Pittsburgh Pirates

5th in National League Central (65 - 87)

Next Game

Wed, Sep 17 12:35 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Willi Castro
W. Castro
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side against Johan Oviedo today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) implies that Willi Castro has been unlucky this year with his .231 actual batting average.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side against Johan Oviedo today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) implies that Willi Castro has been unlucky this year with his .231 actual batting average.

All Matchup props

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Matt Shaw's launch angle of late (23.3° over the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 13.5° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) may lead us to conclude that Matt Shaw has had bad variance on his side this year with his .223 actual batting average.

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Matt Shaw's launch angle of late (23.3° over the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 13.5° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) may lead us to conclude that Matt Shaw has had bad variance on his side this year with his .223 actual batting average.

All Matchup props

Nick Yorke Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Nick Yorke
N. Yorke
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Nick Yorke's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Nick Yorke will have an advantage in today's game. Nick Yorke will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Nick Yorke

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nick Yorke's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Nick Yorke will have an advantage in today's game. Nick Yorke will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

All Matchup props

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage in today's game.

All Matchup props

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

When estimating his batting average ability, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 12th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Based on Statcast data, Nico Hoerner grades out in the 99th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .307.

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When estimating his batting average ability, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 12th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Based on Statcast data, Nico Hoerner grades out in the 99th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .307.

All Matchup props

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tommy Pham ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Tommy Pham will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tommy Pham ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Tommy Pham will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.

All Matchup props

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Reese McGuire
R. McGuire
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's game. Reese McGuire will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP. Reese McGuire has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last season's 89.1-mph average.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's game. Reese McGuire will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP. Reese McGuire has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last season's 89.1-mph average.

All Matchup props

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jared Triolo
J. Triolo
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jared Triolo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Jared Triolo will have the upper hand today.

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jared Triolo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Jared Triolo will have the upper hand today.

All Matchup props

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Michael Busch
M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Johan Oviedo throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand today.

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Johan Oviedo throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand today.

All Matchup props

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Joey Bart's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Joey Bart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup. Joey Bart will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Joey Bart's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Joey Bart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup. Joey Bart will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

All Matchup props

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have an edge today.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have an edge today.

All Matchup props

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Dansby Swanson has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph figure.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Dansby Swanson has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph figure.

All Matchup props

Alexander Canario Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Alexander Canario
A. Canario
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Alexander Canario will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Alexander Canario will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.314) may lead us to conclude that Alexander Canario has experienced some negative variance this year with his .274 actual wOBA.

Alexander Canario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Alexander Canario will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Alexander Canario will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.314) may lead us to conclude that Alexander Canario has experienced some negative variance this year with his .274 actual wOBA.

All Matchup props

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Johan Oviedo in today's game.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Johan Oviedo in today's game.

All Matchup props

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.94
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.94
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Seiya Suzuki has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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