIP, is well-positioned to keep the Rangers in check on a bullpen day.

Total Bases
Justin Foscue logo
Justin Foscue o1.5 Total Bases (+193)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Justin Foscue is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Legumina throws from, Justin Foscue will have an edge in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Legumina today.. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Ryan Vilade logo
Ryan Vilade u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ryan Vilade has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ryan Vilade hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan Vilade's true offensive ability to be a .301, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .039 gap between that mark and his actual .340 wOBA.. Using Statcast data, Ryan Vilade ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .187.
Total Bases
Taylor Walls logo
Taylor Walls o1.5 Total Bases (+300)
Projection 1.1
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Taylor Walls has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (18.8°) is significantly higher than his 14.9° figure last year.
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 8th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Yandy Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. MacKenzie Gore will hold the platoon advantage over Jonathan Aranda in today's matchup.. There has been a decrease in Jonathan Aranda's average exit velocity this year, from 93.1 mph last year to 91 mph now
Total Bases
Jonny DeLuca logo
Jonny DeLuca u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jonny DeLuca's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 84-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 77.7-mph over the last 14 days.. Jonny DeLuca's launch angle lately (4.7° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 14.4° seasonal angle.. Jonny DeLuca has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the past week.. Despite posting a .316 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonny DeLuca has experienced some positive variance given the .026 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.
Total Bases
Cam Cauley logo
Cam Cauley u1.5 Total Bases (-280)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cameron Cauley ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Cameron Cauley is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Cameron Cauley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. In the past week, Cameron Cauley's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 6.9%.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

62% picking Tampa Bay

38%
62%

Total PicksTEX 110, TB 176

Moneyline
TEX
TB
Moneyline
Total

63% picking Texas vs Tampa Bay to go Over

63%
37%

Total PicksTEX 124, TB 72

Total
Over
Under

TEX @ TB · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
Texas Rangers logo
TEX +120 moneyline
TEX PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Texas Rangers logo
TEX +120 moneyline

PROJECTION

TEX PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.59% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+124
DraftKings logo
TOTAL
Texas Rangers logo Tampa Bay Rays logo
Over 7.5 Total
8.81 PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
14.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Texas Rangers logo Tampa Bay Rays logo
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

8.81 PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
14.08% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 -102
BetMGM logo
SPREAD
Texas Rangers logo
TEX +1.5 spread
-0.11 PROJECTION
-1.6 DIFFERENCE
6.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Polymarket
Best Odds
Texas Rangers logo
TEX +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.11 PROJECTION
-1.6 DIFFERENCE
6.1% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -175
Polymarket logo
TOTAL HITS
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.5% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan Vilade has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ryan Vilade hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan Vilade's true offensive ability to be a .301, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .039 gap between that mark and his actual .340 wOBA.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.83% EV

ANALYSIS

Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wyatt Langford in today's matchup.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Elias Diaz is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.. Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Elias Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

u0.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers logo
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers logo
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Casey Legumina throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Brandon Nimmo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

u0.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.79% EV

ANALYSIS

Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Junior Caminero has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93-mph dropping to 89-mph in the last 7 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Junior Caminero's true offensive skill to be a .365, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .020 deviation between that mark and his actual .385 wOBA.

u0.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Fortes's BABIP talent is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Fortes is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Nick Fortes's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 90.9-mph EV last season has decreased to 86.8-mph.

u0.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.59% EV

ANALYSIS

Ben Williamson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ben Williamson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 83.5-mph over the past 14 days.. Ben Williamson's launch angle lately (-6.8° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 3.8° seasonal angle.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Chandler Simpson will be in a tough position in today's matchup.. Chandler Simpson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.7-mph dropping to 81.3-mph in the last 14 days.. Chandler Simpson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 10.7% on the season to 5% in the last 7 days.

u0.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. MacKenzie Gore will hold the platoon advantage over Jonathan Aranda in today's matchup.. There has been a decrease in Jonathan Aranda's average exit velocity this year, from 93.1 mph last year to 91 mph now

u0.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Alejandro Osuna is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Casey Legumina will hold the platoon advantage against Alejandro Osuna in today's game.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alejandro Osuna in today's game.

u0.5 +105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Josh Smith has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .043 deviation.. With a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Josh Smith has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.

o0.5 +120
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jonny DeLuca's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 84-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 77.7-mph over the last 14 days.. Jonny DeLuca's launch angle lately (4.7° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 14.4° seasonal angle.. Jonny DeLuca has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the past week.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Nicky Lopez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Casey Legumina will have the handedness advantage against Nicky Lopez today.

u0.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ezequiel Duran in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ezequiel Duran's true offensive talent to be a .301, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .034 gap between that mark and his actual .335 wOBA.. Ezequiel Duran has put up a .225 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 10th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Legumina throws from, Justin Foscue will have an edge in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Justin Foscue and his 25.5° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

o0.5 -141
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 9th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Taylor Walls is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.. Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Taylor Walls's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 88.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 76.6-mph in the last 14 days.

u0.5 -104
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Burger in today's game.. Jake Burger's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 93-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 82.8-mph over the last week.. There has been a significant decline in Jake Burger's launch angle from last season's 17° to 12.8° this year.

u0.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
1.15 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-7.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.15 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-7.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 8th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Yandy Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Yandy Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 -261
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Legumina throws from, Justin Foscue will have an edge in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

o1.5 +193
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
17.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
17.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
16.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
16.42% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Legumina today.. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +137
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.23% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.72 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan Vilade has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ryan Vilade hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan Vilade's true offensive ability to be a .301, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .039 gap between that mark and his actual .340 wOBA.. Using Statcast data, Ryan Vilade ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .187.

u1.5 -225
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Taylor Walls has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (18.8°) is significantly higher than his 14.9° figure last year.

o1.5 +300
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 8th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Yandy Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +112
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. MacKenzie Gore will hold the platoon advantage over Jonathan Aranda in today's matchup.. There has been a decrease in Jonathan Aranda's average exit velocity this year, from 93.1 mph last year to 91 mph now

u1.5 -185
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.86 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jonny DeLuca's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 84-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 77.7-mph over the last 14 days.. Jonny DeLuca's launch angle lately (4.7° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 14.4° seasonal angle.. Jonny DeLuca has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the past week.. Despite posting a .316 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonny DeLuca has experienced some positive variance given the .026 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

u1.5 -210
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
8.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
8.41% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cameron Cauley ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Cameron Cauley is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Cameron Cauley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. In the past week, Cameron Cauley's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 6.9%.

u1.5 -280
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.97 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Josh Smith has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .043 deviation.. With a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Josh Smith has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.

o1.5 +350
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
5.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
5.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Elias Diaz is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Elias Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Elias Diaz has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

u1.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Fortes's BABIP talent is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Fortes is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Nick Fortes's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 90.9-mph EV last season has decreased to 86.8-mph.. Nick Fortes's launch angle lately (1.1° in the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 6.7° seasonal figure.

u1.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ben Williamson will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Ben Williamson has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ben Williamson will hold that advantage today.. Ben Williamson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 42.9% to 48.9%.

o1.5 +204
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.90 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.54% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nicky Lopez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Casey Legumina will have the handedness advantage against Nicky Lopez today.. Nicky Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

u1.5 -360
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Chandler Simpson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Chandler Simpson has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Chandler Simpson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Chandler Simpson is in the 99th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .313.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ezequiel Duran is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Ezequiel Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Ian Seymour in today's matchup.. Ezequiel Duran has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +176
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.72 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Alejandro Osuna has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Using Statcast data, Alejandro Osuna is in the 79th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.. Using Statcast metrics, Alejandro Osuna is in the 86th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .273.

o1.5 +250
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Taylor Walls has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (18.8°) is significantly higher than his 14.9° figure last year.

o0.5 +1250
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
13.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
13.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +475
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Legumina throws from, Justin Foscue will have an edge in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Justin Foscue and his 25.5° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

o0.5 +630
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers logo
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers logo
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.

o0.5 +550
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.04% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ian Seymour today.. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +416
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Tropicana Field.. Elias Diaz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Legumina today.

o0.5 +750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Ezequiel Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Ezequiel Duran has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Ezequiel Duran has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 89.6-mph.

o0.5 +800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. Josh Smith's launch angle this year (15.8°) is a considerable increase over his 12.2° angle last year.. Josh Smith has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .043 deviation.. With a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Josh Smith has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.

o0.5 +1400
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan Vilade has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ryan Vilade hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan Vilade's true offensive ability to be a .301, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .039 gap between that mark and his actual .340 wOBA.. Ryan Vilade has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His -5° angle is among the lowest in the league since the start of last season (2nd percentile).

u0.5 -847
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.69% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nicky Lopez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Casey Legumina will have the handedness advantage against Nicky Lopez today.. Nicky Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

u0.5 -5000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.41% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Ben Williamson ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ben Williamson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ben Williamson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 83.5-mph over the past 14 days.. Ben Williamson's launch angle lately (-6.8° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 3.8° seasonal angle.

u0.5 -2381
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.28% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. There has been a decrease in Yandy Diaz's average exit velocity this season, from 93 mph last year to 90.6 mph now. Yandy Diaz's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 90.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.8-mph in the past 7 days.. In the last 7 days, Yandy Diaz's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.5%.

u0.5 -575
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. MacKenzie Gore will hold the platoon advantage over Jonathan Aranda in today's matchup.. There has been a decrease in Jonathan Aranda's average exit velocity this year, from 93.1 mph last year to 91 mph now

u0.5 -909
Kalshi Sports logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. In the past 7 days, Junior Caminero's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.2% down to 5%.. Junior Caminero has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93-mph dropping to 89-mph in the last 7 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Junior Caminero's true offensive skill to be a .365, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .020 deviation between that mark and his actual .385 wOBA.

u0.5 -357
Kalshi Sports logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jonny DeLuca's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 84-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 77.7-mph over the last 14 days.. Jonny DeLuca's launch angle lately (4.7° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 14.4° seasonal angle.. Jonny DeLuca has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the past week.. Despite posting a .316 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonny DeLuca has experienced some positive variance given the .026 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cameron Cauley ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Cameron Cauley is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Cameron Cauley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. In the past week, Cameron Cauley's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 6.9%.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 16th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Nick Fortes is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Nick Fortes's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 90.9-mph EV last season has decreased to 86.8-mph.. Nick Fortes's launch angle lately (1.1° in the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 6.7° seasonal figure.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Alejandro Osuna has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Using Statcast data, Alejandro Osuna is in the 79th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.

o0.5 +1100
FanDuel logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Casey Legumina logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Legumina (RP) 1.5 Strikeouts Thrown
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Casey Legumina logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Legumina (RP) 1.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Legumina to throw 28 pitches today (least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Jordan Baker) behind the plate in this game.

u1.5 +130
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
MacKenzie Gore logo
Texas Rangers logo
M. Gore (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
MacKenzie Gore logo
Texas Rangers logo
M. Gore (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.8% EV

ANALYSIS

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Tampa Bay Rays with a 19.5% underlying K%.. It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Jordan Baker) behind the plate in this game.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. This season, MacKenzie Gore has added a new pitch to his repertoire (a sinker), utilizing it on 5.3% of his pitches.

u5.5 -129
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
21.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
21.23% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Legumina throws from, Justin Foscue will have an edge in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

o0.5 +288
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Ezequiel Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Ezequiel Duran has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +263
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
17.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
17.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +189
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.04% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Legumina today.. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +223
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
17.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
17.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Josh Smith has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .043 deviation.. With a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Josh Smith has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.

o0.5 +450
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Jonny DeLuca is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jonny DeLuca will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.. Jonny DeLuca pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jonny DeLuca will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +227
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
13.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
13.7% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +130
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.47% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Jonathan Aranda has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Jonathan Aranda will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +228
Kalshi Sports logo
TOTAL RBIS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Tropicana Field.. Elias Diaz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Legumina today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

o0.5 +270
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Cameron Cauley will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Cameron Cauley has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Cameron Cauley has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 85.6-mph figure.

o0.5 +314
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Taylor Walls has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (18.8°) is significantly higher than his 14.9° figure last year.

o0.5 +307
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 8th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Yandy Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +192
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Nick Fortes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.. Nick Fortes pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's game.. Nick Fortes has recorded a .285 batting average this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

o0.5 +265
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ryan Vilade will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Ryan Vilade will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Ryan Vilade has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.54 ft/sec to 28.46 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).. This year, the hardest ball Ryan Vilade has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph (a reliable standard to study power), placing in the 93rd percentile.

o0.5 +230
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.89% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Ben Williamson ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ben Williamson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ben Williamson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 83.5-mph over the past 14 days.. Ben Williamson's launch angle lately (-6.8° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 3.8° seasonal angle.

u0.5 -280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson in the 0th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Chandler Simpson will be in a tough position in today's matchup.. Chandler Simpson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.7-mph dropping to 81.3-mph in the last 14 days.. Chandler Simpson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 10.7% on the season to 5% in the last 7 days.

u0.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Nicky Lopez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. In the last 14 days, Nicky Lopez's 60.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.2%.. Nicky Lopez has compiled a .314 batting average this year, placing in the 96th percentile.

o0.5 +390
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Alejandro Osuna has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Using Statcast data, Alejandro Osuna is in the 79th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.. Using Statcast metrics, Alejandro Osuna is in the 86th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .273.

o0.5 +319
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
17.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
17.81% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Legumina throws from, Justin Foscue will have an edge in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

o1.5 +140
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
15.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
15.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
15.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
15.24% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Legumina today.. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +101
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.60 PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
14.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.60 PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
14.22% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -127
Kalshi Sports logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers logo
B. Nimmo (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
13.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers logo
B. Nimmo (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
13.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Brandon Nimmo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 42.6% to 52.7%.

o1.5 +106
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Ezequiel Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Ezequiel Duran has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +119
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Josh Smith has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .043 deviation.. With a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Josh Smith has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.

o1.5 +235
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.38 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.38 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 8th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Yandy Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 -136
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Tropicana Field.. Elias Diaz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Legumina today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

o1.5 +159
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Jonathan Aranda has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Jonathan Aranda will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 -103
Kalshi Sports logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Jonny DeLuca is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jonny DeLuca will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.. Jonny DeLuca pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jonny DeLuca will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +113
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Taylor Walls has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (18.8°) is significantly higher than his 14.9° figure last year.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Cameron Cauley will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Cameron Cauley has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Cameron Cauley has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 85.6-mph figure.

o1.5 +174
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Chandler Simpson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Chandler Simpson has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Chandler Simpson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Chandler Simpson is in the 99th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .313.

o1.5 +100
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ben Williamson will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Ben Williamson has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ben Williamson will hold that advantage today.. Ben Williamson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 42.9% to 48.9%.

o1.5 +127
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ryan Vilade will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Ryan Vilade will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Ryan Vilade has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.54 ft/sec to 28.46 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).. This year, the hardest ball Ryan Vilade has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph (a reliable standard to study power), placing in the 93rd percentile.

o1.5 +125
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Nick Fortes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.. Nick Fortes pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's game.. Nick Fortes has recorded a .285 batting average this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

o1.5 +133
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Alejandro Osuna has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Using Statcast data, Alejandro Osuna is in the 79th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.. Using Statcast metrics, Alejandro Osuna is in the 86th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .273.

o1.5 +165
BetMGM logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
Texas Rangers logo
TEX +120 moneyline
TEX PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Texas Rangers logo
TEX +120 moneyline

PROJECTION

TEX PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.59% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+124
DraftKings logo
TOTAL
Texas Rangers logo Tampa Bay Rays logo
Over 7.5 Total
8.81 PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
14.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Texas Rangers logo Tampa Bay Rays logo
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

8.81 PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
14.08% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 -102
BetMGM logo
SPREAD
Texas Rangers logo
TEX +1.5 spread
-0.11 PROJECTION
-1.6 DIFFERENCE
6.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Polymarket
Best Odds
Texas Rangers logo
TEX +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.11 PROJECTION
-1.6 DIFFERENCE
6.1% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -175
Polymarket logo
TOTAL HITS
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.5% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan Vilade has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ryan Vilade hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan Vilade's true offensive ability to be a .301, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .039 gap between that mark and his actual .340 wOBA.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.83% EV

ANALYSIS

Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wyatt Langford in today's matchup.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Elias Diaz is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.. Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Elias Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

u0.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers logo
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers logo
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Casey Legumina throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Brandon Nimmo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

u0.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.79% EV

ANALYSIS

Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Junior Caminero has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93-mph dropping to 89-mph in the last 7 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Junior Caminero's true offensive skill to be a .365, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .020 deviation between that mark and his actual .385 wOBA.

u0.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Fortes's BABIP talent is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Fortes is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Nick Fortes's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 90.9-mph EV last season has decreased to 86.8-mph.

u0.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.59% EV

ANALYSIS

Ben Williamson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ben Williamson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 83.5-mph over the past 14 days.. Ben Williamson's launch angle lately (-6.8° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 3.8° seasonal angle.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Chandler Simpson will be in a tough position in today's matchup.. Chandler Simpson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.7-mph dropping to 81.3-mph in the last 14 days.. Chandler Simpson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 10.7% on the season to 5% in the last 7 days.

u0.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. MacKenzie Gore will hold the platoon advantage over Jonathan Aranda in today's matchup.. There has been a decrease in Jonathan Aranda's average exit velocity this year, from 93.1 mph last year to 91 mph now

u0.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Alejandro Osuna is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Casey Legumina will hold the platoon advantage against Alejandro Osuna in today's game.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alejandro Osuna in today's game.

u0.5 +105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Josh Smith has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .043 deviation.. With a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Josh Smith has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.

o0.5 +120
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jonny DeLuca's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 84-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 77.7-mph over the last 14 days.. Jonny DeLuca's launch angle lately (4.7° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 14.4° seasonal angle.. Jonny DeLuca has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the past week.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Nicky Lopez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Casey Legumina will have the handedness advantage against Nicky Lopez today.

u0.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ezequiel Duran in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ezequiel Duran's true offensive talent to be a .301, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .034 gap between that mark and his actual .335 wOBA.. Ezequiel Duran has put up a .225 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 10th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Legumina throws from, Justin Foscue will have an edge in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Justin Foscue and his 25.5° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

o0.5 -141
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 9th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Taylor Walls is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.. Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Taylor Walls's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 88.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 76.6-mph in the last 14 days.

u0.5 -104
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Tropicana Field projects as the #22 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Burger in today's game.. Jake Burger's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 93-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 82.8-mph over the last week.. There has been a significant decline in Jake Burger's launch angle from last season's 17° to 12.8° this year.

u0.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
1.15 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-7.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.15 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-7.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 8th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Yandy Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Yandy Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 -261
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Legumina throws from, Justin Foscue will have an edge in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

o1.5 +193
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
17.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
17.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
16.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
16.42% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Legumina today.. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +137
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.23% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.72 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan Vilade has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ryan Vilade hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan Vilade's true offensive ability to be a .301, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .039 gap between that mark and his actual .340 wOBA.. Using Statcast data, Ryan Vilade ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .187.

u1.5 -225
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Taylor Walls has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (18.8°) is significantly higher than his 14.9° figure last year.

o1.5 +300
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 8th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Yandy Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +112
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. MacKenzie Gore will hold the platoon advantage over Jonathan Aranda in today's matchup.. There has been a decrease in Jonathan Aranda's average exit velocity this year, from 93.1 mph last year to 91 mph now

u1.5 -185
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.86 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jonny DeLuca's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 84-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 77.7-mph over the last 14 days.. Jonny DeLuca's launch angle lately (4.7° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 14.4° seasonal angle.. Jonny DeLuca has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the past week.. Despite posting a .316 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonny DeLuca has experienced some positive variance given the .026 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

u1.5 -210
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
8.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
8.41% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cameron Cauley ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Cameron Cauley is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Cameron Cauley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. In the past week, Cameron Cauley's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 6.9%.

u1.5 -280
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.97 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Josh Smith has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .043 deviation.. With a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Josh Smith has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.

o1.5 +350
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
5.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
5.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Elias Diaz is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Elias Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Elias Diaz has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

u1.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Fortes's BABIP talent is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Fortes is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Nick Fortes's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 90.9-mph EV last season has decreased to 86.8-mph.. Nick Fortes's launch angle lately (1.1° in the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 6.7° seasonal figure.

u1.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ben Williamson will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Ben Williamson has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ben Williamson will hold that advantage today.. Ben Williamson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 42.9% to 48.9%.

o1.5 +204
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.90 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-4.54% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nicky Lopez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Casey Legumina will have the handedness advantage against Nicky Lopez today.. Nicky Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

u1.5 -360
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Chandler Simpson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Chandler Simpson has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Chandler Simpson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Chandler Simpson is in the 99th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .313.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ezequiel Duran is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Ezequiel Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Ian Seymour in today's matchup.. Ezequiel Duran has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +176
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.72 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Alejandro Osuna has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Using Statcast data, Alejandro Osuna is in the 79th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.. Using Statcast metrics, Alejandro Osuna is in the 86th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .273.

o1.5 +250
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Taylor Walls has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (18.8°) is significantly higher than his 14.9° figure last year.

o0.5 +1250
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
13.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
13.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +475
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Legumina throws from, Justin Foscue will have an edge in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Justin Foscue and his 25.5° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

o0.5 +630
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers logo
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers logo
B. Nimmo (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.

o0.5 +550
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.04% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ian Seymour today.. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +416
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Tropicana Field.. Elias Diaz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Legumina today.

o0.5 +750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Ezequiel Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Ezequiel Duran has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Ezequiel Duran has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 89.6-mph.

o0.5 +800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. Josh Smith's launch angle this year (15.8°) is a considerable increase over his 12.2° angle last year.. Josh Smith has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .043 deviation.. With a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Josh Smith has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.

o0.5 +1400
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan Vilade has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ryan Vilade hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan Vilade's true offensive ability to be a .301, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .039 gap between that mark and his actual .340 wOBA.. Ryan Vilade has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His -5° angle is among the lowest in the league since the start of last season (2nd percentile).

u0.5 -847
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.69% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nicky Lopez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Casey Legumina will have the handedness advantage against Nicky Lopez today.. Nicky Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

u0.5 -5000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.41% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Ben Williamson ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ben Williamson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ben Williamson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 83.5-mph over the past 14 days.. Ben Williamson's launch angle lately (-6.8° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 3.8° seasonal angle.

u0.5 -2381
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.28% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. There has been a decrease in Yandy Diaz's average exit velocity this season, from 93 mph last year to 90.6 mph now. Yandy Diaz's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 90.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.8-mph in the past 7 days.. In the last 7 days, Yandy Diaz's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.5%.

u0.5 -575
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. MacKenzie Gore will hold the platoon advantage over Jonathan Aranda in today's matchup.. There has been a decrease in Jonathan Aranda's average exit velocity this year, from 93.1 mph last year to 91 mph now

u0.5 -909
Kalshi Sports logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. In the past 7 days, Junior Caminero's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.2% down to 5%.. Junior Caminero has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93-mph dropping to 89-mph in the last 7 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Junior Caminero's true offensive skill to be a .365, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .020 deviation between that mark and his actual .385 wOBA.

u0.5 -357
Kalshi Sports logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jonny DeLuca's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 84-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 77.7-mph over the last 14 days.. Jonny DeLuca's launch angle lately (4.7° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 14.4° seasonal angle.. Jonny DeLuca has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the past week.. Despite posting a .316 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonny DeLuca has experienced some positive variance given the .026 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cameron Cauley ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Cameron Cauley is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Cameron Cauley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. In the past week, Cameron Cauley's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 6.9%.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 16th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Nick Fortes is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Nick Fortes's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 90.9-mph EV last season has decreased to 86.8-mph.. Nick Fortes's launch angle lately (1.1° in the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 6.7° seasonal figure.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Alejandro Osuna has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Using Statcast data, Alejandro Osuna is in the 79th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.

o0.5 +1100
FanDuel logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Casey Legumina logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Legumina (RP) 1.5 Strikeouts Thrown
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Casey Legumina logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Legumina (RP) 1.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Legumina to throw 28 pitches today (least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Jordan Baker) behind the plate in this game.

u1.5 +130
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
MacKenzie Gore logo
Texas Rangers logo
M. Gore (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
MacKenzie Gore logo
Texas Rangers logo
M. Gore (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.8% EV

ANALYSIS

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Tampa Bay Rays with a 19.5% underlying K%.. It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Jordan Baker) behind the plate in this game.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. This season, MacKenzie Gore has added a new pitch to his repertoire (a sinker), utilizing it on 5.3% of his pitches.

u5.5 -129
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
21.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
21.23% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Legumina throws from, Justin Foscue will have an edge in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

o0.5 +288
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Ezequiel Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Ezequiel Duran has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +263
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
17.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
17.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +189
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.04% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Legumina today.. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +223
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
17.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
17.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Josh Smith has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .043 deviation.. With a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Josh Smith has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.

o0.5 +450
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Jonny DeLuca is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jonny DeLuca will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.. Jonny DeLuca pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jonny DeLuca will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +227
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
13.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
13.7% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +130
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.47% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Jonathan Aranda has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Jonathan Aranda will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +228
Kalshi Sports logo
TOTAL RBIS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Tropicana Field.. Elias Diaz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Legumina today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

o0.5 +270
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Cameron Cauley will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Cameron Cauley has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Cameron Cauley has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 85.6-mph figure.

o0.5 +314
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Taylor Walls has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (18.8°) is significantly higher than his 14.9° figure last year.

o0.5 +307
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 8th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Yandy Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +192
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Nick Fortes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.. Nick Fortes pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's game.. Nick Fortes has recorded a .285 batting average this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

o0.5 +265
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ryan Vilade will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Ryan Vilade will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Ryan Vilade has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.54 ft/sec to 28.46 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).. This year, the hardest ball Ryan Vilade has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph (a reliable standard to study power), placing in the 93rd percentile.

o0.5 +230
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.89% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Ben Williamson ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ben Williamson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ben Williamson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 83.5-mph over the past 14 days.. Ben Williamson's launch angle lately (-6.8° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 3.8° seasonal angle.

u0.5 -280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson in the 0th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Chandler Simpson will be in a tough position in today's matchup.. Chandler Simpson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.7-mph dropping to 81.3-mph in the last 14 days.. Chandler Simpson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 10.7% on the season to 5% in the last 7 days.

u0.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nicky Lopez logo
Texas Rangers logo
N. Lopez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Nicky Lopez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. In the last 14 days, Nicky Lopez's 60.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.2%.. Nicky Lopez has compiled a .314 batting average this year, placing in the 96th percentile.

o0.5 +390
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Alejandro Osuna has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Using Statcast data, Alejandro Osuna is in the 79th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.. Using Statcast metrics, Alejandro Osuna is in the 86th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .273.

o0.5 +319
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
17.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Justin Foscue logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Foscue (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
17.81% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Foscue is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Legumina throws from, Justin Foscue will have an edge in today's matchup.. Justin Foscue pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

o1.5 +140
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
15.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Burger logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Burger (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
15.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
15.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wyatt Langford logo
Texas Rangers logo
W. Langford (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
15.24% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Legumina today.. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +101
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.60 PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
14.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.60 PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
14.22% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -127
Kalshi Sports logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers logo
B. Nimmo (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
13.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Nimmo logo
Texas Rangers logo
B. Nimmo (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
13.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Brandon Nimmo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 42.6% to 52.7%.

o1.5 +106
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ezequiel Duran logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Duran (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Ezequiel Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Legumina in today's matchup.. Ezequiel Duran has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +119
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Smith logo
Texas Rangers logo
J. Smith (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Josh Smith has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .043 deviation.. With a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Josh Smith has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.

o1.5 +235
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.38 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.38 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 8th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Yandy Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 -136
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Elias Diaz logo
Texas Rangers logo
E. Diaz (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Tropicana Field.. Elias Diaz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Legumina today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

o1.5 +159
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Kalshi Sports
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Jonathan Aranda has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Jonathan Aranda will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 -103
Kalshi Sports logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Jonny DeLuca is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jonny DeLuca will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.. Jonny DeLuca pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jonny DeLuca will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +113
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Taylor Walls logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
T. Walls (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Taylor Walls has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (18.8°) is significantly higher than his 14.9° figure last year.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Cam Cauley logo
Texas Rangers logo
C. Cauley (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Cameron Cauley will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Cameron Cauley has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Cameron Cauley has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 85.6-mph figure.

o1.5 +174
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Chandler Simpson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Chandler Simpson has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Chandler Simpson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Chandler Simpson is in the 99th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .313.

o1.5 +100
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ben Williamson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
B. Williamson (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ben Williamson will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Ben Williamson has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ben Williamson will hold that advantage today.. Ben Williamson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 42.9% to 48.9%.

o1.5 +127
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ryan Vilade logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Vilade (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ryan Vilade will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Ryan Vilade will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Ryan Vilade has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.54 ft/sec to 28.46 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).. This year, the hardest ball Ryan Vilade has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph (a reliable standard to study power), placing in the 93rd percentile.

o1.5 +125
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nick Fortes logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
N. Fortes (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Nick Fortes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.. Nick Fortes pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's game.. Nick Fortes has recorded a .285 batting average this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

o1.5 +133
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alejandro Osuna logo
Texas Rangers logo
A. Osuna (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Alejandro Osuna has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Using Statcast data, Alejandro Osuna is in the 79th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.. Using Statcast metrics, Alejandro Osuna is in the 86th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .273.

o1.5 +165
BetMGM logo

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Gunner28' picks Texas vs Tampa Bay to go Over (8.0)

Gunner28 is #1 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (62-35-4) and +14370 units on the season.

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'Gunner28' picks Tampa Bay at (-149)

Gunner28 is #1 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (62-35-4) and +14370 units on the season.

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TB
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'BigmoneyLee' picks Texas at (115)

BigmoneyLee is #1 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (34-17-0) and +15535 units on the season.

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'BigmoneyLee' picks Texas vs Tampa Bay to go Over (7.5)

BigmoneyLee is #1 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (34-17-0) and +15535 units on the season.

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'pureporkchop' picks Tampa Bay at (-149)

pureporkchop is #2 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (49-44-1) and +15370 units on the season.

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'Ollywood' picks Tampa Bay at (-149)

Ollywood is #2 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (57-36-5) and +12915 units on the season.

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'pureporkchop' picks Texas vs Tampa Bay to go Under (7.5)

pureporkchop is #2 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (49-44-1) and +15370 units on the season.

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Over
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'Ollywood' picks Texas vs Tampa Bay to go Over (7.5)

Ollywood is #2 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (57-36-5) and +12915 units on the season.

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Under
Moneyline

'griz55' picks Texas at (120)

griz55 is #3 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (56-31-4) and +12880 units on the season.

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TB
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'griz55' picks Texas vs Tampa Bay to go Over (7.5)

griz55 is #3 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (56-31-4) and +12880 units on the season.

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Under
Moneyline

'Kozman06' picks Tampa Bay at (-149)

Kozman06 is #3 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (51-31-0) and +15010 units on the season.

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TB
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'Kozman06' picks Texas vs Tampa Bay to go Over (7.5)

Kozman06 is #3 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (51-31-0) and +15010 units on the season.

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'UPGRAYEDD' picks Texas at (115)

UPGRAYEDD is #4 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (37-18-1) and +14815 units on the season.

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'UPGRAYEDD' picks Texas vs Tampa Bay to go Under (7.5)

UPGRAYEDD is #4 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (37-18-1) and +14815 units on the season.

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'Jerrybook' picks Texas vs Tampa Bay to go Under (7.5)

Jerrybook is #4 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (52-40-6) and +11665 units on the season.

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'Jerrybook' picks Texas at (120)

Jerrybook is #4 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (52-40-6) and +11665 units on the season.

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'forkball' picks Texas vs Tampa Bay to go Under (7.5)

forkball is #7 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (27-20-0) and +9890 units on the season.

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'forkball' picks Tampa Bay at (-161)

forkball is #7 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (27-20-0) and +9890 units on the season.

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'bear1313' picks Tampa Bay at (-161)

bear1313 is #8 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (45-25-1) and +10660 units on the season.

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'derekpderek' picks Texas vs Tampa Bay to go Over (8.0)

derekpderek is #8 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (57-39-4) and +9600 units on the season.

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'derekpderek' picks Tampa Bay at (-149)

derekpderek is #8 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (57-39-4) and +9600 units on the season.

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'Bondsman' picks Tampa Bay at (-149)

Bondsman is #9 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (4-5-1) and +9292 units on the season.

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