New York Yankees Picks
2nd in American League East
(26 - 14)
Next Game
Sun, May 10
14:10 ET
NYY @ MIL Picks
MLB Picks
Total
u8.5 (-133)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I’m pretty much on the market here, but I certainly lean toward the Under, given the spot. I’m not sure how effective the sluggish Yankees offense will be, which is the big driver for this one. We’ve already mentioned the impressive metrics surrounding Henderson in a limited sample. Beyond that, though, the Brewers' bullpen, with a collective 1.33 WHIP and 3.46 ERA, is well rested.
Moneyline
MIL (+105)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
There’s a bit of an element of fatigue at play here, surely, with the Yankees playing their ninth game in nine days. There’s also the aspect of rebounding quickly after essentially a choke last night. And, certainly not least, there’s the aspect of Carlos Rodon making his season debut after not being exactly a picture of consistency last season. Add it up, and I make this a coin flip. I’d play the Brewers to -105.
Total Bases
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Logan Henderson throws his four-seam fastball nearly half the time. That is dangerous against Judge, who is slugging .692 against four-seamers this season while continuing to produce elite hard-contact numbers.
Judge saw his six-game hitting streak snapped last night, but has strong value at plus money to record two total bases.
Total Hits
Aaron Judge u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hitting from the same side that Logan Henderson throws from, Aaron Judge encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Typically, hitters like Aaron Judge who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Logan Henderson.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the best out of all the teams playing today.. Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Total Bases
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Trent Grisham as the majors's 18th-best home run batter.. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
Total Bases
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the league.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 4th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
Total Bases
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.97
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ben Rice projects as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
Total Bases
Spencer Jones o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Spencer Jones is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Spencer Jones will have the handedness advantage over Logan Henderson in today's game.
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Jackson Chourio is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 4th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
Total Bases
Andrew Vaughn o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 4th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
Total Bases
Gary Sanchez u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Gary Sanchez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 13.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks.. Gary Sanchez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 84.4-mph in the past 7 days.. Gary Sanchez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 11.3% on the season to 0% over the past 14 days.. Gary Sanchez has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 30.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 25.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
